Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $116.6400 (-3.78%) ($116.6400 - $122.4000) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $116.6400(-3.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(14%)    XOP(14%)    FXI(13%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    XLU(-5%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $126.72
5 Day Moving Average   $121.98(-4.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.91(-5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $126.72(-7.95%)
To recent high   -35.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $38.843b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 3.24%(47%) Average negative next day return: -2.97%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 7.78%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -6.79%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 8.95%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.63%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2015	162.82	126.72	122.91	121.98	122.93	120.43	116.64(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-120	-81	-118	0.01	36%	-0.39	-69.4	2.62%	0	-2	28	0
2	Jul_31_2015	163.46	127.42	124.27	122.25	123.36	124.34	121.22(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	80	-12	-89	0.01	38%	-0.39	-94	2.61%	0	-1.4	40	0
3	Jul_30_2015	164.1	127.93	125.29	122.17	122.65	125.43	121.49(-5.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	36	170	65	-53	0.01	38%	-0.41	-112.3	2.62%	0	-1.5	45	0
4	Jul_29_2015	164.78	128.56	126.31	122.17	121.68	122.37	128.15(4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	10	40	-55	0.01	40%	-0.35	-114.3	2.56%	0	-0.1	48	0
5	Jul_28_2015	165.36	129.13	126.51	122.93	122.42	119.86	122.4(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-160	-56	-97	0.01	36%	-0.4	-96	2.47%	0	-1.4	39	0

6	Jul_27_2015	166.02	130.23	127.69	124.17	124.47	120.99	117.99(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-127	-190	-131	-113	0.01	33%	-0.52	-70.4	2.41%	0	-2.1	28	0
7	Jul_24_2015	166.89	131.73	129.01	126.61	127.07	124.99	120.83(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-97	-100	-104	-77	0.02	33%	-0.42	-55.7	2.41%	0	-1.8	38	0
8	Jul_23_2015	167.59	132.89	129.77	128.79	129.34	127.95	125.28(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-60	-47	-38	0.01	35%	-0.36	-54.2	2.38%	0	-1.2	41	0
9	Jul_22_2015	168.2	133.48	130.26	130.1	130.36	129.16	128.16(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-60	-50	-33	0.01	35%	-0.34	-62.7	2.37%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	Jul_21_2015	168.77	133.99	130.5	130.61	131.44	130.73	128.58(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-20	-34	-39	0.01	35%	-0.38	-71.2	2.37%	0	-0.9	32	0

11	Jul_20_2015	169.41	134.42	130.9	131.79	132.16	131.56	130.19(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-20	-16	-42	0.02	38%	-0.35	-81.3	2.38%	0	-0.7	29	0
12	Jul_17_2015	170.01	135.28	130.86	131.8	132.43	132.16	131.75(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	0	-1	-66	0.01	38%	-0.29	-80.7	2.44%	0	-0.6	28	0
13	Jul_16_2015	170.5	136.32	130.78	130.89	131.96	132.75	131.8(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	70	13	-91	0.01	38%	-0.3	-76.1	2.45%	0	-0.6	36	0
14	Jul_15_2015	171.02	137.31	130.95	130.45	131.19	132.69	130.75(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	100	38	-92	0.01	38%	-0.34	-76.4	2.44%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Jul_14_2015	171.61	138.3	131.84	130.37	130.68	131.18	134.44(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	30	37	-92	0.01	40%	-0.32	-81.2	2.43%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Jul_13_2015	172.16	139.26	132.78	129.97	130.43	129.68	130.26(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-30	-16	-107	0.03	37%	-0.36	-86.1	2.39%	0	-1	44	0
17	Jul_10_2015	172.79	140.63	134.47	129.84	130.97	130.18	127.21(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-20	-26	-114	0.02	34%	-0.35	-89.2	2.36%	0	-1.4	31	0
18	Jul_9_2015	173.39	142.24	136.15	130.62	130.96	131.18	129.6(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	20	-24	-122	0.02	34%	-0.31	-92.4	2.36%	0	-1.3	29	0
19	Jul_8_2015	173.93	143.8	136.92	131.48	131.48	131.75	130.32(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	10	-12	-135	0.01	34%	-0.33	-94.8	2.36%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	Jul_7_2015	174.5	145.54	137.78	133.55	133.05	130.75	132.48(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-130	-62	-157	0.02	34%	-0.25	-91.3	2.37%	0	-1.2	34	0

21	Jul_6_2015	174.93	147.56	138.29	136.14	135.87	131.22	129.61(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-169	-250	-158	-201	0.02	39%	-0.42	-76.6	2.36%	0	-1.5	29	0
22	Jul_2_2015	175.67	149.83	140.17	139.88	139.65	135.36	131.07(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-167	-220	-162	-180	0.03	39%	-0.35	-62.4	2.45%	0	-1.4	28	0
23	Jul_1_2015	176.29	152.04	142.45	142.46	143.07	140.52	133.91(-4.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-94	-110	-81	-133	0.02	39%	-0.28	-57.4	2.46%	0	-1.3	28	0
24	Jun_30_2015	176.79	154.18	144.33	142.97	143.76	143.94	140.67(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	30	-11	-117	0.02	42%	-0.22	-55.4	2.39%	0	-1	31	0
25	Jun_29_2015	177.18	155.97	145.36	142.49	142.05	145.62	145.44(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	38	170	86	-106	0.04	44%		-53.7	2.36%	0	-0.8	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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