Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.8035 (0.18%) ($42.6932 - $42.9664) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $42.8035(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(25%)    QQQ(25%)    SPY(25%)    IBB(24%)    IVE(24%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    BND(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.54(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.35(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.61(0.45%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	42.43	42.61	42.35	42.54	42.63	42.78	42.8(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	30	14	-19	0.25	52%	0	6.4	1.27%	0	0.4	42	INF
2	Nov_20_2015	42.43	42.61	42.33	42.38	42.45	42.68	42.73(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	40	24	-30	0.14	46%	-0.02	0.9	1.31%	0	0.3	42	INF
3	Nov_19_2015	42.44	42.61	42.35	42.12	42.17	42.48	42.59(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	60	20	-44	0.11	45%	-0.05	-10	1.34%	0	0	48	INF
4	Nov_18_2015	42.46	42.59	42.39	41.99	41.92	42.21	42.63(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	40	14	-50	0.29	45%	-0.02	-13	1.34%	0	0.1	50	INF
5	Nov_17_2015	42.47	42.56	42.44	41.98	41.87	41.87	41.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-1	-55	0.54	43%	-0.05	-10.4	1.33%	0	-1.3	40	INF

6	Nov_16_2015	42.49	42.58	42.57	42.15	42.04	41.63	42.03(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-80	-19	-43	0.22	43%	-0.07	2.7	1.33%	0	-1.1	50	INF
7	Nov_13_2015	42.52	42.59	42.69	42.27	42.28	41.87	41.39(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-70	-40	-38	0.13	41%	-0.07	8.8	1.32%	0	-2.5	38	INF
8	Nov_12_2015	42.55	42.64	42.84	42.6	42.57	42.44	41.95(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-20	-23	-12	0.24	43%	-0.07	33.3	1.31%	0	-1.7	41	INF
9	Nov_11_2015	42.58	42.66	42.93	42.85	42.78	42.44	42.57(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-20	-6	11	0.09	43%	-0.05	45.6	1.3%	0	-0.2	52	INF
10	Nov_10_2015	42.6	42.61	42.95	42.96	42.88	42.69	42.78(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-14	23	0.1	45%	-0.07	50	1.3%	0	0.4	64	INF

11	Nov_9_2015	42.63	42.57	42.91	43.06	43.03	42.87	42.63(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-30	-15	29	0.18	45%	-0.05	60.9	1.31%	0	0.1	58	INF
12	Nov_6_2015	42.65	42.55	42.9	43.18	43.03	43.08	43.05(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10	-2	46	0.27	45%	-0.05	72.6	1.31%	0	1	66	INF
13	Nov_5_2015	42.67	42.5	42.87	43.12	43.16	43.19	43.19(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	4	51	0.2	45%	-0.02	88	1.31%	0	1.5	66	INF
14	Nov_4_2015	42.68	42.45	42.8	43.02	43.07	43.24	43.15(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	10	53	0.35	45%	-0.05	103.7	1.31%	0	1.5	67	INF
15	Nov_3_2015	42.7	42.38	42.69	42.94	42.92	43.14	43.3(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	30	20	57	0.11	45%	-0.02	113.5	1.31%	0	2	75	INF

16	Nov_2_2015	42.71	42.29	42.58	42.73	42.74	42.91	43.23(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	30	17	47	0.3	45%	-0.02	128.3	1.31%	0	2.1	70	INF
17	Oct_30_2015	42.72	42.2	42.46	42.59	42.55	42.71	42.75(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	6	35	0.22	45%	-0.05	131	1.3%	0	1.1	57	INF
18	Oct_29_2015	42.74	42.1	42.41	42.58	42.5	42.58	42.68(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	8	36	0.12	46%	-0.05	104.7	1.3%	0	0.9	56	INF
19	Oct_28_2015	42.76	41.98	42.35	42.56	42.51	42.39	42.75(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	6	33	0.09	47%	-0.02	87.9	1.31%	0	1.1	57	INF
20	Oct_27_2015	42.77	41.86	42.24	42.56	42.48	42.41	42.24(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-8	18	0.1	46%	-0.05	66.2	1.31%	0	0.4	59	INF

21	Oct_26_2015	42.79	41.72	42.21	42.4	42.45	42.63	42.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	9	29	0.1	46%	-0.05	52.1	1.31%	0	0.8	68	INF
22	Oct_23_2015	42.81	41.57	42.17	42.31	42.35	42.54	42.7(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	30	17	34	0.11	45%	-0.05	40.7	1.32%	0	1.1	67	INF
23	Oct_22_2015	42.83	41.46	42.11	42.22	42.19	42.26	42.56(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	8	39	0.19	45%	-0.05	35.6	1.32%	0	1.1	74	INF
24	Oct_21_2015	42.85	41.35	42.07	42.13	42.13	42.16	41.98(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	0	6	56	0.14	44%	-0.07	27.6	1.3%	0	0.7	76	INF
25	Oct_20_2015	42.88	41.28	42.05	42.06	42.07	42.12	42.21(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	10	6	69	0.46	44%		19.1	1.3%	0	1	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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