Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $117.5000 (-5.74%) ($117.4000 - $128.8700) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.71% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $117.5000(-5.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)    XHB(13%)    TAN(12%)    XOP(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.355% (StdDev 4.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

Resistance Level   $120.29
5 Day Moving Average   $122.89(-4.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.16(-2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.29(-2.32%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $39.13b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 4.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.63%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.25%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2015	120.59	120.29	120.16	122.89	124.34	123.93	117.5(-5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	10	-15	41	0.01	65%	-0.11	-24.7	4.71%	0	-0.4	52	0
2	Dec_2_2015	120.72	121.25	119.73	123.66	123.74	125.44	124.65(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	100	15	52	0.01	69%	-0.08	-10.4	4.66%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Dec_1_2015	120.82	121.67	118.39	123.16	122.88	124.75	125.67(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	100	44	51	0.01	69%	-0.03	1.1	4.69%	0	0.5	54	0
4	Nov_30_2015	120.86	121.89	117.33	121.46	121.49	122.03	124.45(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	32	24	0.01	69%	-0.02	2.1	4.68%	0	0.3	43	0
5	Nov_27_2015	120.89	121.99	116.46	119.44	119.29	121.02	122.2(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	100	18	-12	0	71%	-0.14	-0.6	4.77%	0	0	32	0

6	Nov_25_2015	121.06	121.9	115.86	117	117.86	120.96	121.33(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	39	210	60	-23	0.01	72%	-0.09	-10.1	4.75%	0	-0.1	38	0
7	Nov_24_2015	121.17	122.03	115.6	115.17	115	117.57	122.13(4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	24	150	50	-54	0.01	69%	-0.07	-10.7	4.78%	0	0	33	0
8	Nov_23_2015	121.25	121.59	115.4	112.95	112.96	114.77	117.19(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	110	27	-88	0.01	69%	-0.03	-22.1	4.8%	0	-0.5	32	0
9	Nov_20_2015	121.29	121.71	116.32	112.67	112.65	112.42	114.37(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10	6	-101	0.02	64%	-0.14	-26.7	4.85%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	Nov_19_2015	121.46	122.04	118.26	113.13	113.53	111.15	109.99(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-140	-32	-108	0.01	64%	-0.2	-30.4	4.86%	0	-1.5	34	0

11	Nov_18_2015	121.7	122.73	120.35	114.52	115.09	112.87	112.16(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-120	-48	-99	0.01	64%	-0.24	-30.9	4.86%	0	-1.3	46	0
12	Nov_17_2015	121.99	122.95	122.89	116.05	116.93	115.92	111.02(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-40	-33	-74	0.01	64%	-0.28	-32.2	4.87%	0	-1.6	41	0
13	Nov_16_2015	122.33	123.48	125.3	118.14	118.76	117.3	115.82(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-70	-26	-42	0.01	64%	-0.27	-28.2	4.84%	0	-1.1	57	0
14	Nov_13_2015	122.66	124	126.93	120.53	120.5	117.94	116.64(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-150	-58	-32	0.01	64%	-0.23	-20.5	4.84%	0	-1	52	0
15	Nov_12_2015	122.94	124.58	128.13	124.27	124	120.21	116.96(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-220	-59	-5	0.01	64%	-0.16	-9.4	4.86%	0	-1.1	51	0

16	Nov_11_2015	123.14	125.23	128.66	127.11	127.4	123.05	119.82(-1.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-61	-230	-81	1	0.01	61%	-0.15	0.2	4.85%	0	-0.8	51	0
17	Nov_10_2015	123.32	125.45	129.25	130.78	130.75	127.8	121.45(-4.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-45	-160	-72	35	0.01	68%	-0.13	7.8	4.92%	0	-0.6	58	0
18	Nov_9_2015	123.48	125.54	128.58	133.44	134.69	131.76	127.77(-5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-120	-22	51	0.01	70%	-0.16	18.7	6.02%	0	0.3	57	0
19	Nov_6_2015	123.68	125.45	127.78	134.18	135.57	133.7	135.35(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-70	-28	49	0.01	66%	-0.15	25	6.03%	0	1.5	56	0
20	Nov_5_2015	123.87	125.24	126.19	132.58	135.4	137.62	131.14(-5.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	180	22	57	0.01	64%	-0.18	38.7	6.04%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Nov_4_2015	124.09	125.21	125.29	130.37	132.4	137.44	138.2(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	310	65	59	0.02	64%	-0.1	49.4	6.04%	0	1.9	55	0
22	Nov_3_2015	124.22	124.94	122.86	127.56	127.9	133.18	134.73(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	68	300	76	45	0.03	63%	-0.16	64	6.04%	0	1.6	58	0
23	Nov_2_2015	124.42	124.32	121.26	123.03	124.67	127.37	131.47(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	190	66	18	0.02	63%	-0.22	67.5	6.06%	0	1.2	57	0
24	Oct_30_2015	124.7	123.77	120.49	120.5	120.56	122.63	127.37(6.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	120	14	-15	0.01	61%	-0.26	57.2	6.05%	0	0.5	51	0
25	Oct_29_2015	125.02	122.75	120.39	118.97	119.65	121.97	120.08(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	17	150	29	-20	0.01	61%		46.2	6.04%	0	-0.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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