Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $35.4000 (-3.28%) ($34.8000 - $40.2000) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $35.4000(-3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -16.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(11%)    XHB(11%)    DIA(10%)    IBUY(9%)    MCHI(9%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-2.66(-107.51%)
Resistance Level   $45.71
5 Day Moving Average   $35.76(-1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.74(-3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.71(-22.56%)
To recent high   -46.6%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $11.789b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 24.44% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.97%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2016	60.68	45.71	36.74	35.76	35.96	36.3	35.4(-3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-38	80	23	-219	0.07	22%	-0.46	-50.8	4.4%	0	-0.9	17	INF
2	Nov_9_2016	60.96	46.91	37.53	35.4	35.32	35.09	36.6(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-77	-50	-9	-280	0.05	22%	-0.47	-53.5	4.39%	0	-0.9	17	INF
3	Nov_8_2016	61.25	48.13	38.25	35.4	35.55	35.62	36(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-79	20	-2	-311	0.03	22%	-0.49	-55.6	4.38%	0	-1.1	20	INF
4	Nov_7_2016	61.55	49.37	39.12	35.52	35.93	35.55	35.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-95	-40	-13	-340	0.04	22%	-0.52	-58	4.39%	0	-1.2	23	INF
5	Nov_4_2016	61.87	50.8	41.64	36.48	36.26	35.48	35.4(5.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-108	-170	-37	-319	0.05	22%	-0.45	-59	4.43%	0	-1.4	24	INF

6	Nov_3_2016	62.15	52.19	44.11	37.92	37.8	36.3	33.6(-9.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-109	-290	-45	-301	0.05	18%	-0.51	-59.4	4.36%	0	-1.8	19	INF
7	Nov_2_2016	62.47	53.82	47.05	39.96	39.63	37.05	37.2(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-114	-480	-60	-276	0.06	20%	-0.45	-59.2	4.22%	0	-1.7	23	INF
8	Nov_1_2016	62.75	55.31	49.45	41.4	42	39.29	36(-10.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-115	-410	-67	-258	0.17	20%	-0.46	-59.6	4.19%	0	-2	18	INF
9	Oct_31_2016	63.04	56.87	51.81	43.2	43.76	42.22	40.2(-5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-126	-210	-84	-252	0.06	23%	-0.49	-61.3	4.02%	0	-2	23	INF
10	Oct_28_2016	63.35	58.19	53.7	47.64	44.7	44.7	42.6(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-111	-190	-79	-208	0.07	25%	-0.49	-53.9	3.97%	0	-2.1	22	INF

11	Oct_27_2016	63.66	59.37	55.52	51.36	49.39	45.3	43.8(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-84	-690	-59	-157	0.1	25%	-0.7	-47	3.96%	0	-2.3	26	INF
12	Oct_26_2016	64.11	60.46	57.19	55.32	53.36	44.7	44.4(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-172	-1240	-174	-164	0.1	25%	-0.74	-37.7	3.96%	0	-2.8	24	INF
13	Oct_25_2016	64.59	61.55	58.99	58.68	57.9	53.48	45(-27.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.1	-150	-570	-159	-124	0.3	25%	-0.89	-28.7	3.96%	0	-3.7	24	INF
14	Oct_24_2016	65.17	62.56	60.71	61.44	61.65	62.03	62.4(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	50	18	-62	0.04	46%	-0.56	-18.6	2%	0	-0.1	41	INF
15	Oct_21_2016	65.54	62.6	60.78	60.6	60.86	62.33	61.2(-3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	180	41	-85	0.06	46%	-0.58	-24.7	1.98%	0	-0.6	39	INF

16	Oct_20_2016	65.92	62.72	60.9	60.36	60.17	61.28	63.6(3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	29	120	70	-95	0.06	51%	-0.5	-22.5	1.93%	0	0.4	45	INF
17	Oct_19_2016	66.25	62.71	60.98	60.36	59.75	59.4	61.2(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-29	-30	9	-143	0.05	44%	-0.47	-27.2	1.89%	0	-0.6	42	INF
18	Oct_18_2016	66.56	62.86	61.43	59.52	59.72	59.06	58.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-70	-44	-166	0.03	34%	-0.12	-20.8	1.82%	0	-1.7	32	INF
19	Oct_17_2016	66.64	63	62.14	59.88	60.24	60.11	58.2(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-66	0	-40	-142	0.04	34%	-0.34	-17	1.85%	0	-2.2	37	INF
20	Oct_14_2016	66.87	63.19	62.89	60.96	61.09	60.11	60(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-70	-20	-96	0.05	39%	-0.27	-4.7	1.84%	0	-1.6	41	INF

21	Oct_13_2016	67.05	63.25	63.41	61.49	61.73	60.38	59.4(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-80	-140	-74	-97	0.04	39%	-0.27	-1	1.85%	0	-2	38	INF
22	Oct_12_2016	67.23	63.36	63.93	62.64	62.72	61.8	61.2(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-100	-71	-63	0.03	46%	-0.18	9.8	1.82%	0	-1.1	43	INF
23	Oct_11_2016	67.35	63.35	64.32	63.65	63.82	63.08	60.6(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-43	-70	-49	-23	0.05	46%	-0.21	17.9	1.84%	0	-1.4	38	INF
24	Oct_10_2016	67.49	63.38	64.65	64.73	64.79	63.65	63.6(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-26	-120	-42	23	0.02	66%	-0.16	27.6	1.8%	0	0.1	64	INF
25	Oct_7_2016	67.6	63.28	64.64	65.11	65.43	64.56	62.64(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-29	-80	-52	41	0.03	66%		29.1	1.8%	0	-0.3	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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