Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $39.4911 (-0.71%) ($39.4630 - $39.7734) on Tue. May. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $39.4911(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(32%)    SPY(32%)    VT(32%)    XLV(31%)    XLB(30%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.69(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.61(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.4(0.23%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2014	39.43	39.4	39.61			39.62	39.49(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10	-5	25	0.1	40%	0.03	1	0.76%	0	0.2	66	0
2	May_5_2014	39.42	39.38	39.63	39.69	39.68	39.7	39.77(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	16	0	5	49	0.17	40%	0.03	-6.7	0.76%	0	1	79	0
3	May_2_2014	39.41	39.37	39.61	39.6	39.63	39.74	39.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	20	15	64	0.09	40%	0.03	-8.8	0.77%	0	0.9	82	0
4	May_1_2014	39.4	39.38	39.58	39.6	39.52	39.65	39.73(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	10	68	0.13	40%	0.03	-0.9	0.79%	0	0.8	68	0
5	Apr_30_2014	39.39	39.39	39.55	39.6	39.47	39.52	39.74(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	0	6	62	0.13	40%	0.03	9.6	0.8%	0	0.8	50	0

6	Apr_29_2014	39.38	39.4	39.48	39.53	39.52	39.39	39.48(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-7	54	0.22	40%	0	15.4	0.8%	0	0.2	54	0
7	Apr_28_2014	39.38	39.41	39.4	39.58	39.59	39.41	39.33(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-20	48	0.1	40%	0	23.1	0.82%	0	-0.2	55	0
8	Apr_25_2014	39.38	39.4	39.31	39.62	39.59	39.65	39.38(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-0	-8	37	0.07	40%	0	23.1	0.83%	0	-0	47	0
9	Apr_24_2014	39.38	39.38	39.26	39.64	39.68	39.77	39.75(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	20	12	26	0.21	43%	0.03	18.5	0.82%	0	0.8	44	0
10	Apr_23_2014	39.37	39.35	39.23	39.56	39.58	39.71	39.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	21	14	0.09	43%	0.03	10.1	0.84%	0	0.7	44	0

11	Apr_22_2014	39.36	39.33	39.18	39.41	39.45	39.59	39.74(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	30	29	-11	0.11	43%	0.05	-0.9	0.86%	0	0.9	46	0
12	Apr_21_2014	39.34	39.33	39.1	39.2	39.22	39.44	39.55(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	40	28	-42	0.16	43%	0.03	-14.5	0.87%	0	0.5	48	0
13	Apr_17_2014	39.33	39.33	39.09	38.96	39.01	39.32	39.45(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	60	33	-58	0.13	43%	0	0	0.89%	0	0.3	53	0
14	Apr_16_2014	39.33	39.33	39.14	38.82	38.79	39.01	39.38(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	40	15	-61	0.14	43%	0.03	0	0.91%	0	0.2	55	0
15	Apr_15_2014	39.32	39.3	39.2	38.87	38.77	38.7	38.95(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-20	-2	-49	0.13	38%	-0.05	0	0.9%	0	-0.8	50	0

16	Apr_14_2014	39.34	39.33	39.3	38.92	38.95	38.58	38.67(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-60	-22	-43	0.11	38%	-0.08	0	0.9%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Apr_11_2014	39.37	39.37	39.41	38.99	39.05	38.85	38.34(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-30	-45	-41	0.11	38%	-0.15	0	0.9%	0	-2.4	42	0
18	Apr_10_2014	39.43	39.37	39.51	39.23	39.23	39.31	38.76(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	10	-18	-7	0.15	41%	-0.1	0	0.89%	0	107.7	43	0
19	Apr_9_2014	39.47	39.37	39.54	39.5	39.42	39.25	39.62(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-40	-7	-3	0.1	52%	0.03	0	0.75%	0	116.5	51	0
20	Apr_8_2014	39.46	39.37	39.49	39.6	39.59	39.15	39.2(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-80	-51	-20	0.16	45%	-0.03	0	0.73%	0	115.3	47	0

21	Apr_7_2014	39.47	39.37	39.51	39.76	39.85	39.58	39.01(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-38	-40	-45	-18	0.18	45%	-0.08	0	0.74%	0	111.5	42	0
22	Apr_4_2014	39.5	39.37	39.54	39.88	40.01	40.03	39.58(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	3	10	3	1	0.08	56%	0	0	0.66%	0	116.4	55	0
23	Apr_3_2014	39.5	39.37	39.53	39.81	39.92	40.12	40.09(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	40	44	18	0.18	70%	0.13	0	0.57%	0	114.5	50	0
24	Apr_2_2014	39.45	39.37	39.47	39.58	39.68	39.99	40.1(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	60	55	22	0.11	70%	0.13	0	0.59%	0	125.3	50	0
25	Apr_1_2014	39.4	39.37	39.39	39.37	39.41	39.72	39.99(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	40	60	47	19	0.28	70%		0	0.62%	0	148.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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