Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $64.0800 (1.52%) ($63.1200 - $64.4400) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $64.0800(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(12%)    XHB(12%)    DIA(10%)    MCHI(10%)    XME(10%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    UNG(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.17(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.28(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.1(1.55%)
To recent high   -38%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $21.34b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.05%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.45%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.6%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2016	71.38	63.1	63.28	63.17	63.13	63.39	64.08(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	11	3	0.03	43%	-0.18	-31.2	4.16%	0	1	54	INF
2	Aug_26_2016	71.51	63.03	63.29	62.9	63.08	62.7	63.12(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-30	-4	-7	0.02	47%	-0.21	-51.6	4.22%	0	0.1	43	INF
3	Aug_25_2016	71.66	63.1	63.23	63.12	63.12	62.87	62.64(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-30	-11	-9	0.02	50%	-0.24	-46.2	4.22%	0	-0.4	49	INF
4	Aug_24_2016	71.83	63.21	63.3	63.31	63.45	63.45	61.92(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	10	-2	2	0.07	50%	-0.24	-42.4	4.26%	0	-1.1	56	INF
5	Aug_23_2016	72	63.37	63.43	63.65	63.55	63.38	64.08(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-20	-1	10	0.03	50%	-0.21	-36.2	4.24%	0	0.6	61	INF

6	Aug_22_2016	72.15	63.4	63.33	63.41	63.78	63.45	62.76(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-20	-6	7	0.03	50%	-0.22	-35.5	4.23%	0	-0.5	52	INF
7	Aug_19_2016	72.31	63.55	63.53	63.72	63.83	63.72	64.2(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-2	17	0.02	50%	-0.23	-23.7	4.25%	0	0.5	55	INF
8	Aug_18_2016	72.48	63.61	63.43	63.36	63.78	64.11	63.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	60	4	12	0.02	50%	-0.23	-21.6	4.26%	0	-0	46	INF
9	Aug_17_2016	72.65	63.71	63.18	63.29	63.55	63.95	63.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	60	8	5	0.04	50%	-0.29	-19.2	4.27%	0	-0.1	45	INF
10	Aug_16_2016	72.86	63.8	62.95	63.19	63.33	63.45	62.88(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	20	4	-6	0.04	50%	-0.25	-15.3	4.27%	0	-0.6	42	INF

11	Aug_15_2016	73.04	63.86	62.91	63.24	63.27	63.15	64.32(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10	-2	-13	0.04	50%	-0.12	-16.7	4.29%	0	0.3	46	INF
12	Aug_12_2016	73.13	63.87	62.73	63.34	63.38	63.21	62.4(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-20	-6	-20	0.02	50%	-0.29	-20.1	4.28%	0	-1	35	INF
13	Aug_11_2016	73.34	63.91	62.95	63.5	63.71	63.4	63.24(0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-20	4	-16	0.02	50%	-0.27	-35.3	4.28%	0	-0.5	39	INF
14	Aug_10_2016	73.54	63.99	63.1	63.02	63.33	63.55	63.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	40	1	-25	0.02	52%	-0.37	-61.4	4.29%	0	-0.6	38	INF
15	Aug_9_2016	73.81	64.02	63.29	62.64	62.83	64.02	63.12(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	140	16	-25	0.03	52%	-0.38	-88.7	4.34%	0	-0.6	38	INF

16	Aug_8_2016	74.09	64.1	63.46	62.5	62.2	63.12	64.8(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	11	90	22	-23	0.04	52%	-0.42	-107.8	4.33%	0	0.5	54	INF
17	Aug_5_2016	74.4	64.17	63.53	62.09	61.89	61.64	63.24(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-40	-1	-35	0.04	55%	-0.4	-122.3	4.34%	0	-0.5	44	INF
18	Aug_4_2016	74.7	64.42	63.76	62.38	62.27	61.28	60.84(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-120	-22	-35	0.03	55%	-0.35	-111.3	4.37%	0	-1.7	43	INF
19	Aug_3_2016	74.96	64.87	64.27	63.22	63.17	62.14	61.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-120	-25	-25	0.06	51%	-0.33	-108.9	4.37%	0	-1.7	37	INF
20	Aug_2_2016	75.21	65.31	64.74	64.01	64.07	63.26	62.4(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-90	-18	-9	0.03	51%	-0.33	-92.5	4.44%	0	-1.2	47	INF

21	Aug_1_2016	75.46	65.74	64.93	64.54	64.63	64.21	62.76(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-40	-15	-3	0.04	51%	-0.17	-79.1	4.45%	0	-1.3	44	INF
22	Jul_29_2016	75.59	66.39	65.15	65.16	65.09	64.88	64.68(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-30	-4	5	0.08	49%	-0.13	-34	4.47%	0	-0.5	43	INF
23	Jul_28_2016	75.69	66.85	65.01	65.35	65.26	65.06	65.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-30	-5	-4	0.02	49%	-0.28	-18.2	4.53%	0	-0.5	36	INF
24	Jul_27_2016	75.9	67.35	64.98	65.5	65.43	65.3	65.16(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-20	-4	-11	0.03	49%	-0.16	-2.7	4.54%	0	-0.5	33	INF
25	Jul_26_2016	76.02	67.57	64.84	65.59	65.61	65.46	65.04(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-20	1	-20	0.04	49%		2.7	4.55%	0	-0.6	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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