Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $46.7700 (0.8%) ($46.0200 - $46.8700) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $46.7700(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(68%)    XLP(49%)    SPY(47%)    JNK(41%)    IWM(39%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.88(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.95(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.54(5.01%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $25.355b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 3.97% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.93%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2009	44.64	44.54	45.95	46.88	46.83	46.54	46.77(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	41	-50	-5	177	2.47	38%	0.11	68.5	1.25%	0	1.3	79	NAN
2	Dec_16_2009	44.59	44.33	45.76	46.69	46.81	46.85	46.4(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	53	10	7	189	3.15	41%	0.11	67.5	1.27%	0	1.2	72	NAN
3	Dec_15_2009	44.54	44.13	45.52	46.37	46.52	47.12	47.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	100	48	204	1.95	42%	0.09	63.2	1.28%	0	1.9	81	NAN
4	Dec_14_2009	44.5	43.89	45.14	45.8	45.9	46.77	47.28(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	98	140	65	195	2.16	44%	0.11	56.7	1.28%	0	2.2	82	NAN
5	Dec_11_2009	44.45	43.62	44.71	45.32	45.26	45.92	46.69(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	89	100	59	180	2.36	44%	0.11	53.7	1.28%	0	2.3	82	NAN

6	Dec_10_2009	44.4	43.36	44.3	44.91	44.84	45.03	45.82(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	20	28	152	2.27	42%	0.11	47.3	1.27%	0	2.1	78	NAN
7	Dec_9_2009	44.35	43.2	44.03	44.73	44.65	44.59	44.81(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10	4	144	2	39%	0.07	53.5	1.24%	0	1.5	66	NAN
8	Dec_8_2009	44.32	43.11	43.79	44.54	44.67	44.66	44.4(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	10	10	136	1.8	39%	0.09	58.1	1.24%	0	1.3	64	NAN
9	Dec_7_2009	44.28	43.04	43.57	44.35	44.46	44.72	44.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	50	23	128	2.59	39%	0.09	59.7	1.23%	0	2	70	NAN
10	Dec_4_2009	44.24	42.91	43.28	43.99	44.11	44.68	44.6(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	100	45	114	4.27	39%	0.09	50.3	1.24%	0	2	72	NAN

11	Dec_3_2009	44.2	42.8	43.02	43.59	43.65	44.2	44.92(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	64	90	52	98	3.09	41%	0.09	30.6	1.24%	0	2.9	77	NAN
12	Dec_2_2009	44.16	42.64	42.77	43.24	43.13	43.55	43.9(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	60	35	70	2.52	38%	0.09	9.7	1.23%	0	2.2	57	NAN
13	Dec_1_2009	44.12	42.55	42.63	42.94	42.9	43.1	43.45(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	30	34	45	2.38	38%	0.07	-22.9	1.22%	0	1.8	50	NAN
14	Nov_30_2009	44.09	42.55	42.53	42.67	42.6	42.71	43.08(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	10	13	13	2.47	38%	0.09	-67	1.22%	0	1.3	47	NAN
15	Nov_27_2009	44.05	42.49	42.43	42.45	42.45	42.69	42.61(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	40	16	-4	0.78	38%	0.25	-102.7	1.21%	0	0.3	52	NAN

16	Nov_25_2009	43.94	42.57	42.34	42.33	42.32	42.49	43.16(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	30	19	-21	2.03	39%	0.11	-94.8	1.19%	0	0.9	54	NAN
17	Nov_24_2009	43.89	42.59	42.29	42.24	42.19	42.21	42.4(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-0	-2	-28	2.35	36%	0.11	-110.4	1.17%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
18	Nov_23_2009	43.84	42.66	42.36	42.29	42.3	42.14	42.11(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-30	-8	-15	2.84	36%	-0.05	-103	1.17%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
19	Nov_20_2009	43.86	42.8	42.47	42.38	42.39	42.18	41.95(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-15	-4	2.28	40%	0.09	-89.6	1.21%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
20	Nov_19_2009	43.82	42.98	42.52	42.4	42.49	42.46	42.05(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	0	-1	-5	1.63	40%	0.07	-79.2	1.22%	0	-0.7	40	NAN

21	Nov_18_2009	43.79	43.2	42.58	42.32	42.41	42.6	42.68(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	40	6	-26	1.57	42%	0.09	-75.2	1.21%	0	-0.4	36	NAN
22	Nov_17_2009	43.75	43.37	42.52	42.35	42.29	42.51	42.65(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	5	-43	1.68	42%	0.07	-69.2	1.21%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
23	Nov_16_2009	43.72	43.55	42.46	42.46	42.43	42.21	42.57(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-40	-4	-60	2.28	42%	0.07	-60.8	1.22%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
24	Nov_13_2009	43.69	43.78	42.45	42.59	42.61	42.08	42.07(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-90	-32	-90	2.43	42%	0.07	-53	1.22%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
25	Nov_12_2009	43.66	44.02	42.56	42.66	42.84	42.65	41.64(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-20	-29	-113	3.73	42%		-48.2	1.22%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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