Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.3539 (-0.86%) ($42.2863 - $42.8177) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $42.3539(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(22%)    IVW(21%)    IYT(21%)    XLV(21%)    IBB(20%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-6%)    GDX(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $43.07
5 Day Moving Average   $42.74(-0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.74(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.07(-1.66%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	41.13	43.07	42.74	42.74	42.82	42.66	42.35(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-20	-18	-59	0.24	65%	0	-13.3	0.84%	0	-1.7	38	INF
2	May_12_2016	41.13	43.11	42.8	42.81	42.86	42.88	42.72(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	10	-1	-55	0.08	71%	0.02	-2.2	0.83%	0	-1	40	INF
3	May_11_2016	41.12	43.13	42.85	42.75	42.79	42.99	42.79(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	40	14	-54	0.1	66%	0.02	4.7	0.86%	0	-0.9	43	INF
4	May_10_2016	41.11	43.16	42.95	42.7	42.69	42.85	43.19(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	30	24	-52	0.14	70%	0.05	5.7	0.87%	0	0.1	43	INF
5	May_9_2016	41.09	43.13	42.98	42.62	42.56	42.59	42.66(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	0	-4	-71	0.14	68%	0.05	2.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	37	INF

6	May_6_2016	41.07	43.13	43.05	42.74	42.6	42.59	42.66(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-8	-62	0.1	61%	0.02	4	0.9%	0	-1.1	40	INF
7	May_5_2016	41.06	43.12	43.13	42.8	42.76	42.53	42.46(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-40	-20	-59	0.1	57%	0	-1.9	0.9%	0	-1.4	43	INF
8	May_4_2016	41.06	43.11	43.22	42.96	42.87	42.67	42.5(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-40	-38	-48	0.38	57%	0.02	0	0.94%	0	-1.4	44	INF
9	May_3_2016	41.05	43.13	43.34	43.23	43.11	42.99	42.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-19	-15	0.1	57%	0.05	13.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	INF
10	May_2_2016	41.03	43.12	43.41	43.39	43.33	43.07	43.25(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-13	12	0.1	54%	0.05	18.6	0.92%	0	0.3	60	INF

11	Apr_29_2016	41.01	43.11	43.43	43.4	43.42	43.24	42.95(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-14	-30	-26	22	0.24	59%	0.05	24.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	62	INF
12	Apr_28_2016	40.99	43.12	43.46	43.5	43.49	43.6	43.29(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	20	-0	50	0.09	59%	0.02	39.2	1%	0	0.4	67	INF
13	Apr_27_2016	40.98	43.11	43.44	43.51	43.47	43.61	43.81(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	20	14	68	0.1	62%	0.05	45.1	0.99%	0	1.6	79	INF
14	Apr_26_2016	40.96	43.07	43.38	43.47	43.42	43.39	43.62(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10	3	67	0.12	64%	0.02	48.4	0.99%	0	1.3	62	INF
15	Apr_25_2016	40.95	43.04	43.3	43.46	43.45	43.33	43.34(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-7	66	0.11	60%	0.02	48.4	1.01%	0	0.8	64	INF

16	Apr_22_2016	40.94	43	43.2	43.47	43.5	43.44	43.46(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10	-1	61	0.12	62%	0.02	44.2	1.04%	0	1.1	56	INF
17	Apr_21_2016	40.93	42.95	43.1	43.4	43.45	43.56	43.31(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	20	4	47	0.09	62%	0.02	36.6	1.06%	0	0.9	49	INF
18	Apr_20_2016	40.92	42.92	43	43.36	43.35	43.57	43.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	17	41	0.13	60%	0	34.4	1.06%	0	1.7	55	INF
19	Apr_19_2016	40.92	42.88	42.91	43.29	43.23	43.34	43.55(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	21	34	0.12	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.8	54	INF
20	Apr_18_2016	40.91	42.85	42.8	43.11	43.11	43.13	43.39(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	0	15	12	0.09	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.6	54	INF

21	Apr_15_2016	40.9	42.82	42.8	42.9	42.95	43.11	43.14(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	30	12	1	0.13	57%	0.05	36	1.08%	0	1	58	INF
22	Apr_14_2016	40.88	42.81	42.8	42.75	42.8	43.09	43.11(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	50	26	5	0.15	58%	0	41.7	1.12%	0	1	59	INF
23	Apr_13_2016	40.88	42.78	42.75	42.58	42.62	42.78	43.24(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	13	30	19	-4	0.18	54%	0	40.3	1.12%	0	1.5	60	INF
24	Apr_12_2016	40.88	42.72	42.72	42.5	42.47	42.51	42.69(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	0	3	-14	0.22	53%	0	42.7	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	INF
25	Apr_11_2016	40.88	42.7	42.75	42.45	42.49	42.47	42.34(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-0	-4	-21	0.14	53%		41.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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