Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $45.0117 (0.77%) ($44.8020 - $45.0212) on Thu. May. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $45.0117(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(29%)    SPY(29%)    IVE(28%)    VT(28%)    XLV(28%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.87(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.79(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.85(0.36%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2015	44.17		44.79	44.87	44.85	44.85	45.01(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-0	13	7	0.13	59%	0.02	-14.8	0.7%	0	0.7	47	INF
2	May_13_2015	44.16	44.85	44.74	44.77	44.86	44.75	44.67(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10	0	-21	0.19	58%	0.02	-21.4	0.7%	0	-0.7	41	INF
3	May_12_2015	44.15	44.88	44.76	44.71	44.77	44.85	44.74(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	20	-3	-32	0.23	60%	0.02	-19.6	0.7%	0	-0.6	46	INF
4	May_11_2015	44.14	44.88	44.76	44.68	44.71	44.96	44.87(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	40	17	-27	0.13	60%	0.05	-19.6	0.71%	0	-0.1	49	INF
5	May_8_2015	44.12	44.88	44.76	44.73	44.68	44.69	45.06(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	-0	16	-25	0.13	60%	0.05	-16.1	0.71%	0	0.7	50	INF

6	May_7_2015	44.1	44.89	44.78	44.71	44.72	44.46	44.53(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-40	-19	-33	0.1	57%	0.05	-7.1	0.7%	0	-1.4	50	INF
7	May_6_2015	44.08	44.91	44.85	44.7	44.82	44.68	44.37(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10	-29	-38	0.19	57%	0.07	3.8	0.7%	0	-2.3	40	INF
8	May_5_2015	44.05	44.93	44.92	44.8	44.85	44.98	44.56(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	20	-4	-22	0.33	60%	0.07	25.5	0.7%	0	-1.8	40	INF
9	May_4_2015	44.02	44.94	44.96	44.88	44.84	44.97	45.13(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	20	24	-2	0.18	64%	0.09	37.8	0.7%	0	1	53	INF
10	May_1_2015	43.98	44.93	44.94	44.83	44.78	44.97	44.95(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10	-5	-15	0.35	70%	0.07	46.7	0.75%	0	0.1	53	INF

11	Apr_30_2015	43.95	44.91	44.92	44.87	44.84	44.71	44.46(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-24	-20	-24	-25	0.2	64%	0.05	59.2	0.75%	0	-2	42	INF
12	Apr_29_2015	43.93	44.9	44.99	45.03	44.99	44.84	44.88(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-30	-14	-2	0.16	67%	0.05	71.4	0.75%	0	-0.1	49	INF
13	Apr_28_2015	43.91	44.88	45.03	45.06	45.07	44.97	44.98(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10	-11	10	0.17	62%	0.05	65	0.76%	0	0.4	54	INF
14	Apr_27_2015	43.89	44.86	45.02	45.04	45.09	45.14	44.88(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	10	-3	15	0.14	62%	0.05	61.7	0.79%	0	0.1	55	INF
15	Apr_24_2015	43.87	44.83	45.01	45.07	45.08	45.17	45.15(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	10	16	24	0.12	62%	0.05	44.9	0.78%	0	1	55	INF

16	Apr_23_2015	43.85	44.78	45	44.97	45.02	45.04	45.23(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	9	21	0.11	62%	0.05	24.4	0.79%	0	1.3	63	INF
17	Apr_22_2015	43.83	44.72	44.97	44.95	44.92	44.98	45.04(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-5	25	0.35	64%	0.07	13.6	0.79%	0	0.9	64	INF
18	Apr_21_2015	43.8	44.72	44.95	45	44.97	44.99	44.91(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	0	7	41	0.49	64%	0.05	25.6	0.8%	0	0.6	59	INF
19	Apr_20_2015	43.78	44.7	44.92	44.99	45.02	44.86	45(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-20	-1	37	0.21	64%	0.05	33.3	0.81%	0	0.9	54	INF
20	Apr_17_2015	43.76	44.7	44.91	44.95	44.97	44.95	44.65(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-0	-20	38	0.21	64%	0.02	47.4	0.8%	0	-0.1	59	INF

21	Apr_16_2015	43.75	44.69	44.9	45.03	45.01	45.17	45.15(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	15	68	0.2	70%	0.05	62.8	0.79%	0	1.3	68	INF
22	Apr_15_2015	43.73	44.67	44.81	44.99	44.97	44.99	45.27(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	0	17	65	0.29	67%	0.05	82.4	0.82%	0	1.8	68	INF
23	Apr_14_2015	43.71	44.61	44.72	44.89	44.97	44.85	44.89(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10	-4	45	0.15	66%	0.02	87.5	0.83%	0	0.9	52	INF
24	Apr_13_2015	43.7	44.58	44.7	44.85	44.88	44.95	44.79(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	10	3	42	0.37	66%	0.05	88.9	0.83%	0	0.7	48	INF
25	Apr_10_2015	43.68	44.53	44.64	44.86	44.84	44.92	45.05(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	10	17	37	0.14	63%		77.1	0.83%	0	1.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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