Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.6921 (0.82%) ($42.2476 - $42.7636) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $42.6921(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(22%)    IVW(21%)    IWF(21%)    IYT(21%)    SPY(21%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-7%)    GDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $42.72
5 Day Moving Average   $42.5(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.72(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.72(-0.07%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	40.88	42.72	42.72	42.5	42.47	42.51	42.69(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	0	3	-14	0.22	53%	0	42.7	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	INF
2	Apr_11_2016	40.88	42.7	42.75	42.45	42.49	42.47	42.34(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-0	-4	-21	0.14	53%	0	41.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	40	INF
3	Apr_8_2016	40.88	42.71	42.78	42.58	42.51	42.43	42.37(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-20	-15	-22	0.13	51%	0	61.3	1.17%	0	-1	40	INF
4	Apr_7_2016	40.88	42.68	42.8	42.76	42.68	42.52	42.27(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-30	-13	-13	0.1	48%	-0.02	67	1.18%	0	-1	42	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	40.89	42.65	42.84	42.92	42.83	42.59	42.81(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-50	-16	-2	0.12	48%	0.02	73.1	1.2%	0	0.3	57	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	40.88	42.58	42.85	42.98	42.96	42.83	42.46(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-10	-20	-17	10	0.25	48%	0.02	69.3	1.21%	0	-0.2	59	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	40.87	42.56	42.85	43.09	43.1	43.06	42.97(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	5	34	0.31	46%	0.02	88.6	1.2%	0	0.7	63	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	40.86	42.5	42.91	43.01	43.01	43.08	43.27(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	6	36	0.13	46%	0.05	95.5	1.21%	0	1.4	67	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	40.84	42.41	42.87	42.86	42.89	43.14	43.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	40	18	44	0.32	46%	0	97.1	1.22%	0	1.2	75	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	40.84	42.32	42.81	42.74	42.69	42.93	43.11(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	16	47	0.14	46%	0.02	98.6	1.22%	0	1.3	75	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	40.83	42.21	42.71	42.74	42.57	42.63	43(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	0	6	49	0.9	46%	0	101.3	1.23%	0	1.2	77	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	40.83	42.07	42.64	42.71	42.62	42.45	42.57(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-9	49	0.45	46%	-0.07	86.9	1.23%	0	0.6	60	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	40.86	41.96	42.62	42.8	42.72	42.52	42.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-18	59	1.1	46%	-0.02	84.4	1.23%	0	0.6	62	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	40.87	41.85	42.55	42.8	42.9	42.79	42.53(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-5	72	1.14	48%	0	84.2	1.23%	0	0.7	64	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	40.87	41.73	42.46	42.87	42.89	42.93	42.94(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	8	82	0.12	49%	-0.02	80.3	1.23%	0	1.1	74	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	40.88	41.56	42.3	42.7	42.73	43	43.02(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	50	17	81	0.05	49%	0.02	80.8	1.24%	0	1.4	78	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	40.87	41.41	42.19	42.55	42.49	42.86	43.03(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	60	26	97	0.13	48%	0	84.8	1.24%	0	1.5	82	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	40.87	41.22	42.05	42.42	42.3	42.46	42.85(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	20	25	103	0.31	46%	0	91.7	1.26%	0	1.5	77	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	40.87	41.05	41.91	42.18	42.18	42.13	42.49(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10	11	97	0.15	48%	0	95	1.27%	0	1.3	76	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	40.87	40.89	41.78	41.99	42.01	42.14	42.09(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	5	98	0.15	49%	0	95.9	1.28%	0	1.1	77	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	40.87	40.72	41.67	41.84	41.89	42.22	42.31(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	60	20	110	0.1	49%	-0.02	98.9	1.29%	0	1.5	81	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	40.88	40.51	41.45	41.77	41.7	41.89	42.36(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	30	20	108	0.13	47%	0	87.8	1.29%	0	1.6	74	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	40.88	40.25	41.24	41.64	41.6	41.56	41.63(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10	2	106	0.24	45%	0	71.1	1.29%	0	1.1	75	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	40.88	40.05	41.11	41.62	41.62	41.52	41.56(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-20	-0	117	0.19	45%	-0.02	63.7	1.29%	0	1.1	74	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	40.89	39.86	40.94	41.54	41.57	41.63	41.34(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	3	121	0.13	45%		57.3	1.29%	0	1	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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