Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $55.6700 (6.77%) ($51.5500 - $55.6700) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.8% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $55.6700(6.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(69%)    XLP(51%)    SPY(49%)    IWM(42%)    XLK(41%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -2.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.4% (StdDev 4.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.72(3.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.79(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.63(5.78%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $30.179b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 4.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2008	66.54	52.63	53.79	53.72	53.31	53.19	55.67(6.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-40	10	35	4.54	46%	-0.42	37.6	4.8%	0	1.2	62	NAN
2	Nov_12_2008	66.82	52.31	53.79	53.27	53.35	52.57	52.14(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-100	-12	28	2.22	43%	-0.45	29.7	4.74%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
3	Nov_11_2008	67.12	52.13	53.67	53.51	53.52	53.43	53.05(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-17	36	1.45	43%	-0.43	23.8	4.74%	0	0.4	58	NAN
4	Nov_10_2008	67.41	52.15	53.63	54.33	54.09	54.14	52.98(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10	2	54	1.53	43%	-0.41	31.7	4.75%	0	0.3	51	NAN
5	Nov_7_2008	67.69	52.16	53.04	54.38	54.56	53.61	54.74(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-110	1	37	2.51	43%	-0.4	23.5	4.74%	0	0.9	51	NAN

6	Nov_6_2008	67.96	51.72	52.5	53.86	54.28	54.05	53.43(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-10	-18	21	2.87	43%	-0.4	-5.6	4.72%	0	0.6	56	NAN
7	Nov_5_2008	68.23	51.57	52.31	54.14	54.3	55.51	53.34(-6.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	160	14	44	2.99	43%	-0.38	-20.4	4.73%	0	0.6	57	NAN
8	Nov_4_2008	68.49	51.54	51.92	53.8	54.1	54.52	57.16(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	70	29	50	3.02	44%	-0.33	-41.3	4.66%	0	2	63	NAN
9	Nov_3_2008	68.72	51.35	51.45	52.87	53.2	53.08	53.21(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	10	29	2.17	41%	-0.39	-69.6	4.58%	0	0.7	50	NAN
10	Oct_31_2008	68.99	51.49	51.55	51.49	52.41	53.68	52.16(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	220	19	16	3.17	41%	-0.38	-79.9	4.58%	0	0.2	50	NAN

11	Oct_30_2008	69.25	51.88	51.35	50.89	50.97	53.32	54.81(6.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	330	39	26	2.45	42%	-0.33	-80.4	4.55%	0	0.7	63	NAN
12	Oct_29_2008	69.48	52.15	50.76	50.24	49.58	51.14	51.67(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	180	35	12	2.25	40%	-0.39	-77.2	4.48%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
13	Oct_28_2008	69.75	52.76	50.43	49.77	49.16	48.63	52.51(13.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-110	5	-18	2.16	40%	-0.37	-69.5	4.48%	0	-0	51	NAN
14	Oct_27_2008	70.01	53.41	50.49	49.93	49.29	48.02	46.28(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-220	-47	-41	3.75	35%	-0.44	-62	4.13%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
15	Oct_24_2008	70.32	54.41	51.23	51.63	50.84	49.69	49.18(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-200	-19	-11	2.64	36%	-0.42	-52.2	4.08%	0	-0.8	43	NAN

16	Oct_23_2008	70.62	55.34	50.94	51.79	51.77	50.55	51.55(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-170	-11	-45	2.63	36%	-0.38	-49.2	4.05%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
17	Oct_22_2008	70.89	56.17	50.84	51.32	51.47	51.98	49.33(-7.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	80	-6	-79	2.16	34%	-0.41	-48.5	4.03%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
18	Oct_21_2008	71.18	57.02	51.2	51.09	50.95	52.99	53.3(-2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	270	32	-98	2.2	36%	-0.35	-47.8	3.94%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
19	Oct_20_2008	71.43	57.64	51.26	51.15	50.1	50.96	54.77(9.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	60	24	-131	2.34	36%	-0.33	-48	3.94%	0	-0.4	37	NAN
20	Oct_17_2008	71.67	58.17	51.36	50.9	50.74	48.92	49.99(1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	-260	5	-176	2.54	31%	-0.42	-48.3	3.73%	0	-1	30	NAN

21	Oct_16_2008	71.97	59.11	52.38	49.99	50.78	49.25	49.21(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-88	-160	-43	-224	3.47	31%	-0.42	-52.7	3.73%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
22	Oct_15_2008	72.27	60.01	53.58	50.27	50.28	52.56	48.17(-10.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	320	-10	-222	2.87	31%	-0.41	-55.8	3.73%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
23	Oct_14_2008	72.57	60.81	55.22	51.24	50.72	52.31	53.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	190	62	-194	4.15	33%	-0.27	-58.4	3.54%	0	-1	34	NAN
24	Oct_13_2008	72.77	61.51	56.47	51.41	50.4	48	53.49(17.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-84	-390	-36	-229	3.21	33%	-0.33	-59.3	3.54%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
25	Oct_10_2008	73.01	62.21	57.74	52.05	52.01	49.12	45.45(-10.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-190	-390	-144	-326	4.89	22%		-60.8	2.7%	0	-2.5	13	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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