Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.8765 (-1.77%) ($43.8574 - $44.4758) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $43.8765(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(30%)    SPY(30%)    IVE(29%)    VT(29%)    XLV(29%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $44.63
5 Day Moving Average   $44.58(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.76(-1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.63(-1.69%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.73%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2015	43.02	44.63	44.76	44.58	44.54	44.41	43.88(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-20	-24	-31	0.18	58%	0.12	62.5	0.97%	0	-1.7	36	INF
2	Mar_5_2015	42.97	44.65	44.89	44.76	44.72	44.6	44.67(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-8	-3	0.25	61%	0.14	92.4	0.95%	0	0	58	INF
3	Mar_4_2015	42.91	44.59	44.91	44.8	44.77	44.68	44.58(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-11	-20	-16	6	0.21	61%	0.14	90.7	0.95%	0	-0	66	INF
4	Mar_3_2015	42.85	44.56	44.94	44.9	44.86	44.84	44.77(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-7	28	0.32	61%	0.14	98.2	0.95%	0	0.4	69	INF
5	Mar_2_2015	42.79	44.48	44.95	44.97	44.94	44.86	44.98(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10	-3	48	0.33	61%	0.14	83.7	0.96%	0	0.8	80	INF

6	Feb_27_2015	42.73	44.36	44.92	44.99	44.99	44.88	44.8(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-20	-11	59	0.17	59%	0.12	64.8	0.95%	0	0.6	73	INF
7	Feb_26_2015	42.68	44.27	44.89	44.99	45.04	45.01	44.85(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-0	-5	71	0.22	59%	0.09	60.8	0.96%	0	0.7	65	INF
8	Feb_25_2015	42.64	44.16	44.82	45.04	45.03	45.11	45.11(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	8	84	0.18	59%	0.12	54.2	0.96%	0	1.1	79	INF
9	Feb_24_2015	42.59	44.06	44.73	44.98	44.94	45.06	45.12(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	11	87	0.2	59%	0.12	58	0.96%	0	1.3	71	INF
10	Feb_23_2015	42.54	43.98	44.59	44.92	44.85	44.95	45.05(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	13	94	0.35	59%	0.09	63.2	0.96%	0	1.3	77	INF

11	Feb_20_2015	42.5	43.89	44.48	44.84	44.78	44.82	45.09(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	0	11	109	0.24	59%	0.12	72.6	0.96%	0	1.6	82	INF
12	Feb_19_2015	42.45	43.8	44.37	44.72	44.7	44.76	44.81(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	10	11	117	0.24	59%	0.09	81.1	0.96%	0	1.4	70	INF
13	Feb_18_2015	42.41	43.71	44.25	44.57	44.63	44.73	44.85(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	20	17	122	0.39	59%	0.09	80.6	0.96%	0	1.6	73	INF
14	Feb_17_2015	42.37	43.59	44.14	44.43	44.45	44.64	44.78(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	30	21	123	0.28	59%	0.09	77.6	0.96%	0	1.8	63	INF
15	Feb_13_2015	42.33	43.48	43.97	44.22	44.27	44.53	44.69(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	40	29	106	0.2	59%	0.09	69.1	0.95%	0	1.9	59	INF

16	Feb_12_2015	42.29	43.34	43.75	44.05	44.07	44.25	44.48(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	30	19	80	0.29	59%	0.07	50.3	0.95%	0	1.7	59	INF
17	Feb_11_2015	42.26	43.23	43.59	43.98	43.96	44.01	44.05(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	12	66	0.65	58%	0.05	47.3	0.94%	0	1.3	55	INF
18	Feb_10_2015	42.24	43.15	43.45	43.88	43.95	43.88	44.12(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	5	51	0.3	58%	0.07	46.6	0.94%	0	1.5	60	INF
19	Feb_9_2015	42.21	43.07	43.35	43.81	43.85	43.91	43.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	10	3	55	0.3	58%	0.02	47.5	0.94%	0	1.1	61	INF
20	Feb_6_2015	42.2	43.03	43.32	43.67	43.79	44.01	43.88(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	40	37	70	0.21	58%	0.05	40.7	0.94%	0	1.5	62	INF

21	Feb_5_2015	42.18	43.01	43.26	43.38	43.45	43.79	44.13(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	60	35	66	0.17	58%	0.05	28.1	0.94%	0	2	69	INF
22	Feb_4_2015	42.16	42.93	43.18	43.14	43.1	43.56	43.52(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	70	41	65	0.16	55%	0.02	7	0.93%	0	1.2	61	INF
23	Feb_3_2015	42.15	42.86	43.11	42.95	42.88	43.11	43.81(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	41	30	36	55	0.51	55%	0.05	-20.5	0.92%	0	1.9	61	INF
24	Feb_2_2015	42.13	42.79	42.99	42.83	42.74	43.11	43.03(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-20	-9	28	0.23	52%	0.02	-44.8	0.9%	0	0.5	54	INF
25	Jan_30_2015	42.12	42.8	42.95	42.93	42.85	42.64	42.41(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-40	-27	23	0.15	53%		-41.8	0.89%	0	-0.8	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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