Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $133.9200 (2.99%) ($127.4400 - $141.1200) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.93% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $133.9200(2.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(14%)    TAN(14%)    XHB(14%)    MCHI(13%)    XOP(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.465% (StdDev 4.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.24(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.87(9.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.51(13.96%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   35.1%
Market Cap   $44.598b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.72% (three month std-dev: 4.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.03%(70%) Average negative next day return: -2.78%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.38%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2015	144.83	117.51	121.87	129.24	129.76	132.45	133.92(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	160	57	140	0.02	46%	-0.39	52.6	4.93%	0	1.8	60	INF
2	Sep_8_2015	145.39	116.68	119.1	126.76	127.17	129.19	130.03(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	120	38	107	0.01	46%	-0.7	52.1	4.95%	0	1.6	57	INF
3	Sep_4_2015	146.41	116.43	116.21	124.53	125.68	127.07	131.6(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	110	45	85	0.01	46%	-0.35	48.3	4.91%	0	1.7	61	INF
4	Sep_3_2015	146.92	114.81	113.56	121.25	123.26	125.15	123.84(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	160	46	56	0.01	44%	-0.41	27.2	4.84%	0	1.1	55	INF
5	Sep_2_2015	147.53	113.87	112.29	117.79	119.17	124.3	126.81(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	340	74	42	0.01	45%	-0.4	6.4	4.84%	0	1.6	57	INF

6	Sep_1_2015	148.12	112.92	111.15	113.34	114.77	121.37	121.54(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	94	440	116	28	0.03	44%	-0.43	-21	4.84%	0	1.2	49	INF
7	Aug_31_2015	148.76	112.55	110.67	110.27	110.12	114.05	118.84(3.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	67	250	90	-2	0.01	44%	-0.44	-37.6	4.84%	0	0.9	48	INF
8	Aug_28_2015	149.42	112.38	110.17	106.67	107.69	108.17	115.2(8.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	60	48	-52	0.02	44%	-0.49	-51.2	4.83%	0	0.4	38	INF
9	Aug_27_2015	150.15	112.62	110.19	104.84	104.49	106.19	106.56(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	100	-19	-77	0.01	43%	-0.55	-56.3	4.71%	0	-0.8	61	INF
10	Aug_26_2015	150.98	113.36	111.2	105.99	105	107.21	104.56(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	7	120	23	-42	0.01	42%	-0.54	-51.9	4.76%	0	-1.1	55	INF

11	Aug_25_2015	151.8	114.51	112.83	108.65	107.06	102.8	106.21(5.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-320	-27	-36	0.01	42%	-0.56	-44.3	4.76%	0	-1.1	53	INF
12	Aug_24_2015	152.66	115.33	114.18	111.17	109.83	102.79	100.81(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-110	-480	-128	-57	0.01	40%	-0.35	-41.1	4.74%	0	-1.9	46	INF
13	Aug_21_2015	153.19	116.26	116.9	114.05	114.21	111.32	106.07(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-170	-80	-9	0.01	42%	-0.51	-42	4.71%	0	-1.5	47	INF
14	Aug_20_2015	153.97	117.04	116.52	116.16	116.35	116.87	112.32(-4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	40	-9	11	0.01	42%	-0.45	-42.3	4.68%	0	-0.7	48	INF
15	Aug_19_2015	154.66	117.67	115.96	117.06	116.78	117.1	117.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	12	9	0.01	44%	-0.41	-41.8	4.66%	0	0	50	INF

16	Aug_18_2015	155.3	118.13	115.11	117.67	116.76	115.83	118.8(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-80	-10	-15	0	44%	-0.38	-39.7	4.66%	0	0.1	46	INF
17	Aug_17_2015	155.89	118.56	114.7	117.82	117.25	116.46	115.2(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-60	-31	-30	0.01	44%	-0.42	-40.9	4.64%	0	-0.4	48	INF
18	Aug_14_2015	156.54	119.27	114.81	120.31	118.58	117.68	116.63(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	8	-100	11	0	0	44%	-0.4	-31.4	4.65%	0	-0.3	52	INF
19	Aug_13_2015	157.17	119.98	115.18	116.81	118.34	118.04	116.83(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	10	20	19	-18	0	44%	-0.4	-39.2	4.65%	0	-0.4	50	INF
20	Aug_12_2015	157.8	120.69	115.56	114.46	114.33	119.49	120.9(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	310	36	-29	0.01	44%	-0.42	-44.7	4.64%	0	0	49	INF

21	Aug_11_2015	158.46	121.13	116.1	112.07	111.57	118.64	119.52(-6.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	88	430	120	-10	0.01	44%	-0.45	-49.7	4.64%	0	-0.2	47	INF
22	Aug_10_2015	159.17	121.82	116.29	111.2	109.34	109.18	127.69(28.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	32	-60	58	-47	0.04	46%	-0.38	-51.1	4.6%	0	0.6	50	INF
23	Aug_7_2015	159.77	121.88	115.17	108.99	109.63	104.51	99.1(-5.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-179	-310	-163	-225	0.02	31%	-0.57	-57.5	2.75%	0	-2.5	21	INF
24	Aug_6_2015	160.69	123.39	117.49	113.42	113.61	109.5	105.11(-3.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-174	-250	-164	-205	0.02	33%	-0.46	-57.3	2.68%	0	-2.4	22	INF
25	Aug_5_2015	161.44	124.69	119.59	116.69	117.59	114.76	108.92(-5.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-130	-150	-118	-167	0.02	34%		-58	2.66%	0	-2.4	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.