Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $40.5912 (0.07%) ($40.0514 - $40.7371) on Thu. Oct. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $40.5912(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(32%)    SPY(32%)    VT(31%)    XLV(31%)    XLB(29%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.75(-4.54%)
Resistance Level   $41.78
5 Day Moving Average   $41.05(-1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.36(-1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.78(-2.85%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.96%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2014	41.47	41.78	41.36	41.05	40.99	40.66	40.59(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-60	-55	-149	0.83	37%	0.02	-64.7	0.63%	0	-2.1	32	INF
2	Oct_1_2014	41.46	41.87	41.53	41.17	41.22	41.1	40.56(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-20	-45	-130	0.4	37%	0	-65.6	0.63%	0	-2.6	28	INF
3	Sep_30_2014	41.46	41.97	41.7	41.43	41.38	41.32	41.21(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10	-10	-90	0.21	40%	0.02	-61.8	0.61%	0	-1.8	36	INF
4	Sep_29_2014	41.45	42.04	41.81	41.49	41.45	41.34	41.42(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-18	-84	0.19	40%	0.05	-61.1	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	INF
5	Sep_26_2014	41.43	42.1	41.86	41.56	41.54	41.44	41.47(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-20	-29	-91	0.19	40%	0.05	-54.4	0.61%	0	-1.7	36	INF

6	Sep_25_2014	41.41	42.15	41.91	41.72	41.68	41.56	41.21(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-20	-36	-89	0.38	38%	0.05	-43.5	0.6%	0	-2.6	30	INF
7	Sep_24_2014	41.39	42.21	42.03	41.95	41.9	41.64	41.81(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-30	-62	0.29	41%	0.05	-28.8	0.58%	0	-1.4	40	INF
8	Sep_23_2014	41.37	42.24	42.07	42.03	42.08	41.8	41.53(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-55	-40	-51	-67	0.21	39%	0.05	-15.6	0.57%	0	-2.6	34	INF
9	Sep_22_2014	41.35	42.28	42.13	42.17	42.23	42.16	41.78(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-26	-10	-20	-45	0.22	40%	0.05	14	0.57%	0	-2.4	36	INF
10	Sep_19_2014	41.33	42.31	42.2	42.19	42.25	42.36	42.25(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	16	-33	0.32	43%	0.05	39.5	0.55%	0	-0.3	42	INF

11	Sep_18_2014	41.31	42.3	42.2	42.14	42.14	42.3	42.36(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	30	19	-36	0.1	46%	0.07	53.5	0.55%	0	0.3	49	INF
12	Sep_17_2014	41.28	42.29	42.23	42.14	42.08	42.14	42.2(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	15	-39	0.15	46%	0.07	73.3	0.56%	0	-0.5	45	INF
13	Sep_16_2014	41.25	42.28	42.26	42.13	42.06	41.98	42.24(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-20	-1	-43	0.21	46%	0.07	95.7	0.56%	0	-0.2	48	INF
14	Sep_15_2014	41.22	42.25	42.28	42.1	42.07	42.01	41.9(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10	-26	-54	0.15	43%	0.05	87.7	0.55%	0	-1.5	39	INF
15	Sep_12_2014	41.2	42.23	42.35	42.21	42.16	42.01	41.98(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10	-15	-26	0.18	43%	0.07	86.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	49	INF

16	Sep_11_2014	41.17	42.21	42.4	42.33	42.24	42.14	42.33(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-20	-8	0	0.17	46%	0.05	96.5	0.55%	0	0.3	56	INF
17	Sep_10_2014	41.15	42.15	42.41	42.35	42.31	42.17	42.2(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	-30	-25	3	0.14	46%	0.07	88.2	0.55%	0	0.1	56	INF
18	Sep_9_2014	41.12	42.09	42.42	42.4	42.41	42.34	42.12(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-21	22	0.12	46%	0.05	82.4	0.55%	0	0.1	59	INF
19	Sep_8_2014	41.1	42.04	42.45	42.49	42.49	42.44	42.41(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-7	57	0.38	48%	0.05	79.4	0.54%	0	0.7	77	INF
20	Sep_5_2014	41.08	41.97	42.43	42.52	42.52	42.47	42.6(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10	-4	84	0.16	48%	0.07	76.2	0.54%	0	1.1	89	INF

21	Sep_4_2014	41.05	41.86	42.39	42.52	42.53	42.54	42.41(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	1	104	0.13	48%	0.07	64.4	0.54%	0	0.8	88	INF
22	Sep_3_2014	41.02	41.77	42.36	42.48	42.48	42.56	42.49(-0.09%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	40	10	9	131	0.26	48%	0.1	54.8	0.54%	0	1	92	INF
23	Sep_2_2014	40.98	41.68	42.31	42.45	42.43	42.52	42.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	10	16	159	0.17	48%	0.15	46.2	0.54%	0	1.2	95	INF
24	Aug_29_2014	40.92	41.61	42.22	42.41	42.39	42.41	42.57(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	0	16	172	0.12	48%	0.1	41.1	0.54%	0	1.4	90	INF
25	Aug_28_2014	40.88	41.52	42.1	42.32	42.35	42.35	42.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	45	0	3	169	0.09	48%		31.7	0.54%	0	1.3	91	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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