Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $377.2800 (3.15%) ($365.7600 - $381.6000) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $377.2800(3.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(16%)    XOP(16%)    IWM(15%)    XBI(14%)    DIA(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $365.62(3.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $371.99(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $358.41(5.26%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $125.641b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.03% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.34%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.13%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	333.33	358.41	371.99	365.62	365.49	368.46	377.28(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	60	97	57	0.03	60%	0.12	25.7	3.52%	0	0.9	69	0
2	Aug_29_2014	332.93	356.45	371.89	364.18	364.28	368.46	365.76(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	-30	-30	22	0.02	60%	0.08	23.5	3.5%	0	0.4	63	0
3	Aug_28_2014	332.65	355.17	371.9	366.19	367.43	362.52	357.12(-1.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-52	-80	-77	24	0.02	64%	0	26.4	3.5%	0	0.1	62	0
4	Aug_27_2014	332.65	355.14	373.02	368.78	370.13	366.03	364.32(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-60	-70	-93	40	0.02	64%	0.07	33	3.68%	0	0.4	67	0
5	Aug_26_2014	332.43	353.93	371.13	371.09	370.58	372.33	363.6(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-34	30	-66	64	0.03	64%	0.11	31.9	3.72%	0	0.5	65	0

6	Aug_25_2014	332.07	352.95	367.98	379.3	374.22	374.22	370.08(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	57	-40	33	128	0.03	64%	0.07	41.1	3.73%	0	0.8	66	0
7	Aug_22_2014	331.84	351.52	364.68	380.74	378.9	368.82	375.84(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-31	-200	-72	92	0.03	64%	0.05	49.6	3.73%	0	1.2	64	0
8	Aug_21_2014	331.69	349.7	360.39	378.43	379.26	374.22	370.08(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-135	-90	-193	38	0.05	64%	0.01	57.1	3.73%	0	1	62	0
9	Aug_20_2014	331.67	348.24	356.12	377.57	378.77	388.98	375.84(-7.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	128	200	120	150	0.12	64%	0.02	69	3.72%	0	1.4	55	0
10	Aug_19_2014	331.59	347.28	351.38	370.66	372.92	384.3	404.64(7.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	321	230	353	224	0.12	68%	0.15	76.1	3.62%	0	3	69	0

11	Aug_18_2014	331.1	344.45	343.43	355.1	359.51	368.55	377.28(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	185	210	207	118	0.07	66%	0.15	77.6	3.52%	0	2.2	61	0
12	Aug_15_2014	330.62	341.45	339.16	346.46	348.62	361.53	364.32(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	198	280	230	101	0.06	64%	0.05	64.2	3.54%	0	1.5	58	0
13	Aug_14_2014	330.46	338.55	336.38	339.84	341.28	350.46	365.76(7.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	239	200	284	104	0.11	64%	0.06	46	3.54%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Aug_13_2014	330.25	335.09	334.95	331.78	333.99	335.7	341.28(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	60	84	7	0.07	65%	-0.24	29.3	3.5%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Aug_12_2014	331.04	333.48	334.69	329.18	330.66	332.1	326.88(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	40	0	-42	0.03	63%	-0.07	23	3.59%	0	-0.4	31	0

16	Aug_11_2014	331.28	333.22	336.43	329.76	330.21	332.28	334.08(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	50	43	-29	0.04	63%	-0.11	26.3	3.63%	0	0	38	0
17	Aug_8_2014	331.65	332.11	337.27	330.62	329.94	329.22	331.2(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-20	-12	-39	0.02	63%	-0.05	24.4	3.65%	0	-0.1	59	0
18	Aug_7_2014	331.81	331.04	338.32	332.35	332.91	328.14	325.44(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-76	-100	-85	-49	0.03	63%	-0.17	20.2	3.68%	0	-0.3	62	0
19	Aug_6_2014	332.37	330.33	340.17	338.69	337.95	330.66	328.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-125	-160	-154	-39	0.04	63%	-0.21	23.9	3.71%	0	-0.1	67	0
20	Aug_5_2014	333.06	329.69	343.42	340.99	344.88	337.68	329.76(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-89	-110	-120	6	0.05	63%	-0.23	19.8	3.73%	0	0	61	0

21	Aug_4_2014	333.83	328.72	346.06	343.87	346.59	345.24	338.4(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-71	-0	-107	36	0.03	63%	-0.3	15.3	3.74%	0	0.5	58	0
22	Aug_1_2014	334.82	327.76	344.42	344.74	348.39	352.08	339.84(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	81	110	69	115	0.05	63%	-0.42	9.9	3.74%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Jul_31_2014	336.24	327.3	341.4	345.02	346.59	347.94	357.12(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	40	81	124	0.11	66%	-0.39	6.8	3.71%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Jul_30_2014	337.55	325.86	335.46	342.14	342.54	344.7	339.84(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	50	-31	69	0.03	64%	-0.4	0.4	3.67%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Jul_29_2014	338.9	325.89	332.36	346.46	344.61	345.24	344.16(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-0	29	105	0.04	64%		8.9	3.69%	0	1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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