Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.7459 (1.2%) ($42.2376 - $42.7651) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $42.7459(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(26%)    IYT(25%)    SPY(25%)    IBB(24%)    IVE(24%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    VCIT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.56(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.35(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.98(1.82%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2015	42.76	41.98	42.35	42.56	42.51	42.39	42.75(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	6	33	0.09	47%	-0.02	87.9	1.31%	0	1.1	57	INF
2	Oct_27_2015	42.77	41.86	42.24	42.56	42.48	42.41	42.24(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-8	18	0.1	46%	-0.05	66.2	1.31%	0	0.4	59	INF
3	Oct_26_2015	42.79	41.72	42.21	42.4	42.45	42.63	42.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	9	29	0.1	46%	-0.05	52.1	1.31%	0	0.8	68	INF
4	Oct_23_2015	42.81	41.57	42.17	42.31	42.35	42.54	42.7(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	30	17	34	0.11	45%	-0.05	40.7	1.32%	0	1.1	67	INF
5	Oct_22_2015	42.83	41.46	42.11	42.22	42.19	42.26	42.56(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	8	39	0.19	45%	-0.05	35.6	1.32%	0	1.1	74	INF

6	Oct_21_2015	42.85	41.35	42.07	42.13	42.13	42.16	41.98(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	0	6	56	0.14	44%	-0.07	27.6	1.3%	0	0.7	76	INF
7	Oct_20_2015	42.88	41.28	42.05	42.06	42.07	42.12	42.21(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	10	6	69	0.46	44%	-0.07	19.1	1.3%	0	1	79	INF
8	Oct_19_2015	42.91	41.2	41.97	41.98	41.96	42.1	42.13(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	4	87	0.2	44%	-0.05	12.8	1.3%	0	1	83	INF
9	Oct_16_2015	42.93	41.16	41.92	41.99	41.93	42.01	42.2(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	7	114	0.19	44%	-0.07	15.1	1.3%	0	1.2	84	INF
10	Oct_15_2015	42.96	41.1	41.78	42	41.94	41.81	42.12(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-30	-4	114	0.19	44%	-0.07	15.2	1.31%	0	1.1	64	INF

11	Oct_14_2015	42.99	41.09	41.59	42.02	42.03	41.85	41.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-30	-11	113	0.17	44%	-0.07	20.3	1.3%	0	0.6	61	INF
12	Oct_13_2015	43.02	41.1	41.45	42.04	42.08	42.08	41.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	0	0	116	0.19	45%	-0.02	26.3	1.3%	0	0.8	61	INF
13	Oct_12_2015	43.03	41.08	41.22	41.95	41.99	42.21	42.2(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	40	14	104	0.11	45%	-0.09	24.5	1.3%	0	1.3	63	INF
14	Oct_9_2015	43.07	41.02	40.93	41.82	41.8	42.08	42.21(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	28	82	0.22	46%	-0.07	24.4	1.31%	0	1.4	55	INF
15	Oct_8_2015	43.1	40.97	40.75	41.53	41.56	41.77	42.24(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	40	36	60	0.3	44%	-0.07	16.9	1.31%	0	1.6	56	INF

16	Oct_7_2015	43.13	40.91	40.56	41.1	41.12	41.52	41.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	70	27	14	0.17	45%	-0.07	3.3	1.32%	0	1.1	44	INF
17	Oct_6_2015	43.16	40.91	40.43	40.78	40.73	41.36	41.39(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	100	49	-11	0.09	45%	-0.09	-5.5	1.32%	0	0.7	41	INF
18	Oct_5_2015	43.2	40.87	40.35	40.36	40.35	40.72	41.54(1.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	27	60	51	-46	0.43	45%	-0.09	-20.7	1.32%	0	0.9	47	INF
19	Oct_2_2015	43.24	40.82	40.31	39.92	39.87	40.11	40.75(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-16	40	9	-91	0.2	43%	-0.09	-45.9	1.3%	0	-0.1	46	INF
20	Oct_1_2015	43.28	40.84	40.35	39.87	39.78	39.97	40.09(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	30	7	-98	0.32	41%	-0.12	-52.5	1.29%	0	-1	38	INF

21	Sep_30_2015	43.33	40.89	40.52	39.94	39.91	39.64	40.11(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-50	-4	-91	0.22	41%	-0.12	-49.4	1.29%	0	-1.1	40	INF
22	Sep_29_2015	43.38	40.91	40.71	40.05	40.02	39.58	39.33(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-80	-43	-93	0.22	37%	-0.14	-40.2	1.26%	0	-2.2	33	INF
23	Sep_28_2015	43.44	41.03	40.95	40.33	40.35	40.19	39.32(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-30	-33	-70	0.16	37%	-0.11	-23.2	1.28%	0	-2.8	29	INF
24	Sep_25_2015	43.49	41.16	41.15	40.74	40.6	40.47	40.48(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-30	-13	-33	0.4	39%	-0.11	-3.2	1.24%	0	-1.3	52	INF
25	Sep_24_2015	43.54	41.23	41.24	40.89	40.8	40.52	40.48(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-50	-27	-27	0.14	39%		-3.3	1.24%	0	-1.5	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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