Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $35.9700 (0.47%) ($35.6000 - $36.2300) on Thu. Mar. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $35.9700(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(65%)    SDY(55%)    XLRE(53%)    IWD(51%)    IVE(50%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    DIA(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-9%)    XHB(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.4(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.51(4.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.84(6.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $19.5b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(61%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.91%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2016	32.1	33.84	34.51	35.4	35.43	35.84	35.97(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	80	27	124	3.79	54%	0.12	52.4	1.83%	0	2	71	INF
2	Mar_9_2016	32.06	33.71	34.29	35	35	35.55	35.8(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	110	36	107	4.09	54%	0.09	48.2	1.85%	0	2.2	60	INF
3	Mar_8_2016	32.03	33.58	33.98	34.58	34.49	35.02	35.56(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	100	37	91	3.95	53%	0.13	44.7	1.84%	0	2.5	68	INF
4	Mar_7_2016	31.99	33.45	33.72	34.16	34	34.45	35.11(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	80	29	62	2.65	53%	0.06	37.1	1.86%	0	2.6	57	INF
5	Mar_4_2016	31.97	33.37	33.53	33.83	33.69	33.96	34.56(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	40	26	48	2.74	54%	0.06	34	1.85%	0	2.2	59	INF

6	Mar_3_2016	31.95	33.3	33.36	33.49	33.45	33.55	33.98(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	20	5	23	2.63	54%	0.06	29.6	1.86%	0	1.5	57	INF
7	Mar_2_2016	31.93	33.27	33.34	33.48	33.35	33.43	33.71(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	9	27	2.62	54%	0.03	48.1	1.86%	0	1	50	INF
8	Mar_1_2016	31.92	33.23	33.34	33.28	33.37	33.34	33.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	0	7	7	3.58	56%	0.03	46	1.86%	0	0.5	51	INF
9	Feb_29_2016	31.91	33.21	33.2	33.2	33.19	33.27	33.47(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	20	-2	1	4.29	56%	0.06	54	1.88%	0	0.6	52	INF
10	Feb_26_2016	31.89	33.19	33.2	33.17	33.2	33.39	32.82(-3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	4	40	7	-4	4.85	55%	0.06	62.9	1.87%	0	-0.9	46	INF

11	Feb_25_2016	31.87	33.17	33.14	33.2	33.16	33.12	33.95(3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	0	-10	3	-8	4.62	58%	0.09	65.5	1.83%	0	1.7	54	INF
12	Feb_24_2016	31.84	33.07	33.1	33.19	33.15	33.02	32.7(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-30	-4	-11	5.01	55%	0.06	69.5	1.77%	0	-0.7	46	INF
13	Feb_23_2016	31.82	33.04	33.16	33.11	33.25	33.21	33.04(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	0	-3	-12	3.62	55%	0.03	57.1	1.77%	0	0	52	INF
14	Feb_22_2016	31.81	32.99	33.18	33.19	33.14	33.28	33.33(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	30	3	-4	3.13	55%	0.06	55.5	1.77%	0	0.6	53	INF
15	Feb_19_2016	31.79	32.94	33.21	33.1	33.13	33.29	32.97(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	9	40	12	0	5.48	57%	0.09	49.2	1.77%	0	0	50	INF

16	Feb_18_2016	31.76	32.86	33.24	33.07	33.01	32.99	33.93(5.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10	3	5	6.54	59%	0.09	40.3	1.75%	0	1.5	63	INF
17	Feb_17_2016	31.73	32.72	33.19	33.01	32.96	32.98	32.27(-3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-0	-12	12	5.99	56%	0.03	29.7	1.64%	0	-0.6	56	INF
18	Feb_16_2016	31.72	32.74	33.27	33.22	33.12	33.02	33.46(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	4	42	3.6	59%	0.13	40.6	1.58%	0	1	65	INF
19	Feb_12_2016	31.68	32.66	33.23	33.17	33.11	32.95	32.88(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-40	-17	45	3.54	59%	0.06	40.4	1.56%	0	0.3	64	INF
20	Feb_11_2016	31.66	32.64	33.25	33.33	33.23	33.22	32.81(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10	-7	69	2.85	61%	0.06	56.5	1.57%	0	0.2	57	INF

21	Feb_10_2016	31.64	32.58	33.2	33.42	33.33	33.26	33.63(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-20	1	90	2.84	64%	0.09	56.5	1.56%	0	1.3	73	INF
22	Feb_9_2016	31.61	32.5	33.04	33.4	33.33	33.24	33.32(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-30	-2	98	3.21	64%	0.06	63.2	1.56%	0	1.1	73	INF
23	Feb_8_2016	31.59	32.44	32.92	33.33	33.34	33.4	33.2(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	10	2	93	5.82	64%	0.06	66.7	1.56%	0	1.1	55	INF
24	Feb_5_2016	31.57	32.35	32.79	33.3	33.22	33.44	33.7(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	11	94	5.78	58%	0.06	65	1.62%	0	1.9	63	INF
25	Feb_4_2016	31.55	32.22	32.64	33.17	33.12	33.29	33.25(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	20	87	3.99	58%		53.9	1.64%	0	1.5	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.