Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $37.8536 (2.05%) ($37.2738 - $37.8825) on Mon. Feb. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $37.8536(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.75(-8.2%)
Resistance Level   $38.19
5 Day Moving Average   $37.55(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.16(-0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.19(-0.88%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.53%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.74%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.64%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2016	41.04	38.19	38.16	37.55	37.49	37.35	37.85(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-22	-30	-8	-64	0.21	38%	-0.07	-60.6	1.22%	0	-0.6	52	0
2	Feb_11_2016	41.07	38.24	38.3	37.65	37.51	37.43	37.09(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-30	-35	-61	0.32	36%	-0.1	-63.6	1.2%	0	-1.9	40	0
3	Feb_10_2016	41.11	38.31	38.43	38.04	37.89	37.63	37.61(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-60	-18	-21	0.17	37%	-0.07	-67.8	1.19%	0	-1.2	51	0
4	Feb_9_2016	41.14	38.4	38.5	38.3	38.2	37.59	37.57(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-120	-40	-4	0.26	37%	-0.1	-68.2	1.19%	0	-1.4	53	0
5	Feb_8_2016	41.18	38.48	38.6	38.5	38.5	38.15	37.61(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-34	-60	-50	13	0.19	37%	-0.1	-75.5	1.19%	0	-1.5	50	0

6	Feb_5_2016	41.22	38.56	38.64	38.86	38.78	38.81	38.35(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-0	-14	53	0.17	38%	-0.07	-79.1	1.17%	0	-0.4	53	0
7	Feb_4_2016	41.25	38.63	38.66	39.05	38.94	38.85	39.05(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	-20	12	77	0.16	40%	-0.07	-77.7	1.16%	0	0.7	51	0
8	Feb_3_2016	41.28	38.7	38.54	38.89	38.91	38.76	38.9(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-30	-3	52	0.33	40%	-0.07	-80.9	1.16%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Feb_2_2016	41.31	38.8	38.41	38.74	38.8	39.04	38.59(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	50	4	21	0.38	40%	-0.07	-73.9	1.15%	0	-0.2	44	0
10	Feb_1_2016	41.34	38.92	38.35	38.71	38.68	39.05	39.41(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	60	43	20	0.3	42%	-0.05	-70.9	1.13%	0	0.5	50	0

11	Jan_29_2016	41.36	39.02	38.2	38.39	38.42	38.57	39.3(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	30	24	-28	0.28	42%	-0.05	-79.4	1.13%	0	0.3	48	0
12	Jan_28_2016	41.38	39.14	38.14	38.24	38.23	38.3	38.24(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	10	5	-64	0.15	38%	-0.07	-72.4	1.07%	0	-0.7	37	0
13	Jan_27_2016	41.41	39.33	38.15	38.15	38.26	38.27	38.15(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	10	15	-96	0.2	38%	-0.07	-63.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	31	0
14	Jan_26_2016	41.44	39.52	38.26	38.03	38.12	38.15	38.46(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	10	7	-134	0.48	38%	-0.07	-57.6	1.08%	0	-0.7	29	0
15	Jan_25_2016	41.47	39.69	38.33	37.92	37.89	38.26	37.82(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	70	5	-173	0.22	35%	-0.07	-55.2	1.06%	0	-1.2	25	0

16	Jan_22_2016	41.5	39.91	38.47	37.97	37.9	38.09	38.54(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	30	28	-197	0.16	39%	-0.07	-55.8	1.04%	0	-0.9	25	0
17	Jan_21_2016	41.53	40.06	38.59	38.03	37.77	37.53	37.79(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-78	-60	-21	-248	0.3	36%	-0.07	-53.5	1.02%	0	-1.4	16	0
18	Jan_20_2016	41.56	40.24	38.86	38.15	37.99	37.71	37.53(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-104	-60	-47	-274	0.56	36%	-0.07	-52.3	1.02%	0	-1.7	12	0
19	Jan_19_2016	41.59	40.42	39.23	38.53	38.41	38.02	37.94(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-91	-80	-36	-254	0.47	37%	-0.1	-50.8	1.01%	0	-1.6	18	0
20	Jan_15_2016	41.63	40.61	39.55	38.79	38.73	38.28	38.06(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-100	-90	-48	-256	0.38	37%	-0.1	-53.1	1%	0	-1.9	18	0

21	Jan_14_2016	41.67	40.82	39.91	39.04	39.05	38.8	38.85(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	-40	-37	-244	0.36	39%	-0.05	-53.2	0.99%	0	-1.6	20	0
22	Jan_13_2016	41.69	40.96	40.23	39.23	39.31	39.18	38.4(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-20	-37	-228	0.28	37%	-0.02	-53.5	0.98%	0	-2.2	24	0
23	Jan_12_2016	41.7	41.11	40.62	39.68	39.56	39.31	39.42(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-50	-37	-188	0.52	40%	-0.02	-56.8	0.93%	0	-1.7	36	0
24	Jan_11_2016	41.71	41.2	40.88	40.05	39.88	39.44	39.21(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	-90	-57	-152	0.48	40%	-0.05	-60.2	0.93%	0	-2.2	38	0
25	Jan_8_2016	41.73	41.34	41.18	40.44	40.38	39.82	39.29(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-100	-63	-114	0.43	40%		-58.7	0.93%	0	-2.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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