Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $45.6500 (0.59%) ($45.2500 - $45.8700) on Mon. Aug. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $45.6500(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(68%)    XLP(49%)    SPY(47%)    JNK(41%)    IWM(40%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.59(2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.11(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.03(6.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $24.747b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.13%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2009	40.24	43.03	44.11	44.59	44.57	45.25	45.65(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	60	110	41	117	1.28	75%	0.17	55.7	1.7%	0	2	86	0
2	Aug_21_2009	40.17	42.87	43.84	44.17	44.06	44.53	45.38(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	49	70	31	103	1.7	75%	0.15	60.2	1.71%	0	2.2	78	0
3	Aug_20_2009	40.11	42.73	43.58	43.93	43.73	43.88	44.27(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	10	13	101	1.66	73%	0.12	73.3	1.69%	0	1.6	78	0
4	Aug_19_2009	40.06	42.62	43.36	43.8	43.67	43.6	43.98(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-20	5	97	2.12	73%	0.15	75.3	1.69%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Aug_18_2009	40	42.46	43.11	43.68	43.61	43.58	43.69(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10	1	92	1.94	73%	0.13	73.6	1.7%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Aug_17_2009	39.95	42.33	42.89	43.54	43.5	43.75	43.53(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	40	9	90	2.01	73%	0.08	74.1	1.7%	0	1.2	66	0
7	Aug_14_2009	39.92	42.2	42.73	43.44	43.3	43.64	44.18(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	50	19	70	2.39	57%	0.1	76.6	2.09%	0	2	58	0
8	Aug_13_2009	39.88	42.02	42.43	43.18	43.03	43.26	43.6(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	30	18	51	1.59	54%	0.08	85.5	2.1%	0	1.8	54	0
9	Aug_12_2009	39.85	41.87	42.22	42.85	42.8	42.96	43.39(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	20	18	36	2.34	54%	0.13	91	2.12%	0	1.8	59	0
10	Aug_11_2009	39.8	41.75	42.01	42.44	42.45	42.8	42.98(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	60	16	24	2.63	54%	0.05	100.5	2.12%	0	1.5	66	0

11	Aug_10_2009	39.78	41.61	41.87	42.15	42.07	42.63	43.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	90	21	18	1.26	54%	0.1	101.9	2.14%	0	1.7	62	0
12	Aug_7_2009	39.74	41.45	41.82	41.92	41.79	42.11	42.87(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	40	23	21	2.65	54%	0.1	96	2.15%	0	1.5	63	0
13	Aug_6_2009	39.7	41.26	41.79	41.58	41.69	41.5	41.96(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-20	4	15	2.11	52%	0.1	88.8	2.13%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Aug_5_2009	39.66	41.12	41.8	41.58	41.61	41.46	41.37(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-20	-11	14	3	52%	0.1	66.6	2.13%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Aug_4_2009	39.62	40.93	41.75	41.51	41.68	41.87	41.49(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	40	2	18	2.18	52%	0.1	54.2	2.15%	0	0.4	55	0

16	Aug_3_2009	39.58	40.75	41.73	41.54	41.67	41.75	41.9(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	20	3	26	2.72	52%	0.15	46.8	2.15%	0	0.7	63	0
17	Jul_31_2009	39.52	40.57	41.64	41.71	41.63	41.48	41.2(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-30	-14	33	3.52	56%	0.13	46.6	2.16%	0	0.4	63	0
18	Jul_30_2009	39.47	40.4	41.6	42.04	41.96	41.58	41.6(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-70	-9	58	2.31	56%	0.1	44.6	2.2%	0	0.7	71	0
19	Jul_29_2009	39.43	40.29	41.52	42.13	42.16	41.78	41.34(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-60	-10	74	2.07	56%	0.1	50.1	2.2%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Jul_28_2009	39.39	40.16	41.49	42.01	42.13	42.34	41.66(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	40	1	99	2.95	56%	0.1	50.2	2.2%	0	0.9	81	0

21	Jul_27_2009	39.35	40.04	41.36	41.91	41.88	42.55	42.76(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	110	28	127	1.15	59%	0.15	53	2.18%	0	1.7	83	0
22	Jul_24_2009	39.29	39.86	41.06	41.54	41.49	41.91	42.82(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	55	70	31	127	1.46	59%	0.13	53.7	2.19%	0	2	79	0
23	Jul_23_2009	39.24	39.68	40.68	41.11	41.09	41.21	42.09(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	20	12	115	1.97	59%	0.05	52.7	2.18%	0	1.9	78	0
24	Jul_22_2009	39.22	39.49	40.37	40.85	40.87	41.07	40.73(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	40	2	103	1.36	56%	0.05	50.8	2.15%	0	1	58	0
25	Jul_21_2009	39.2	39.35	40.04	40.9	40.81	40.97	41.16(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	20	13	102	2.02	56%		47.7	2.14%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.