Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $63.0800 (-6.58%) ($63.0800 - $67.0100) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $63.0800(-6.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(72%)    SPY(54%)    XLP(53%)    EEM(47%)    VWO(47%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $59.58(-5.55%)
Resistance Level   $70.04
5 Day Moving Average   $67.07(-5.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.63(-6.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.04(-9.94%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $34.196b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.69%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2008	75.63	70.04	67.63	67.07	67.02	65.87	63.08(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-120	-57	-134	3.55	29%	-0.17	-36.2	1.91%	0	-2.3	26	NAN
2	Sep_16_2008	75.76	70.52	68.27	67.78	67.57	67.29	67.52(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-25	-133	3.09	32%	-0.12	-29.2	1.74%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
3	Sep_15_2008	75.85	70.74	68.63	67.71	67.63	68.16	67.03(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	50	-7	-139	1.91	32%	-0.13	-29.3	1.74%	0	-1.5	31	NAN
4	Sep_12_2008	75.95	70.98	69.17	68.4	67.88	67.85	69.42(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-30	16	-120	2	37%	-0.11	-19.8	1.71%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
5	Sep_11_2008	76.03	71.04	69.59	68.26	68.38	67.09	68.3(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-130	-31	-142	1.79	36%	-0.12	-19	1.7%	0	-1.2	32	NAN

6	Sep_10_2008	76.12	71.15	70.11	68.34	68.68	67.92	66.62(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-60	-69	-154	1.97	33%	-0.13	-16.5	1.67%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
7	Sep_9_2008	76.22	71.27	70.8	68.83	69.12	69.66	67.16(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	70	-14	-114	4.46	35%	-0.12	-11.8	1.68%	0	-2	34	NAN
8	Sep_8_2008	76.31	71.46	71.44	69.66	69.48	69.45	70.51(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10	12	-80	2.61	38%	-0.08	2.7	1.59%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
9	Sep_5_2008	76.37	71.44	71.75	70.08	69.91	68.58	68.7(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-140	-72	-93	2.13	33%	-0.09	5	1.58%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
10	Sep_4_2008	76.44	71.48	72.24	71.18	71.14	69.51	68.72(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-87	-160	-96	-58	2.07	33%	-0.09	10.4	1.58%	0	-1.5	46	NAN

11	Sep_3_2008	76.51	71.52	72.67	72.16	72.42	71.23	69.08(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-62	-100	-79	-10	1.85	33%	-0.07	13.3	1.59%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
12	Sep_2_2008	76.56	71.51	73.01	73.03	73.27	72.77	71.27(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-40	-39	51	1.84	35%	-0.01	15.2	1.55%	0	-0.1	72	NAN
13	Aug_29_2008	76.57	71.41	73.08	73.45	73.51	73.61	72.64(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-10	85	1.2	36%	-0.01	13.5	1.53%	0	0.6	62	NAN
14	Aug_28_2008	76.58	71.35	72.98	73.65	73.59	73.76	74.17(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	16	113	0.92	38%	0.01	14.3	1.52%	0	1.4	73	NAN
15	Aug_27_2008	76.57	71.29	72.61	73.49	73.51	73.41	73.65(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10	8	115	1.15	38%	0.01	12.5	1.52%	0	1.2	75	NAN

16	Aug_26_2008	76.56	71.27	72.26	73.28	73.27	73.43	73.4(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	4	116	1.64	38%	0.01	9.7	1.52%	0	1.1	73	NAN
17	Aug_25_2008	76.55	71.23	71.77	73	73.03	73.61	73.39(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	60	33	120	1.13	38%	0.01	-5	1.53%	0	1.2	75	NAN
18	Aug_22_2008	76.54	71.16	71.47	72.64	72.52	73.12	73.63(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	50	39	120	1.18	36%	0.03	-24	1.54%	0	1.4	72	NAN
19	Aug_21_2008	76.52	71.07	71.07	72.21	72.01	72.45	73.39(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	30	36	99	1.08	36%	0.01	-41.9	1.54%	0	1.3	55	NAN
20	Aug_20_2008	76.51	71.05	70.61	71.6	71.61	71.91	72.58(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	32	57	1.95	36%	0.03	-58.7	1.53%	0	0.8	44	NAN

21	Aug_19_2008	76.49	71.09	70.23	71.1	71.01	71.58	72(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	50	35	18	1.49	38%	0.04	-64.4	1.53%	0	0.4	40	NAN
22	Aug_18_2008	76.46	71.32	69.87	70.35	70.4	71.3	71.59(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	90	42	-25	1.45	38%	0.05	-71.3	1.55%	0	0.1	44	NAN
23	Aug_15_2008	76.42	71.59	69.59	70.11	69.87	70.45	71.51(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	50	42	-50	1.81	38%	0.04	-75.9	1.55%	0	-0	46	NAN
24	Aug_14_2008	76.39	71.83	69.55	69.76	69.62	69.5	70.34(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-20	14	-78	2.23	38%	0.03	-84.2	1.53%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
25	Aug_13_2008	76.37	72.14	69.82	69.46	69.58	69.28	70.06(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-20	-9	-97	1.53	38%		-87.3	1.55%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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