Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $45.3200 (-1.52%) ($45.3000 - $46.3300) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $45.3200(-1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(67%)    XLP(48%)    SPY(45%)    JNK(39%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(6%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.3(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.46(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.94(3.14%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $24.568b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.39%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2011	43.5	43.94	44.46	45.3	45.33	45.67	45.32(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	50	23	80	2.51	53%	0.07	84.9	1.84%	0	1.4	55	0
2	Sep_20_2011	43.47	43.8	44.28	45.06	45.05	45.22	46.02(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	30	25	70	2.73	53%	0.14	79.5	1.83%	0	2.4	61	0
3	Sep_19_2011	43.41	43.56	43.96	44.56	44.61	45	44.93(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	60	18	44	1.81	50%	0.14	59.2	1.81%	0	1.5	58	0
4	Sep_16_2011	43.35	43.4	43.76	44.22	44.24	44.89	45.43(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	100	42	43	2.89	50%	0.12	50.2	1.8%	0	2.1	68	0
5	Sep_15_2011	43.3	43.23	43.59	43.68	43.62	44.23	44.8(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	90	28	23	1.52	49%	0.14	40.2	1.8%	0	1.8	63	0

6	Sep_14_2011	43.24	43.14	43.51	43.51	43.24	43.59	44.11(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	40	19	17	2.07	51%	0.09	59.6	1.8%	0	1.3	53	0
7	Sep_13_2011	43.2	43.06	43.51	43.39	43.21	43.02	43.54(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-40	6	16	1.83	51%	0.12	67.2	1.81%	0	0.6	57	0
8	Sep_12_2011	43.15	43.02	43.48	43.26	43.24	42.9	43.22(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-60	-11	19	2.37	51%	0	86.6	1.81%	0	0.3	63	0
9	Sep_9_2011	43.15	42.93	43.42	43.22	43.16	43.39	42.71(-2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	30	-12	24	3	51%	0.09	77	1.81%	0	-0.3	58	0
10	Sep_8_2011	43.11	42.89	43.44	43.47	43.2	43.58	43.97(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	15	50	2.3	53%	0.14	86.4	1.78%	0	1.3	61	0

11	Sep_7_2011	43.05	42.69	43.39	43.52	43.31	42.94	43.5(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-70	-2	51	3.47	53%	0.12	55.2	1.77%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Sep_6_2011	43	42.56	43.3	43.59	43.48	42.83	42.91(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-110	-33	43	2.45	53%	0.21	41.4	1.77%	0	0.3	53	0
13	Sep_2_2011	42.91	42.39	43.17	43.73	43.79	43.69	43.02(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10	-10	50	1.85	53%	0.12	18.9	1.75%	0	0.5	52	0
14	Sep_1_2011	42.86	42.31	43.05	43.63	43.8	44.14	43.93(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	70	22	63	2.74	56%	0.16	5.5	1.74%	0	1.2	65	0
15	Aug_31_2011	42.79	42.17	42.87	43.39	43.34	43.88	44.25(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	80	20	55	4.05	56%	0.16	-12.2	1.74%	0	1.6	63	0

16	Aug_30_2011	42.72	42.11	42.73	43.24	43.1	43.47	43.85(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	50	28	78	2.99	56%	0.16	-21.2	1.74%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Aug_29_2011	42.65	42.1	42.59	42.98	43	42.81	43.58(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-30	20	77	2.7	56%	0.16	-29.6	1.75%	0	1.1	62	0
18	Aug_26_2011	42.58	42.14	42.5	42.53	42.66	42.74	42.53(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	-7	75	2.13	53%	0.12	-38.9	1.73%	0	0.3	65	0
19	Aug_25_2011	42.53	42.23	42.39	42.38	42.54	43.2	42.73(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	120	27	83	2.57	53%	0.14	-38.4	1.73%	0	0.3	55	0
20	Aug_24_2011	42.47	42.33	42.3	42.26	42.2	42.58	43.53(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	60	28	84	3.51	56%	0.17	-37.4	1.71%	0	0.7	58	0

21	Aug_23_2011	42.4	42.38	41.92	42.26	41.92	41.89	42.53(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-20	-2	41	3.5	51%	0.12	-32.8	1.69%	0	0.1	46	0
22	Aug_22_2011	42.35	42.51	41.76	42.17	42.17	41.81	41.35(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-60	-15	11	3.02	48%	0.12	-26	1.66%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	Aug_19_2011	42.3	42.7	41.57	42.46	42.32	41.95	41.75(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-70	-17	-19	3.25	48%	0.09	-16.1	1.66%	0	-0.5	39	0
24	Aug_18_2011	42.26	42.83	41.53	42.37	42.41	42.53	42.14(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	20	-1	-43	3.37	48%	0.12	-14.8	1.66%	0	-0.4	41	0
25	Aug_17_2011	42.21	42.95	41.44	42.3	42.3	42.7	43.06(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	70	41	-59	2.15	53%		-13.3	1.65%	0	0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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