Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $338.4000 (-0.42%) ($335.5200 - $349.9200) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.74% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $338.4000(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(16%)    XOP(16%)    IWM(15%)    XBI(14%)    DIA(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.87% (StdDev 3.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $343.87(-1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $346.06(-2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $328.72(2.94%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $112.693b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.94% (three month std-dev: 3.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	333.83	328.72	346.06	343.87	346.59	345.24	338.4(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-71	-0	-107	36	0.03	63%	-0.3	15.3	3.74%	0	0.5	58	INF
2	Aug_1_2014	334.82	327.76	344.42	344.74	348.39	352.08	339.84(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	81	110	69	115	0.05	63%	-0.42	9.9	3.74%	0	0.6	61	INF
3	Jul_31_2014	336.24	327.3	341.4	345.02	346.59	347.94	357.12(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	40	81	124	0.11	66%	-0.39	6.8	3.71%	0	1.5	67	INF
4	Jul_30_2014	337.55	325.86	335.46	342.14	342.54	344.7	339.84(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	50	-31	69	0.03	64%	-0.4	0.4	3.67%	0	0.8	64	INF
5	Jul_29_2014	338.9	325.89	332.36	346.46	344.61	345.24	344.16(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-0	29	105	0.04	64%	-0.67	8.9	3.69%	0	1	62	INF

6	Jul_28_2014	341.17	325.75	329.88	348.77	348.75	340.38	342.72(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-23	-170	-58	84	0.03	64%	-0.49	11.7	3.76%	0	0.9	64	INF
7	Jul_25_2014	342.86	325.82	326.59	343.87	350.91	343.98	341.28(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-71	-80	-110	46	0.03	64%	-0.26	3.9	3.76%	0	0.8	57	INF
8	Jul_24_2014	343.77	325.97	323.17	336.67	344.25	357.12	342.72(-5.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	330	102	99	0.08	64%	-0.32	-8.1	3.8%	0	0.9	52	INF
9	Jul_23_2014	344.87	325.79	319.6	327.17	332.06	357.84	361.44(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	432	590	502	222	0.11	69%	-0.08	-25.2	3.75%	0	1.8	58	INF
10	Jul_22_2014	345.16	324.24	314.38	316.22	315.77	331.38	355.68(11.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	349	340	417	144	0.3	69%	0.13	-45	3.76%	0	1.8	51	INF

11	Jul_21_2014	344.72	323.58	309.18	309.02	306.86	306.27	318.24(4.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	45	-30	72	-37	0.05	63%	0.11	-51.2	3.45%	0	-0.3	36	INF
12	Jul_18_2014	344.34	325.06	309.11	307.3	309.11	300.15	305.28(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-133	-190	-131	-138	0.03	60%	0.08	-47.1	3.43%	0	-1.1	28	INF
13	Jul_17_2014	344.05	327.55	311.67	307.67	311.85	307.44	295.2(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-173	-60	-176	-164	0.04	60%	0.1	-35.5	3.42%	0	-1.8	20	INF
14	Jul_16_2014	343.69	330.75	315.41	310.26	313.68	318.06	306.72(-4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	12	130	41	-76	0.03	64%	0.19	-20.9	3.41%	0	-1.3	29	INF
15	Jul_15_2014	343.03	332.45	318.99	311.7	311.7	316.26	319.68(3.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	87	100	127	-34	0.05	69%	0.22	-13.5	3.41%	0	-0.8	40	INF

16	Jul_14_2014	342.27	332.67	321.32	309.4	309.36	309.29	309.6(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-0	23	-86	0.02	69%	0.2	-15.6	3.38%	0	-1.4	27	INF
17	Jul_11_2014	341.58	333.77	325.1	311.41	309.99	307.13	307.15(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-93	-80	-82	-124	0.01	69%	0.18	-12.3	3.38%	0	-1.7	24	INF
18	Jul_10_2014	340.96	334.24	329.24	316.51	314.37	309.42	308.16(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-121	-130	-119	-128	0.02	69%	0.19	-8.9	3.38%	0	-1.7	23	INF
19	Jul_9_2014	340.31	334.53	332.84	321.41	321.12	312.84	313.92(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-155	-180	-161	-138	0.02	69%	0.2	-2.3	3.44%	0	-1.3	23	INF
20	Jul_8_2014	339.63	334.76	335.22	327.46	327.51	319.32	308.16(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-210	-170	-229	-151	0.03	69%	-0.1	0.6	3.47%	0	-1.7	38	INF

21	Jul_7_2014	339.96	335.31	339.46	334.94	335.7	329.4	319.68(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-128	-120	-142	-84	0.02	75%	0.62	4.8	3.49%	0	-1	54	INF
22	Jul_3_2014	337.86	335.74	342.63	340.7	340.56	335.7	332.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-106	-100	-124	-52	0.02	82%	0.34	12.5	3.53%	0	-0.2	55	INF
23	Jul_2_2014	336.71	335.64	344.93	343.87	344.07	342	332.64(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-49	-40	-66	1	0.02	82%	0.36	14	3.54%	0	-0.2	63	INF
24	Jul_1_2014	335.49	334.89	347.54	345.89	345.78	345.42	344.16(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	13	62	0.03	82%	0.41	7.4	3.51%	0	0.6	70	INF
25	Jun_30_2014	334.13	334.65	347.1	344.16	343.35	346.14	345.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	7	65	0.02	85%		9.9	3.65%	0	0.7	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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