Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $37.4500 (2.52%) ($36.7300 - $37.5100) on Wed. Sep. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $37.4500(2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(67%)    XLP(49%)    SPY(46%)    JNK(40%)    IWM(39%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(4%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.56(2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.29(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.56(2.43%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $20.302b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2010	36.71	36.56	36.29	36.56	36.59	36.78	37.45(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	40	29	19	2.99	59%	-0.03	-53.6	1.42%	0	1.3	65	NAN
2	Aug_31_2010	36.72	36.57	36.22	36.25	36.3	36.47	36.53(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	10	-3	2.76	57%	-0.11	-62.4	1.45%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
3	Aug_30_2010	36.76	36.66	36.26	36.13	36.15	36.41	36.33(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	50	15	-11	1.76	57%	-0.08	-61.7	1.46%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
4	Aug_27_2010	36.79	36.76	36.27	36.08	35.97	36.13	36.66(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	20	16	-24	2.97	59%	-0.08	-60.3	1.45%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
5	Aug_26_2010	36.82	36.81	36.22	35.92	35.92	35.89	35.82(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	0	-54	2.96	57%	-0.08	-64	1.45%	0	-1.1	32	NAN

6	Aug_25_2010	36.85	36.92	36.23	35.99	35.9	35.82	35.89(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-20	-15	-76	4.11	57%	-0.11	-61.5	1.45%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
7	Aug_24_2010	36.89	37.06	36.27	36.18	36.06	35.95	35.95(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-30	-15	-80	6.09	57%	-0.11	-50.6	1.46%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
8	Aug_23_2010	36.93	37.2	36.4	36.4	36.33	35.98	36.08(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-70	-14	-80	7.38	57%	-0.03	-42.2	1.46%	0	-1.2	27	NAN
9	Aug_20_2010	36.94	37.29	36.54	36.49	36.54	36.17	35.84(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-70	-22	-90	3.19	54%	-0.11	-41.3	1.46%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
10	Aug_19_2010	36.98	37.4	36.7	36.57	36.63	36.68	36.17(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	10	-3	-78	4.33	54%	-0.08	-37.4	1.5%	0	-1.4	38	NAN

11	Aug_18_2010	37.01	37.51	36.85	36.49	36.54	36.92	36.87(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	80	21	-80	3.77	54%	-0.05	-37.5	1.48%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
12	Aug_17_2010	37.03	37.56	36.94	36.37	36.28	36.58	37.06(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	50	13	-99	3.15	54%	-0.05	-41.3	1.49%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
13	Aug_16_2010	37.05	37.61	37.08	36.43	36.21	36.16	36.49(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-30	-6	-107	2.86	53%	-0.05	-37.7	1.48%	0	-1.4	29	NAN
14	Aug_13_2010	37.07	37.67	37.27	36.62	36.46	35.99	36.24(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-100	-26	-100	3.21	53%	-0.08	-30.4	1.48%	0	-1.8	39	NAN
15	Aug_12_2010	37.1	37.73	37.43	36.88	36.83	36.26	35.77(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-58	-110	-45	-96	3	54%	-0.11	-22.9	1.48%	0	-2.8	35	NAN

16	Aug_11_2010	37.14	37.83	37.67	37.27	37.2	36.94	36.3(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-50	-32	-72	3.81	54%	-0.13	-0.7	1.48%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
17	Aug_10_2010	37.19	37.9	37.92	37.58	37.46	37.41	37.33(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-20	-14	-41	3.22	59%	-0.05	32.2	1.44%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
18	Aug_9_2010	37.21	37.92	38.07	37.83	37.59	37.46	37.47(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-40	-14	-17	2.5	59%	-0.08	71.8	1.46%	0	-1	47	NAN
19	Aug_6_2010	37.24	37.91	38.12	38.02	37.82	37.52	37.52(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-70	-12	-3	3.18	57%	-0.05	105.4	1.47%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
20	Aug_5_2010	37.26	37.89	38.16	38.06	38.04	37.71	37.71(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-60	-17	4	2.14	53%	-0.05	108.5	1.5%	0	-0.3	57	NAN

21	Aug_4_2010	37.28	37.84	38.23	38.13	38.08	38.13	37.85(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	10	-17	16	3.65	51%	-0.05	103.3	1.57%	0	0	54	NAN
22	Aug_3_2010	37.3	37.75	38.24	38.31	38.24	38.37	38.6(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	9	40	3.83	53%	-0.03	88.7	1.57%	0	0.9	60	NAN
23	Aug_2_2010	37.31	37.58	38.17	38.35	38.31	38.02	38.44(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-60	0	44	4.07	53%	-0.03	84.5	1.57%	0	1	59	NAN
24	Jul_30_2010	37.32	37.4	38.1	38.24	38.35	38.11	37.7(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-40	-17	36	3.83	52%	-0.05	61.9	1.56%	0	0.3	56	NAN
25	Jul_29_2010	37.34	37.27	38.05	38.27	38.39	38.59	38.08(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	50	-0	46	3.92	52%		53.3	1.56%	0	0.7	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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