Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $64.2000 (0.94%) ($62.5200 - $64.5600) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $64.2000(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(12%)    XHB(12%)    DIA(10%)    MCHI(10%)    XME(10%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    UNG(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.72(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.53(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.55(1.02%)
To recent high   -37.9%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $21.38b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	72.31	63.55	63.53	63.72	63.83	63.72	64.2(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-2	17	0.02	50%	-0.23	-23.7	4.25%	0	0.5	55	INF
2	Aug_18_2016	72.48	63.61	63.43	63.36	63.78	64.11	63.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	60	4	12	0.02	50%	-0.23	-21.6	4.26%	0	-0	46	INF
3	Aug_17_2016	72.65	63.71	63.18	63.29	63.55	63.95	63.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	60	8	5	0.04	50%	-0.29	-19.2	4.27%	0	-0.1	45	INF
4	Aug_16_2016	72.86	63.8	62.95	63.19	63.33	63.45	62.88(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	20	4	-6	0.04	50%	-0.25	-15.3	4.27%	0	-0.6	42	INF
5	Aug_15_2016	73.04	63.86	62.91	63.24	63.27	63.15	64.32(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10	-2	-13	0.04	50%	-0.12	-16.7	4.29%	0	0.3	46	INF

6	Aug_12_2016	73.13	63.87	62.73	63.34	63.38	63.21	62.4(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-20	-6	-20	0.02	50%	-0.29	-20.1	4.28%	0	-1	35	INF
7	Aug_11_2016	73.34	63.91	62.95	63.5	63.71	63.4	63.24(0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-20	4	-16	0.02	50%	-0.27	-35.3	4.28%	0	-0.5	39	INF
8	Aug_10_2016	73.54	63.99	63.1	63.02	63.33	63.55	63.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	40	1	-25	0.02	52%	-0.37	-61.4	4.29%	0	-0.6	38	INF
9	Aug_9_2016	73.81	64.02	63.29	62.64	62.83	64.02	63.12(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	140	16	-25	0.03	52%	-0.38	-88.7	4.34%	0	-0.6	38	INF
10	Aug_8_2016	74.09	64.1	63.46	62.5	62.2	63.12	64.8(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	11	90	22	-23	0.04	52%	-0.42	-107.8	4.33%	0	0.5	54	INF

11	Aug_5_2016	74.4	64.17	63.53	62.09	61.89	61.64	63.24(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-40	-1	-35	0.04	55%	-0.4	-122.3	4.34%	0	-0.5	44	INF
12	Aug_4_2016	74.7	64.42	63.76	62.38	62.27	61.28	60.84(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-120	-22	-35	0.03	55%	-0.35	-111.3	4.37%	0	-1.7	43	INF
13	Aug_3_2016	74.96	64.87	64.27	63.22	63.17	62.14	61.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-120	-25	-25	0.06	51%	-0.33	-108.9	4.37%	0	-1.7	37	INF
14	Aug_2_2016	75.21	65.31	64.74	64.01	64.07	63.26	62.4(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-90	-18	-9	0.03	51%	-0.33	-92.5	4.44%	0	-1.2	47	INF
15	Aug_1_2016	75.46	65.74	64.93	64.54	64.63	64.21	62.76(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-40	-15	-3	0.04	51%	-0.17	-79.1	4.45%	0	-1.3	44	INF

16	Jul_29_2016	75.59	66.39	65.15	65.16	65.09	64.88	64.68(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-30	-4	5	0.08	49%	-0.13	-34	4.47%	0	-0.5	43	INF
17	Jul_28_2016	75.69	66.85	65.01	65.35	65.26	65.06	65.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-30	-5	-4	0.02	49%	-0.28	-18.2	4.53%	0	-0.5	36	INF
18	Jul_27_2016	75.9	67.35	64.98	65.5	65.43	65.3	65.16(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-20	-4	-11	0.03	49%	-0.16	-2.7	4.54%	0	-0.5	33	INF
19	Jul_26_2016	76.02	67.57	64.84	65.59	65.61	65.46	65.04(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-20	1	-20	0.04	49%	-0.22	2.7	4.55%	0	-0.6	32	INF
20	Jul_25_2016	76.19	67.61	64.8	65.38	65.46	65.57	65.88(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	20	1	-34	0.03	49%	-0.14	1	4.55%	0	-0.4	31	INF

21	Jul_22_2016	76.3	67.48	64.82	65.14	65.2	65.76	65.64(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	60	11	-51	0.04	49%	-0.16	-4.7	4.57%	0	-0.4	22	INF
22	Jul_21_2016	76.42	67.52	65.09	64.61	64.73	65.36	65.76(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	13	-66	0.09	49%	-0.08	-6.1	4.57%	0	-0.4	29	INF
23	Jul_20_2016	76.48	67.52	65.45	64.39	64.23	64.64	65.64(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	40	10	-80	0.05	49%	-0.03	-8.7	4.57%	0	-0.4	27	INF
24	Jul_19_2016	76.5	67.46	65.85	64.01	64.07	64.1	63.96(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	10	2	-87	0.08	49%	-0.07	-11	4.56%	0	-0.8	42	INF
25	Jul_18_2016	76.55	67.57	66.55	64.15	64.05	63.83	64.68(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-8	-81	0.06	49%		-9.3	4.56%	0	-0.7	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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