Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $188.6400 (0.77%) ($184.3200 - $190.0800) on Mon. Mar. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.02% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $188.6400(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(14%)    XOP(14%)    IWM(13%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.01% (StdDev 4.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $183.74(2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $183.93(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.92(1.46%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $62.821b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 4.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2015	213.17	185.92	183.93	183.74	184.76	187.36	188.64(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	120	28	-12	0.01	51%	-0.5	-15	4.02%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Mar_20_2015	214.24	185.89	183.7	182.88	182.51	186.64	187.2(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	54	150	72	-2	0.03	51%	-0.37	-18.9	3.99%	0	0.2	48	0
3	Mar_19_2015	215.03	186.07	185.05	181.15	180.99	182.16	188.64(5.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	42	40	57	-5	0.04	51%	-0.32	-25.2	4.02%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Mar_18_2015	215.72	185.91	185.11	180.29	180	178.38	178.56(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-70	-41	-42	0.01	46%	-0.39	-34.2	3.95%	0	-1.3	52	0
5	Mar_17_2015	216.56	186.19	185.78	182.3	182.25	179.82	175.68(-4.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-90	-50	-36	0.02	49%	-0.36	-25.9	3.98%	0	-1.9	48	0

6	Mar_16_2015	217.34	186.75	186.79	184.03	185.22	181.62	184.32(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-120	-48	-31	0.04	52%	-0.34	-12.6	4.05%	0	-0.5	49	0
7	Mar_13_2015	218.09	186.97	187.49	184.61	186.39	184.68	178.56(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-79	-40	-91	-43	0.04	49%	-0.37	-0.4	4.06%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	Mar_12_2015	218.89	187.52	188.6	189.5	190.08	188.82	184.32(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-40	-13	7	0.02	49%	-0.33	37.3	4.08%	0	-0.7	46	0
9	Mar_11_2015	219.61	187.88	188.3	190.66	192.6	188.1	188.64(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-25	-130	-33	0	0.04	49%	-0.31	59	4.08%	0	0.2	53	0
10	Mar_10_2015	220.3	187.61	187.78	190.66	192.06	191.34	184.32(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-55	10	-67	-17	0.03	47%	-0.38	54.5	4.09%	0	-0.7	53	0

11	Mar_9_2015	221.14	187.39	188.24	189.79	191.61	197.1	187.2(-7.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	60	230	67	39	0.04	51%	-0.34	59.1	4.12%	0	-0	52	0
12	Mar_6_2015	221.89	187	188.39	190.66	189.27	192.78	203.04(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	91	110	102	57	0.09	52%	-0.3	65.5	4.18%	0	2.9	60	0
13	Mar_5_2015	222.55	185.79	187.02	187.78	187.11	186.12	190.08(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-50	15	12	0.04	49%	-0.3	67.5	4.11%	0	1	51	0
14	Mar_4_2015	223.22	185.16	186.57	185.76	186.39	185.76	184.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10	-21	-15	0.02	49%	-0.29	50.2	4.09%	0	-0.2	43	0
15	Mar_3_2015	223.88	185.04	186.49	185.47	185.4	188.1	184.32(-3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	10	100	14	-2	0.02	49%	-0.2	36.6	4.09%	0	-0.2	53	0

16	Mar_2_2015	224.33	184.4	186.67	186.34	184.95	187.02	191.52(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	60	55	23	0.03	51%	-0.24	24	4.08%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Feb_27_2015	224.86	183.49	186.3	185.76	184.86	182.7	188.64(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-100	-16	-1	0.02	46%	-0.29	29.5	4.2%	0	0.9	62	0
18	Feb_26_2015	225.52	182.97	186.25	186.34	186.57	182.88	180(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-130	-67	-13	0.01	44%	-0.4	46.2	4.18%	0	-0.5	53	0
19	Feb_25_2015	226.43	182.94	187.42	186.34	188.64	187.02	182.88(-3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-40	-38	14	0.02	44%	-0.34	65.9	4.18%	0	-0	60	0
20	Feb_24_2015	227.2	183.39	187.53	187.49	188.55	187.02	188.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	80	9	35	0.02	44%	-0.38	89.2	4.17%	0	0.8	59	0

21	Feb_23_2015	228.07	183.07	186.59	187.49	187.47	190.26	188.64(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	110	51	56	0.02	44%	-0.45	104.8	4.17%	0	0.9	70	0
22	Feb_20_2015	229.09	181.78	185.64	186.91	186.03	186.84	191.52(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	23	50	0.02	46%	-0.44	87.3	4.17%	0	1.3	68	0
23	Feb_19_2015	230.1	180.32	184.47	186.34	186.66	184.68	185.76(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-70	-25	30	0.02	44%	-0.48	67	4.2%	0	0.6	57	0
24	Feb_18_2015	231.2	179.16	183.66	186.34	188.82	185.22	182.88(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-35	-110	-54	24	0.01	47%	-0.53	47.6	4.22%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Feb_17_2015	232.43	177.95	183.54	187.49	190.71	188.64	185.76(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-20	-32	25	0.01	46%		23	4.31%	0	0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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