Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. May. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $311.7600 (4.59%) ($292.3200 - $313.9200) on Sat. May. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.34% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $311.7600(4.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.67% (StdDev 7.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

Resistance Level   $316.53
5 Day Moving Average   $300.82(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $296.66(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $316.53(-1.51%)
To recent high   -44.9%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 8.35% (three month std-dev: 7.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2014	300.25	316.53	296.66	300.82	300.96	298.89	311.76(4.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	29	-50	42	-10	0.04	73%	0.4	-36.3	7.34%	0	-0.2	43	INF
2	May_15_2014	299.05	318.44	297.3	293.18	295.34	297.09	298.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	60	-17	-48	0.02	73%	-0	-40.4	7.38%	0	-0.7	37	INF
3	May_14_2014	299.06	320.74	299.49	289.73	290.3	303.03	295.2(-5.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	51	310	75	-23	0.03	73%	0.36	-46.1	7.44%	0	-0.9	32	INF
4	May_13_2014	298	322.65	302.46	289.15	287.46	293.58	311.04(8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	89	130	122	-12	0.07	73%	0.42	-50	7.41%	0	-0.4	34	INF
5	May_12_2014	296.74	323.83	302.55	287.42	284.36	277.56	288(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-200	-57	-98	0.04	71%	0.31	-51.5	7.35%	0	-1.3	21	INF

6	May_9_2014	295.82	326.43	306.78	292.32	290.84	281.34	273.6(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-120	-240	-118	-125	0.05	71%	0.24	-51.4	7.22%	0	-2.1	14	NAN
7	May_8_2014	295.12	329.93	313.24	302.11	300.74	291.15	280.8(-3.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-107	-240	-106	-110	0.04	71%	0.23	-52.2	7.27%	0	-2.2	22	NAN
8	May_7_2014	294.43	333.9	320.4	310.46	309.29	300.33	292.32(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-102	-210	-104	-97	0.05	71%	0.32	-51	7.3%	0	-2.1	31	NAN
9	May_6_2014	293.5	336.62	327.01	317.38	316.53	310.32	302.4(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-79	-150	-80	-74	0.03	71%	0.12	-54.5	7.28%	0	-2	41	NAN
10	May_5_2014	293.14	338.17	333.28	319.68	322.38	318.24	312.48(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-60	-32	-46	0.03	71%	0.2	-65.7	7.27%	0	-1.7	43	NAN

11	May_2_2014	292.55	340	338.3	323.42	321.85	322.74	322.56(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-39	0	-39	-39	0.02	71%	0.28	-59.5	7.15%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
12	May_1_2014	291.74	341.94	341.39	326.3	324.37	326.52	322.56(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	7	30	13	-11	0.05	71%	0.26	-50.4	7.2%	0	-1.4	45	NAN
13	Apr_30_2014	290.98	344.22	343.77	332.21	329.32	320.96	326.88(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-200	-42	-28	0.05	71%	0.24	-32	7.2%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
14	Apr_29_2014	290.27	346.22	344.55	338.54	336.02	322.22	313.92(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-141	-310	-164	-71	0.08	71%	0.25	-35.5	7.19%	0	-2.2	41	NAN
15	Apr_28_2014	289.55	348.51	347.05	348.91	347.54	337.68	331.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-99	-210	-119	-38	0.07	71%	0.3	-16.7	7.15%	0	-1.3	54	NAN

16	Apr_25_2014	288.68	348.64	347.92	355.25	354.56	349.83	336.96(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-62	-100	-77	-15	0.05	71%	0.4	-17.1	7.11%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
17	Apr_24_2014	287.54	349.29	348.28	358.42	359.69	357.39	352.08(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-30	-2	15	0.04	71%	0.49	-10.4	7.14%	0	0.2	47	NAN
18	Apr_23_2014	286.14	348.97	348.64	356.83	357.21	359.28	358.56(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	40	7	14	0.05	71%	0.59	-26	7.16%	0	0.8	46	NAN
19	Apr_22_2014	284.47	351.57	346.98	351.36	352.17	361.98	365.76(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	200	84	32	0.05	71%	0.62	-19.3	7.17%	0	0.7	48	NAN
20	Apr_21_2014	282.71	350.7	343.19	345.02	344.61	355.14	362.88(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	97	210	119	31	0.12	73%	0.61	-41	7.17%	0	0.6	52	NAN

21	Apr_17_2014	280.99	350.9	341.32	339.84	338.58	342.36	352.8(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	70	75	10	0.06	67%	0.58	-62.8	7.2%	0	0.1	59	NAN
22	Apr_16_2014	279.38	350.62	341.84	336.96	334.98	334.08	344.16(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-40	-17	-27	0.06	67%	0.55	-90.7	7.47%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
23	Apr_15_2014	277.84	352.31	344	339.55	337.5	334.8	331.2(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-70	-30	-25	0.1	67%	0.5	-99.8	7.47%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
24	Apr_14_2014	276.46	355.45	347.54	341.86	342.72	335.88	334.08(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-130	-27	-31	0.07	67%	0.51	-103.4	7.47%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
25	Apr_11_2014	275.05	358.92	349.93	340.7	342.36	340.2	336.96(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-30	-63	-46	0.09	67%		-111.1	7.41%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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