Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $75.7700 (0.46%) ($75.1300 - $76.7500) on Fri. Apr. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $75.7700(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(72%)    SPY(54%)    XLP(52%)    EEM(47%)    VWO(46%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.06(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.26(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.14(5.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $41.076b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.76%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.23%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2008	71.66	72.14	74.26	75.06	75.17	75.67	75.77(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	50	24	101	1.42	46%	0.11	61.6	1.74%	0	1.4	91	0
2	Apr_17_2008	71.58	71.82	73.91	74.9	74.82	75.13	75.42(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	30	24	118	1.21	42%	0.11	65.4	1.75%	0	1.4	91	0
3	Apr_16_2008	71.5	71.48	73.55	74.54	74.53	74.66	75.4(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	10	18	119	1.84	41%	0.11	62.5	1.84%	0	1.6	86	0
4	Apr_15_2008	71.42	71.19	73.19	74.03	74.13	74.52	74.2(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	40	13	123	1.57	41%	0.1	61.9	1.83%	0	1.3	85	0
5	Apr_14_2008	71.35	70.89	72.9	73.77	73.76	74.4	74.5(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	60	33	139	1.6	41%	0.1	60.9	1.83%	0	1.6	82	0

6	Apr_11_2008	71.28	70.55	72.34	73.33	73.21	73.75	74.96(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	50	34	130	2.51	41%	0.06	56.5	1.83%	0	2	82	0
7	Apr_10_2008	71.24	70.2	71.64	72.78	72.72	73.12	73.65(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	40	22	107	3.34	44%	0.07	53.7	1.82%	0	1.8	72	0
8	Apr_9_2008	71.19	69.96	71.11	72.41	72.45	72.67	72.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	16	95	1.44	44%	0.07	51	1.84%	0	1.6	74	0
9	Apr_8_2008	71.14	69.8	70.65	72.23	72.19	72.32	72.91(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	10	10	82	1.53	42%	0.07	54.2	1.84%	0	1.9	62	0
10	Apr_7_2008	71.09	69.53	70.21	71.89	72.03	72.23	72.28(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	22	80	0.78	46%	0.07	53.4	1.87%	0	1.8	68	0

11	Apr_4_2008	71.04	69.33	69.86	71.16	71.6	72.06	72.21(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	60	33	70	1.67	48%	0.08	46.8	1.96%	0	2	69	0
12	Apr_3_2008	70.98	69.15	69.56	70.3	70.62	71.83	71.82(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	130	41	57	2.18	48%	0.07	30.4	1.98%	0	2.1	65	0
13	Apr_2_2008	70.93	69.06	69.23	69.6	69.73	71.13	71.94(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	62	150	67	48	2.22	48%	0.06	19.5	1.98%	0	2.5	59	0
14	Apr_1_2008	70.89	68.91	69	68.84	68.93	69.41	71.22(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	38	50	44	21	2.97	48%	0.07	-7.4	1.98%	0	2.5	53	0
15	Mar_31_2008	70.84	68.72	68.67	68.31	68.35	68.33	68.62(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-0	-6	-10	1.82	43%	0.01	-47.1	1.94%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Mar_28_2008	70.83	68.67	68.6	68.37	68.48	68.46	67.88(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	0	-6	-12	1.33	43%	0.01	-58.4	1.94%	0	-0.9	49	0
17	Mar_27_2008	70.82	68.77	68.64	68.7	68.71	68.38	68.35(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-30	-6	-6	1.49	43%	0.01	-46.1	1.94%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Mar_26_2008	70.81	68.84	68.74	68.77	68.83	68.5	68.12(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-26	-17	1.99	43%	0	-49.6	1.94%	0	-0.8	41	0
19	Mar_25_2008	70.81	68.98	68.92	69.16	69.25	69.04	68.6(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-4	3	1.63	43%	0	-34.5	1.94%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Mar_24_2008	70.81	69.11	68.85	69.07	69.4	69.15	68.91(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10	1	5	1.61	43%	0.03	-34.6	1.96%	0	-0.2	56	0

21	Mar_20_2008	70.79	69.11	68.8	68.84	69.02	69.46	69.52(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	50	3	3	1.72	45%	-0.01	-42.3	1.95%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Mar_19_2008	70.8	69.18	68.73	68.58	68.76	69.66	68.68(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	100	31	4	1.71	45%	0	-52.3	1.95%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Mar_18_2008	70.8	69.29	68.89	68.71	68.38	68.59	70.07(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	10	17	4	2.67	48%	0.01	-47.8	1.93%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Mar_17_2008	70.79	69.34	68.81	68.69	68.52	67.86	68.19(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-70	-13	-16	2.52	46%	0	-44.3	1.92%	0	-0.9	40	0
25	Mar_14_2008	70.79	69.49	68.75	68.6	68.92	68.17	67.73(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-60	-28	-40	3.2	44%		-40.5	1.92%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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