Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 10, 2011

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $40.3000 (0.93%) ($39.6700 - $40.3200) on Thu. Feb. 10, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $40.3000(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(67%)    XLP(49%)    SPY(46%)    JNK(41%)    IWM(39%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    TIP(4%)    SHY(4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.94(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.83(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.45(2.15%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $21.847b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.25%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2011	37.48	39.45	39.83	39.94	39.89	39.92	40.3(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	0	8	67	3.23	61%	0.08	72.4	0.79%	0	1.4	56	NAN
2	Feb_9_2011	37.45	39.35	39.74	39.9	39.85	39.86	39.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-0	-10	58	2.82	60%	0.11	71.6	0.8%	0	1	55	NAN
3	Feb_8_2011	37.41	39.26	39.65	40.04	39.91	39.85	39.93(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-20	1	81	1.35	60%	0.08	75.3	0.8%	0	1	60	NAN
4	Feb_7_2011	37.38	39.18	39.55	40	39.97	39.84	39.92(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-30	4	82	1.92	60%	0.11	78	0.81%	0	1.1	61	NAN
5	Feb_4_2011	37.34	39.09	39.5	39.84	39.9	39.97	39.63(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	20	10	85	4.15	60%	0.08	78.9	0.8%	0	0.8	60	NAN

6	Feb_3_2011	37.31	39.02	39.49	39.67	39.69	40.11	40.1(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	80	33	99	10.16	56%	0.11	77.6	0.79%	0	1.6	67	NAN
7	Feb_2_2011	37.27	38.92	39.42	39.55	39.48	39.83	40.62(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	75	60	62	113	5.83	63%	0.11	80.6	0.84%	0	2.6	73	NAN
8	Feb_1_2011	37.23	38.78	39.23	39.21	39.25	39.27	39.74(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	10	22	77	9.42	59%	0.05	83.3	0.84%	0	1.7	70	NAN
9	Jan_31_2011	37.21	38.67	39.13	39.06	39.12	39.13	39.12(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	10	-11	59	3.31	56%	0.05	79.3	0.83%	0	0.8	63	NAN
10	Jan_28_2011	37.19	38.57	39.08	39.12	39.15	39.24	38.77(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	20	-5	77	2.84	53%	0.03	71.6	0.82%	0	0.3	59	NAN

11	Jan_27_2011	37.18	38.5	39.05	39.28	39.22	39.11	39.49(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-20	2	106	3.14	59%	0.05	76.4	0.79%	0	1.4	73	NAN
12	Jan_26_2011	37.16	38.39	38.93	39.26	39.29	39.06	38.93(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-40	-18	107	4.63	49%	0.05	80	0.77%	0	0.8	70	NAN
13	Jan_25_2011	37.14	38.32	38.85	39.24	39.32	39.34	38.98(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	10	-5	110	3.63	49%	0.05	84.6	0.81%	0	0.9	73	NAN
14	Jan_24_2011	37.12	38.23	38.79	39.2	39.23	39.51	39.43(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	50	32	133	2.57	53%	0.03	87.1	0.81%	0	1.6	87	NAN
15	Jan_21_2011	37.11	38.11	38.66	39.03	39	39.31	39.57(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	50	39	118	2.85	41%	0.08	93.5	1%	0	2.1	94	NAN

16	Jan_20_2011	37.08	37.97	38.52	38.79	38.73	38.95	39.4(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	40	31	109	4.24	41%	0.05	98.2	1%	0	2.2	85	NAN
17	Jan_19_2011	37.06	37.83	38.37	38.56	38.53	38.69	38.82(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	30	20	98	2.42	36%	0.05	101.3	0.99%	0	1.7	80	NAN
18	Jan_18_2011	37.04	37.72	38.28	38.41	38.41	38.52	38.76(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	20	16	92	2.52	40%	0.08	98.8	0.99%	0	1.7	77	NAN
19	Jan_14_2011	37.01	37.59	38.17	38.31	38.3	38.37	38.6(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	10	9	88	1.92	40%	0.08	90.6	0.99%	0	1.5	77	NAN
20	Jan_13_2011	36.98	37.47	38.02	38.24	38.23	38.31	38.36(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	10	6	83	4.19	44%	0.05	87.8	0.99%	0	1.3	78	NAN

21	Jan_12_2011	36.96	37.34	37.91	38.2	38.2	38.24	38.28(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	10	10	87	2.76	44%	0.08	83.6	1.01%	0	1.3	79	NAN
22	Jan_11_2011	36.93	37.23	37.81	38.15	38.12	38.14	38.07(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	0	3	91	3.66	44%	0.05	83.1	1.01%	0	1.1	80	NAN
23	Jan_10_2011	36.91	37.12	37.74	38.11	38.05	38.16	38.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	20	12	106	8.65	44%	0.05	81	1.01%	0	1.4	86	NAN
24	Jan_7_2011	36.89	36.99	37.64	38	37.94	38.09	38.25(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	20	26	119	6.93	44%	0.05	77.2	1.01%	0	1.6	87	NAN
25	Jan_6_2011	36.87	36.85	37.52	37.75	37.76	37.94	38.16(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	30	23	112	6.96	44%		69.6	1.01%	0	1.6	88	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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