Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $51.9500 (1.92%) ($50.6000 - $52.5100) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $51.9500(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(68%)    XLP(50%)    SPY(48%)    IWM(41%)    JNK(41%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-0%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.06(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.29(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.21(3.47%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $28.163b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2009	53.67	50.21	51.29	51.06	51.03	51.39	51.95(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	50	2	25	2.94	35%	-0.22	21	3%	0	1.2	62	NAN
2	Feb_4_2009	53.79	50.03	51.14	51.18	50.97	51.22	50.97(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	3	37	2.25	42%	-0.32	27.3	3.11%	0	0.7	63	NAN
3	Feb_3_2009	53.96	50.04	51.06	51.18	51.22	50.68	51.58(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-80	-3	45	2.03	42%	-0.3	46.5	3.24%	0	1.1	67	NAN
4	Feb_2_2009	54.12	50.03	50.82	51.41	51.43	50.72	50.81(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-100	-22	40	2.57	42%	-0.35	65.1	3.25%	0	0.5	60	NAN
5	Jan_30_2009	54.31	49.97	50.75	51.58	51.83	51.76	49.99(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	10	-3	56	2.84	44%	-0.35	81.7	3.3%	0	0	56	NAN

6	Jan_29_2009	54.5	49.9	50.67	51.5	51.67	52.15	52.57(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	70	15	67	2.82	47%	-0.26	87.2	3.33%	0	1.8	72	NAN
7	Jan_28_2009	54.64	49.65	50.23	51.08	50.97	51.89	52.11(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	120	20	60	2.19	55%	-0.29	81.2	3.33%	0	1.8	65	NAN
8	Jan_27_2009	54.8	49.37	49.8	50.65	50.48	51.19	51.59(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	25	39	2.44	51%	-0.35	63.6	3.74%	0	1.7	49	NAN
9	Jan_26_2009	54.99	49.1	49.5	50.15	49.94	50.05	51.64(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	0	9	15	2.68	51%	-0.33	29.9	3.82%	0	1.8	47	NAN
10	Jan_23_2009	55.17	48.81	49.2	49.83	49.7	49.76	49.57(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	0	-0	3	2.47	49%	-0.36	2	3.83%	0	0.5	50	NAN

11	Jan_22_2009	55.37	48.64	49.03	49.71	49.78	49.83	50.5(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	10	11	3	3.47	46%	-0.34	-24.8	3.86%	0	1.3	57	NAN
12	Jan_21_2009	55.56	48.56	48.82	49.23	49.36	49.64	49.95(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	50	7	-4	3.51	46%	-0.39	-43.3	3.97%	0	0.9	60	NAN
13	Jan_20_2009	55.78	48.54	48.91	48.81	48.8	49.73	49.09(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	130	12	4	2.14	50%	-0.43	-59.8	3.98%	0	0.3	61	NAN
14	Jan_16_2009	56.02	48.68	49.15	48.73	48.4	49.09	50.03(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	80	19	21	2.53	50%	-0.44	-67.8	4.13%	0	0.8	66	NAN
15	Jan_15_2009	56.27	48.78	49.1	48.5	48.4	47.88	49(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-60	5	22	2.9	46%	-0.44	-70.2	4.13%	0	0.1	64	NAN

16	Jan_14_2009	56.52	49.01	49.06	48.25	48.18	47.71	48.08(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-70	-11	18	3.55	46%	-0.46	-67.7	4.32%	0	-0.5	61	NAN
17	Jan_13_2009	56.78	49.24	49.03	48.34	48.3	48.49	47.85(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	30	-11	16	2.22	53%	-0.47	-63.4	4.32%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
18	Jan_12_2009	57.05	49.54	48.95	49.02	48.7	48.65	48.68(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-30	-3	19	1.93	53%	-0.44	-53.9	4.85%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
19	Jan_9_2009	57.3	49.82	48.71	49.64	49.24	48.11	48.9(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-180	-11	10	2.32	48%	-0.45	-42.9	5.02%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
20	Jan_8_2009	57.56	50.09	48.43	49.79	49.82	48.76	47.76(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-150	-19	-6	3.12	47%	-0.43	-41.9	5.04%	0	-0.8	35	NAN

21	Jan_7_2009	57.81	50.41	48.28	49.96	50.12	50.37	48.51(-5.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	40	-1	-14	3.07	46%	-0.41	-41.3	5.05%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
22	Jan_6_2009	58.05	50.76	48.33	49.76	49.75	50.89	51.25(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	160	23	-16	3.43	45%	-0.36	-41	5.03%	0	0.2	42	NAN
23	Jan_5_2009	58.26	50.91	48.15	48.83	48.8	49.88	51.78(4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	150	28	-35	3.38	45%	-0.36	-51.4	5.11%	0	0.3	40	NAN
24	Jan_2_2009	58.47	50.99	48.13	47.66	47.72	48.61	49.66(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	130	20	-59	1.89	44%	-0.56	-63.6	5.08%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
25	Dec_31_2008	58.8	51.34	48.35	46.91	46.97	47.71	48.58(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	110	16	-75	1.64	43%		-67.2	5.1%	0	-0.8	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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