Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.4104 (-0.18%) ($42.2594 - $42.7306) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $42.4104(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(32%)    SPY(32%)    VT(31%)    XLV(31%)    XLB(29%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.48(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.39(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.86(1.31%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.61%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.98%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.56%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2014	41.05	41.86	42.39		42.53	42.54	42.41(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	1	104	0.13	48%	0.07	64.4	0.54%	0	0.8	88	0
2	Sep_3_2014	41.02	41.77	42.36	42.48	42.48	42.56	42.49(-0.09%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	40	10	9	131	0.26	48%	0.1	54.8	0.54%	0	1	92	0
3	Sep_2_2014	40.98	41.68	42.31	42.45	42.43	42.52	42.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	10	16	159	0.17	48%	0.15	46.2	0.54%	0	1.2	95	0
4	Aug_29_2014	40.92	41.61	42.22	42.41	42.39	42.41	42.57(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	0	16	172	0.12	48%	0.1	41.1	0.54%	0	1.4	90	0
5	Aug_28_2014	40.88	41.52	42.1	42.32	42.35	42.35	42.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	45	0	3	169	0.09	48%	0.07	31.7	0.54%	0	1.3	91	0

6	Aug_27_2014	40.85	41.44	42	42.28	42.3	42.38	42.4(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	10	11	193	0.13	48%	0.07	23.4	0.54%	0	1.5	93	0
7	Aug_26_2014	40.82	41.39	41.87	42.22	42.24	42.35	42.34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	70	20	24	208	0.36	48%	0.1	19	0.54%	0	1.6	84	0
8	Aug_25_2014	40.78	41.35	41.73	42.14	42.15	42.22	42.34(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	10	26	205	0.35	48%	0.07	14.3	0.55%	0	1.7	81	0
9	Aug_22_2014	40.75	41.32	41.6	42	42.03	42.14	42.13(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	20	27	188	0.4	48%	0.05	9.8	0.55%	0	1.5	66	0
10	Aug_21_2014	40.73	41.3	41.48	41.84	41.9	42.07	42.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	30	39	175	0.2	48%	0.05	2.3	0.55%	0	1.6	71	0

11	Aug_20_2014	40.71	41.29	41.3	41.67	41.69	41.93	42.11(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	40	45	143	0.21	45%	0.05	-0.8	0.55%	0	1.5	68	0
12	Aug_19_2014	40.69	41.28	41.14	41.48	41.51	41.73	41.95(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	40	52	91	0.28	45%	0.05	-10.2	0.57%	0	1.3	51	0
13	Aug_18_2014	40.67	41.28	41	41.27	41.31	41.46	41.65(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	30	36	32	0.11	42%	0.07	-19.8	0.56%	0	0.7	46	0
14	Aug_15_2014	40.64	41.27	40.94	41.14	41.14	41.29	41.32(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	30	24	-11	0.1	36%	0.05	-26.6	0.56%	0	0.1	39	0
15	Aug_14_2014	40.62	41.27	40.88	41.05	41.08	41.15	41.32(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	10	38	-44	0.31	36%	0.07	-31.3	0.57%	0	0.1	40	0

16	Aug_13_2014	40.59	41.29	40.83	40.86	40.92	41.15	41.15(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	20	16	-110	0.11	36%	0.02	-42.7	0.57%	0	-0.3	34	0
17	Aug_12_2014	40.58	41.33	40.87	40.75	40.79	41	40.91(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	40	24	-135	0.14	39%	0.05	-47.4	0.57%	0	-0.8	32	0
18	Aug_11_2014	40.56	41.37	40.94	40.7	40.69	40.84	41.02(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	30	25	-144	0.1	39%	0.05	-50.4	0.59%	0	-0.6	35	0
19	Aug_8_2014	40.54	41.41	41.02	40.71	40.62	40.58	40.88(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	-10	2	-151	0.12	39%	0.02	-52.3	0.59%	0	-1	37	0
20	Aug_7_2014	40.53	41.45	41.11	40.68	40.69	40.54	40.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-30	-22	-171	0.17	33%	0.02	-59.4	0.57%	0	-2.1	27	0

21	Aug_6_2014	40.52	41.53	41.28	40.78	40.74	40.66	40.58(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-70	-20	-43	-152	0.13	33%	0.02	-65.5	0.57%	0	-2	40	0
22	Aug_5_2014	40.51	41.59	41.43	41	40.89	40.84	40.64(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-20	-30	-116	0.26	33%	0.02	-63.6	0.57%	0	-2.3	33	0
23	Aug_4_2014	40.5	41.65	41.57	41.21	41.13	40.83	41.07(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-60	-36	-87	0.23	36%	0.02	-59.3	0.56%	0	-1.6	42	0
24	Aug_1_2014	40.49	41.7	41.64	41.38	41.37	40.93	40.77(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-82	-80	-81	-86	0.29	31%	0	-47.6	0.55%	0	-2.7	35	0
25	Jul_31_2014	40.49	41.77	41.75	41.6	41.66	41.43	40.84(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-63	-30	-68	-47	0.3	31%		-28.4	0.55%	0	-3.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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