Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 18, 2004

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $38.6500 (-0.15%) ($38.4500 - $38.8800) on Thu. Mar. 18, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $38.6500(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(73%)    SPY(53%)    XLP(51%)    EEM(46%)    EWG(44%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.25(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.31(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.26(1.02%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $20.953b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2004	36.2	38.26	38.31	38.25	38.26	38.56	38.65(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	29	60	41	-6	1.2	57%	0.14	25.7	0.84%	0	1	49	NAN
2	Mar_17_2004	36.15	38.23	38.29	38.01	37.99	38.28	38.71(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	17	50	32	-28	1.83	57%	0.11	21.6	0.84%	0	1.2	58	NAN
3	Mar_16_2004	36.11	38.2	38.25	37.9	37.83	37.96	38.15(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	20	5	-45	1	57%	0.14	26.5	0.82%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
4	Mar_15_2004	36.06	38.18	38.28	38.03	37.92	37.96	37.85(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-50	-17	-28	0.71	57%	0.11	47.6	0.83%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
5	Mar_12_2004	36.02	38.17	38.36	38.18	38.13	37.69	37.9(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-80	-50	-10	0.74	57%	0.11	68.2	0.84%	0	-0.6	55	NAN

6	Mar_11_2004	35.98	38.17	38.43	38.38	38.44	38.14	37.45(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-30	-50	-48	24	1.14	54%	0.11	91.3	0.82%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
7	Mar_10_2004	35.94	38.15	38.51	38.59	38.65	38.58	38.16(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10	-12	63	1	60%	0.14	102.4	0.79%	0	0	50	NAN
8	Mar_9_2004	35.89	38.1	38.5	38.64	38.63	38.73	38.79(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	20	10	77	1.34	59%	0.17	89.7	0.76%	0	1.3	61	NAN
9	Mar_8_2004	35.83	37.99	38.39	38.64	38.53	38.72	38.62(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	15	67	1.14	59%	0.17	69	0.81%	0	1.1	66	NAN
10	Mar_5_2004	35.77	37.89	38.3	38.56	38.44	38.53	38.87(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	10	13	73	0.67	59%	0.17	54.6	0.81%	0	1.5	73	NAN

11	Mar_4_2004	35.71	37.76	38.21	38.51	38.47	38.35	38.5(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-20	5	73	0.83	61%	0.17	42	0.82%	0	1	71	NAN
12	Mar_3_2004	35.65	37.68	38.17	38.42	38.48	38.36	38.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-20	-5	75	0.74	61%	0.14	37.6	0.85%	0	1	73	NAN
13	Mar_2_2004	35.6	37.64	38.14	38.33	38.39	38.59	38.4(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	40	14	94	1.31	61%	0.2	42	0.85%	0	1.1	75	NAN
14	Mar_1_2004	35.53	37.59	38.07	38.19	38.21	38.61	38.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	64	70	47	113	1.6	61%	0.17	41.5	0.85%	0	1.6	84	NAN
15	Feb_27_2004	35.47	37.53	37.96	38.01	37.9	38.19	38.63(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	40	36	110	1.79	61%	0.2	39.3	0.85%	0	1.8	85	NAN

16	Feb_26_2004	35.4	37.46	37.84	37.86	37.75	37.82	38.05(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	0	9	110	1.53	62%	0.17	39.5	0.84%	0	1.1	84	NAN
17	Feb_25_2004	35.34	37.42	37.76	37.89	37.78	37.62	37.95(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-40	-10	108	1.52	62%	0.17	42.4	0.88%	0	1	64	NAN
18	Feb_24_2004	35.28	37.35	37.67	37.93	37.89	37.68	37.67(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-40	-19	99	1.53	62%	0.14	42.8	0.88%	0	0.6	47	NAN
19	Feb_23_2004	35.23	37.32	37.57	37.94	37.99	37.95	37.73(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-0	-4	92	0.71	62%	0.17	43.4	0.88%	0	0.8	51	NAN
20	Feb_20_2004	35.17	37.29	37.45	37.89	37.95	38.1	37.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	14	79	0.84	65%	0.17	47.2	0.88%	0	1.2	53	NAN

21	Feb_19_2004	35.11	37.24	37.29	37.8	37.81	38.03	38.19(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	40	33	60	1.22	59%	0.17	46	0.88%	0	1.9	59	NAN
22	Feb_18_2004	35.05	37.19	37.15	37.6	37.6	37.79	38.15(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	40	30	33	0.93	55%	0.17	46	0.93%	0	2.1	60	NAN
23	Feb_17_2004	34.99	37.13	37.09	37.38	37.39	37.59	37.7(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	40	29	27	1.17	52%	0.26	45.5	0.95%	0	1.4	61	NAN
24	Feb_13_2004	34.9	37.09	37.09	37.16	37.18	37.41	37.51(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	40	31	15	0.79	52%	0.2	39	0.95%	0	1.1	55	NAN
25	Feb_12_2004	34.83	37.05	37.06	36.94	36.95	37.19	37.45(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	26	50	34	0	0.77	52%		22.3	0.95%	0	1.1	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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