Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $81.6000 (6.42%) ($77.5200 - $81.6000) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.33% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $81.6000(6.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 11.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(13%)    XHB(13%)    MCHI(12%)    DIA(11%)    FXI(11%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.665% (StdDev 5.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.1(8.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.35(17.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.51(26.49%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   44.7%
Market Cap   $27.174b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 11.25% (three month std-dev: 5.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 8.51%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.78%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.77%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -10%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	85.44	64.51	69.35	75.1	75.64	78.93	81.6(6.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	330	50	154	0.06	58%	-0.56	54.2	5.33%	0	2.4	77	INF
2	Mar_4_2016	85.92	63.38	67.28	72.48	72.78	76.81	76.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	400	72	150	0.07	48%	-0.64	49.6	5.27%	0	2.2	77	INF
3	Mar_3_2016	86.47	62.59	65.53	69.96	69.92	72.35	77.4(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	81	240	67	123	0.07	46%	-0.55	43.7	5.72%	0	2.8	79	INF
4	Mar_2_2016	86.95	61.69	63.87	66.53	66.65	68.75	72.24(6.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	230	35	87	0.06	43%	-0.61	30.9	5.67%	0	2.7	73	INF
5	Mar_1_2016	87.48	61.06	62.77	64.37	64.41	67.5	67.56(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	340	47	80	0.05	40%	-0.69	16.8	5.58%	0	2.2	68	INF

6	Feb_29_2016	88.09	60.8	61.96	62.69	62.35	64.55	68.52(6.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	52	230	47	65	0.1	40%	-0.75	5.9	5.55%	0	2.9	66	INF
7	Feb_26_2016	88.76	60.51	60.8	61.32	60.58	61.31	64.08(6.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	50	17	35	0.06	36%	-0.79	-9.6	5.47%	0	1.7	56	INF
8	Feb_25_2016	89.47	60.4	60.04	60.43	60.31	60.15	60.24(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-20	0	10	0.03	32%	-0.86	-17.1	5.43%	0	-0.1	45	INF
9	Feb_24_2016	90.25	60.51	59.77	60.79	60.33	59.85	61.44(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-80	-9	4	0.03	32%	-0.72	-4.3	5.43%	0	0.4	50	INF
10	Feb_23_2016	90.9	60.56	59.77	60.91	60.79	60.47	59.16(-4.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-40	-6	2	0.03	32%	-0.7	3.9	5.44%	0	-0.7	47	INF

11	Feb_22_2016	91.54	60.64	59.4	61.03	61.14	60.81	61.68(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-30	6	1	0.04	32%	-0.49	8.9	5.44%	0	0.5	45	INF
12	Feb_19_2016	91.99	60.71	59.28	60.17	60.57	61.11	59.64(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	80	5	-14	0.02	32%	-0.48	1.9	5.45%	0	-0.5	38	INF
13	Feb_18_2016	92.43	60.75	59.5	59.52	59.7	61.48	62.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	16	220	26	-13	0.02	32%	-0.5	-10.5	5.43%	0	0.6	48	INF
14	Feb_17_2016	92.89	60.6	59.36	58.58	58.5	60.04	62.04(3.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	16	180	29	-24	0.04	32%	-0.38	-36.2	5.44%	0	0.7	47	INF
15	Feb_16_2016	93.24	60.47	59.18	57.72	57.69	57.92	59.76(4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	30	11	-44	0.02	32%	-0.59	-69	5.42%	0	-0.3	41	INF

16	Feb_12_2016	93.79	60.45	59.5	57.6	57.5	56.96	57.36(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-70	-12	-51	0.03	32%	-0.53	-98.6	5.34%	0	-1.4	42	INF
17	Feb_11_2016	94.29	60.67	60.14	58.3	58.06	57.47	56.4(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-80	-18	-47	0.03	32%	-0.59	-101.4	5.33%	0	-2	31	INF
18	Feb_10_2016	94.85	60.99	60.78	59.47	58.99	58.05	57.36(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-140	-16	-31	0.02	31%	-0.66	-124.4	5.33%	0	-1.9	46	INF
19	Feb_9_2016	95.48	61.41	61.34	60.22	59.97	58.66	57.72(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-170	-19	-19	0.03	31%	-0.7	-119.3	5.35%	0	-1.9	50	INF
20	Feb_8_2016	96.15	62.03	61.87	60.82	60.56	59.94	59.16(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-80	-21	-9	0.04	31%	-0.69	-78.6	5.38%	0	-1.1	52	INF

21	Feb_5_2016	96.82	62.72	62.06	61.66	61.18	61.28	60.84(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-8	7	0.04	31%	-0.77	-35.2	5.4%	0	-0.5	57	INF
22	Feb_4_2016	97.57	62.88	62.34	62.28	62.07	61.18	62.28(1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-110	-2	20	0.03	31%	-0.75	-28.5	5.42%	0	-0.2	53	INF
23	Feb_3_2016	98.31	63.41	62.15	62.33	62.51	61.08	61.08(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-150	-23	9	0.03	31%	-0.73	-12.2	5.43%	0	-0.5	47	INF
24	Feb_2_2016	99.03	63.86	61.99	62.66	63.19	62.96	60.72(-4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-0	-13	5	0.05	31%	-0.74	-2.5	5.45%	0	-0.7	38	INF
25	Feb_1_2016	99.77	64.18	61.9	63.05	63.56	63.94	63.36(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	70	11	1	0.05	31%		1	5.46%	0	-0.2	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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