Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $44.3400 (0.11%) ($43.9800 - $44.5100) on Thu. Mar. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $44.3400(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(66%)    XLP(48%)    SPY(45%)    JNK(39%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-2%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(7%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.07(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.86(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.5(1.93%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $24.037b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.77%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2012	43.76	43.5	43.86	44.07	43.99	44.16	44.34(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	17	76	2.99	44%	-0.02	83.8	1.2%	0	1.6	75	NAN
2	Feb_29_2012	43.77	43.41	43.7	44	43.94	43.85	44.29(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-20	6	65	4.22	49%	0	86.1	1.24%	0	1.8	68	NAN
3	Feb_28_2012	43.77	43.31	43.59	43.89	43.92	43.81	43.81(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-6	54	2.72	52%	-0.05	85.8	1.24%	0	1	58	NAN
4	Feb_27_2012	43.79	43.23	43.51	43.81	43.91	44.03	43.83(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	30	6	52	2.3	52%	0	77.7	1.26%	0	1.1	58	NAN
5	Feb_24_2012	43.79	43.15	43.4	43.72	43.79	44.04	44.07(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	17	43	4.74	52%	0	77.6	1.26%	0	1.6	55	NAN

6	Feb_23_2012	43.79	43.08	43.26	43.61	43.65	43.8	44(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	30	23	27	2.96	49%	0.02	92	1.27%	0	1.7	48	NAN
7	Feb_22_2012	43.78	42.98	43.15	43.36	43.48	43.54	43.75(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	20	9	10	2.1	47%	0	82.1	1.3%	0	1.5	62	NAN
8	Feb_21_2012	43.78	42.86	43.09	43.25	43.3	43.51	43.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	40	9	12	2.05	45%	-0.05	60	1.32%	0	0.9	63	NAN
9	Feb_17_2012	43.8	42.8	43.09	43.17	43.19	43.42	43.38(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	40	20	23	1.93	42%	-0.05	52.2	1.33%	0	0.9	64	NAN
10	Feb_16_2012	43.82	42.71	43.07	43.03	43.05	43.1	43.53(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	15	25	2.29	41%	-0.02	38.6	1.35%	0	1.1	64	NAN

11	Feb_15_2012	43.83	42.59	43.1	42.85	42.86	42.97	42.76(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	20	-1	20	1.61	41%	-0.05	28.1	1.34%	0	0.2	51	NAN
12	Feb_14_2012	43.85	42.55	43.09	42.89	42.82	42.99	43.16(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	20	8	30	1.73	39%	-0.07	26.6	1.36%	0	0.8	62	NAN
13	Feb_13_2012	43.88	42.49	43	42.91	42.83	42.76	43.03(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-20	2	38	2.2	39%	-0.05	24.9	1.37%	0	0.7	68	NAN
14	Feb_10_2012	43.9	42.45	42.92	42.95	42.87	42.65	42.65(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-40	-19	34	2.33	41%	-0.05	26.9	1.38%	0	0.3	57	NAN
15	Feb_9_2012	43.92	42.43	42.89	43.13	43.06	42.9	42.67(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-30	-20	52	1.87	39%	-0.05	35.3	1.38%	0	0.3	61	NAN

16	Feb_8_2012	43.94	42.39	42.9	43.38	43.26	43.09	42.94(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-40	-8	86	2.79	39%	-0.09	44.9	1.42%	0	0.8	65	NAN
17	Feb_7_2012	43.98	42.36	42.83	43.3	43.52	43.22	43.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-30	3	89	2.31	39%	-0.02	40	1.42%	0	1.3	59	NAN
18	Feb_6_2012	43.99	42.31	42.64	43.1	43.33	43.42	43.25(-0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	30	-1	71	2.42	39%	-0.07	20.9	1.43%	0	1.4	59	NAN
19	Feb_3_2012	44.02	42.26	42.52	42.88	43.06	43.82	43.53(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	46	140	36	74	3.84	39%	-0.02	-8.7	1.42%	0	2	59	NAN
20	Feb_2_2012	44.03	42.18	42.31	42.63	42.7	43.24	43.95(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	54	90	51	61	9.4	39%	0	-44.6	1.42%	0	3.2	61	NAN

21	Feb_1_2012	44.03	42.18	42.02	42.38	42.27	42.29	42.55(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-0	7	23	3.94	35%	-0.02	-117	1.37%	0	1.3	55	NAN
22	Jan_31_2012	44.04	42.08	41.96	42.3	42.3	42.16	42.22(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-20	7	14	3.59	35%	-0.02	-135.5	1.37%	0	0.4	48	NAN
23	Jan_30_2012	44.05	42.18	41.96	42.11	42.11	42.25	42.15(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	20	-3	-5	11.14	35%	-0.02	-146.3	1.37%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
24	Jan_27_2012	44.06	42.31	41.93	42.08	41.96	42.44	42.26(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	70	25	4	11	38%	-0.02	-88.7	1.38%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
25	Jan_26_2012	44.07	42.42	41.91	41.93	41.84	41.96	42.72(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	10	34	1	12.74	38%		-59.9	1.4%	0	0.3	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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