Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $190.0800 (3.13%) ($184.3200 - $191.5200) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.11% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $190.0800(3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(14%)    XOP(14%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)    FXI(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.055% (StdDev 4.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $187.78(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.02(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.79(2.31%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $63.3b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 4.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.77%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.52%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	222.55	185.79	187.02	187.78	187.11	186.12	190.08(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-50	15	12	0.04	49%	-0.3	67.5	4.11%	0	1	51	INF
2	Mar_4_2015	223.22	185.16	186.57	185.76	186.39	185.76	184.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10	-21	-15	0.02	49%	-0.29	50.2	4.09%	0	-0.2	43	INF
3	Mar_3_2015	223.88	185.04	186.49	185.47	185.4	188.1	184.32(-3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	10	100	14	-2	0.02	49%	-0.2	36.6	4.09%	0	-0.2	53	INF
4	Mar_2_2015	224.33	184.4	186.67	186.34	184.95	187.02	191.52(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	60	55	23	0.03	51%	-0.24	24	4.08%	0	1.3	63	INF
5	Feb_27_2015	224.86	183.49	186.3	185.76	184.86	182.7	188.64(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-100	-16	-1	0.02	46%	-0.29	29.5	4.2%	0	0.9	62	INF

6	Feb_26_2015	225.52	182.97	186.25	186.34	186.57	182.88	180(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-130	-67	-13	0.01	44%	-0.4	46.2	4.18%	0	-0.5	53	INF
7	Feb_25_2015	226.43	182.94	187.42	186.34	188.64	187.02	182.88(-3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-40	-38	14	0.02	44%	-0.34	65.9	4.18%	0	-0	60	INF
8	Feb_24_2015	227.2	183.39	187.53	187.49	188.55	187.02	188.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	80	9	35	0.02	44%	-0.38	89.2	4.17%	0	0.8	59	INF
9	Feb_23_2015	228.07	183.07	186.59	187.49	187.47	190.26	188.64(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	110	51	56	0.02	44%	-0.45	104.8	4.17%	0	0.9	70	INF
10	Feb_20_2015	229.09	181.78	185.64	186.91	186.03	186.84	191.52(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	23	50	0.02	46%	-0.44	87.3	4.17%	0	1.3	68	INF

11	Feb_19_2015	230.1	180.32	184.47	186.34	186.66	184.68	185.76(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-70	-25	30	0.02	44%	-0.48	67	4.2%	0	0.6	57	INF
12	Feb_18_2015	231.2	179.16	183.66	186.34	188.82	185.22	182.88(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-35	-110	-54	24	0.01	47%	-0.53	47.6	4.22%	0	0.4	55	INF
13	Feb_17_2015	232.43	177.95	183.54	187.49	190.71	188.64	185.76(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-20	-32	25	0.01	46%	-0.83	23	4.31%	0	0.8	44	INF
14	Feb_13_2015	234.38	176.86	182.06	186.05	189.45	192.42	188.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	160	22	31	0.02	44%	-0.48	0.5	4.36%	0	1.1	54	INF
15	Feb_12_2015	235.52	175.38	180.48	184.03	186.39	192.78	188.64(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	92	280	101	63	0.03	42%	-0.52	-26.3	4.37%	0	1.2	67	INF

16	Feb_11_2015	236.75	175.38	179.38	182.3	182.88	186.48	191.52(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	150	102	68	0.06	42%	-0.53	-42.9	4.44%	0	1.6	69	INF
17	Feb_10_2015	238	174.87	177.94	179.42	179.73	180	182.88(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	14	33	0.02	40%	-0.51	-53.9	4.39%	0	0.7	66	INF
18	Feb_9_2015	239.23	175.62	178.74	179.14	178.92	179.28	178.56(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	10	7	56	0.01	40%	-0.59	-55.3	4.37%	0	0.2	67	INF
19	Feb_6_2015	240.64	176.81	179.14	177.41	178.26	179.46	178.56(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	60	28	72	0.01	42%	-0.62	-58.8	4.42%	0	0.1	61	INF
20	Feb_5_2015	242.13	178.28	177.59	176.26	176.01	178.56	180(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	100	24	69	0.01	40%	-0.62	-56.7	4.42%	0	0.1	65	INF

21	Feb_4_2015	243.64	179.49	175.85	175.97	175.11	177.06	177.12(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	60	42	62	0.01	40%	-0.64	-58.9	4.46%	0	-0.1	49	INF
22	Feb_3_2015	245.22	180.94	174.4	176.26	174.8	173.46	181.44(6.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-11	-80	-20	15	0.02	43%	-0.62	-60.3	4.46%	0	0	44	INF
23	Feb_2_2015	246.76	182.68	172.03	178.56	177.35	173.16	169.92(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-190	-69	-26	0.02	41%	-0.73	-54.8	4.51%	0	-0.6	37	INF
24	Jan_30_2015	248.57	185.41	171.48	181.15	181.77	176.13	172.8(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-210	-51	-36	0.02	44%	-0.75	-49	4.72%	0	-0.6	37	INF
25	Jan_29_2015	250.46	187.75	170.14	178.85	181.68	181.53	178.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-41	40	-31	-72	0.02	44%		-52.7	4.73%	0	-0.4	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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