Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $40.9227 (1.65%) ($39.9840 - $40.9533) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $40.9227(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(32%)    SPY(32%)    VT(31%)    XLV(31%)    XLB(29%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.03(-7.07%)
Resistance Level   $41.46
5 Day Moving Average   $40.73(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.94(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.46(-1.3%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2014	41.52	41.46	40.94	40.73	40.73	40.52	40.92(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-40	-40	-10	-131	0.21	43%	0.05	-64.3	0.68%	0	-0.8	34	0
2	Oct_7_2014	41.5	41.52	41.02	40.66	40.71	40.74	40.26(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	10	-33	-162	0.19	38%	0	-70.4	0.66%	0	-2	28	0
3	Oct_6_2014	41.5	41.62	41.15	40.85	40.8	40.94	40.85(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	20	7	-145	0.33	40%	0.05	-71.9	0.64%	0	-1.3	31	0
4	Oct_3_2014	41.48	41.7	41.24	40.96	40.89	40.69	41.02(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-40	-9	-142	0.41	40%	0.02	-68.3	0.64%	0	-1.2	39	0
5	Oct_2_2014	41.47	41.78	41.36	41.05	40.99	40.66	40.59(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-60	-55	-149	0.83	37%	0.02	-64.7	0.63%	0	-2.1	32	0

6	Oct_1_2014	41.46	41.87	41.53	41.17	41.22	41.1	40.56(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-20	-45	-130	0.4	37%	0	-65.6	0.63%	0	-2.6	28	0
7	Sep_30_2014	41.46	41.97	41.7	41.43	41.38	41.32	41.21(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10	-10	-90	0.21	40%	0.02	-61.8	0.61%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	Sep_29_2014	41.45	42.04	41.81	41.49	41.45	41.34	41.42(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-18	-84	0.19	40%	0.05	-61.1	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0
9	Sep_26_2014	41.43	42.1	41.86	41.56	41.54	41.44	41.47(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-20	-29	-91	0.19	40%	0.05	-54.4	0.61%	0	-1.7	36	0
10	Sep_25_2014	41.41	42.15	41.91	41.72	41.68	41.56	41.21(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-20	-36	-89	0.38	38%	0.05	-43.5	0.6%	0	-2.6	30	0

11	Sep_24_2014	41.39	42.21	42.03	41.95	41.9	41.64	41.81(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-30	-62	0.29	41%	0.05	-28.8	0.58%	0	-1.4	40	0
12	Sep_23_2014	41.37	42.24	42.07	42.03	42.08	41.8	41.53(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-55	-40	-51	-67	0.21	39%	0.05	-15.6	0.57%	0	-2.6	34	0
13	Sep_22_2014	41.35	42.28	42.13	42.17	42.23	42.16	41.78(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-26	-10	-20	-45	0.22	40%	0.05	14	0.57%	0	-2.4	36	0
14	Sep_19_2014	41.33	42.31	42.2	42.19	42.25	42.36	42.25(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	16	-33	0.32	43%	0.05	39.5	0.55%	0	-0.3	42	0
15	Sep_18_2014	41.31	42.3	42.2	42.14	42.14	42.3	42.36(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	30	19	-36	0.1	46%	0.07	53.5	0.55%	0	0.3	49	0

16	Sep_17_2014	41.28	42.29	42.23	42.14	42.08	42.14	42.2(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	15	-39	0.15	46%	0.07	73.3	0.56%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Sep_16_2014	41.25	42.28	42.26	42.13	42.06	41.98	42.24(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-20	-1	-43	0.21	46%	0.07	95.7	0.56%	0	-0.2	48	0
18	Sep_15_2014	41.22	42.25	42.28	42.1	42.07	42.01	41.9(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10	-26	-54	0.15	43%	0.05	87.7	0.55%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	Sep_12_2014	41.2	42.23	42.35	42.21	42.16	42.01	41.98(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10	-15	-26	0.18	43%	0.07	86.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	49	0
20	Sep_11_2014	41.17	42.21	42.4	42.33	42.24	42.14	42.33(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-20	-8	0	0.17	46%	0.05	96.5	0.55%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Sep_10_2014	41.15	42.15	42.41	42.35	42.31	42.17	42.2(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	-30	-25	3	0.14	46%	0.07	88.2	0.55%	0	0.1	56	0
22	Sep_9_2014	41.12	42.09	42.42	42.4	42.41	42.34	42.12(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-21	22	0.12	46%	0.05	82.4	0.55%	0	0.1	59	0
23	Sep_8_2014	41.1	42.04	42.45	42.49	42.49	42.44	42.41(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-7	57	0.38	48%	0.05	79.4	0.54%	0	0.7	77	0
24	Sep_5_2014	41.08	41.97	42.43	42.52	42.52	42.47	42.6(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10	-4	84	0.16	48%	0.07	76.2	0.54%	0	1.1	89	0
25	Sep_4_2014	41.05	41.86	42.39	42.48	42.53	42.54	42.41(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	1	104	0.13	48%		64.4	0.54%	0	0.8	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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