Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $198.7200 (-2.82%) ($198.7200 - $208.8000) on Fri. Jun. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.83% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $198.7200(-2.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(16%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(13%)    OIH(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.415% (StdDev 4.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $204.48(-2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.05(-4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $196.51(1.12%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   63.4%
Market Cap   $66.177b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.28% (three month std-dev: 4.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -22.75%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2013	156.82	196.51	207.05	204.48	205.13	203.4	198.72(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-50	-29	-14	0.01	72%	0.22	60.1	4.83%	0	0.1	40	NAN
2	Jun_13_2013	156.48	194.48	205.87	207.36	206.66	204.71	204.48(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-24	-80	-32	2	0.01	72%	0.25	60.1	4.82%	0	0.5	68	NAN
3	Jun_12_2013	156.09	192.49	205.38	208.51	207.83	206.87	203.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-40	-42	22	0.01	68%	0.23	62.9	4.82%	0	0.5	69	NAN
4	Jun_11_2013	155.73	190.36	205.81	210.24	211.05	208.62	203.04(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-70	-10	66	0.02	68%	0.31	64.5	4.88%	0	0.5	70	NAN
5	Jun_10_2013	155.25	188.02	207.04	211.97	211.86	208.8	213.12(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-16	-100	-53	94	0.02	68%	0.33	65.2	4.84%	0	1	75	NAN

6	Jun_7_2013	154.74	185.08	207.42	209.95	213.21	213.48	213.12(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	60	20	157	0.03	68%	0.36	63.5	4.86%	0	1.1	75	NAN
7	Jun_6_2013	154.19	182.05	203.4	204.05	209.43	214.92	210.24(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	92	260	66	168	0.09	70%	0.3	57.6	4.86%	0	1.1	76	NAN
8	Jun_5_2013	153.73	179.08	199.22	201.74	202.82	212.94	211.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	123	370	104	181	0.04	70%	0.32	57.4	4.89%	0	1.3	71	NAN
9	Jun_4_2013	153.24	176.13	194.65	200.88	201.2	203.94	211.68(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	142	100	124	197	0.05	70%	0.28	59.4	4.89%	0	1.5	72	NAN
10	Jun_3_2013	152.81	173.14	189.46	201.74	199.4	192.69	203.04(10.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-49	-270	-105	121	0.03	70%	0.16	64.5	4.89%	0	1.3	72	NAN

11	May_31_2013	152.57	170.48	185.12	204.91	205.88	198.45	183.6(-7.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-240	-78	164	0.04	67%	0.06	73.4	4.76%	0	0.6	68	NAN
12	May_30_2013	152.48	168.75	182.47	202.18	206.37	206.1	198.72(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	50	0	194	0.03	72%	0.22	68.5	4.68%	0	1.3	76	NAN
13	May_29_2013	152.15	165.95	178.84	195.55	196.56	213.3	207.36(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	175	610	153	239	0.03	72%	0.32	59.9	4.68%	0	1.9	81	NAN
14	May_28_2013	151.66	162.97	173.77	186.91	186.84	206.64	216(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	384	740	408	310	0.1	73%	0.44	55.5	4.66%	0	2.7	83	NAN
15	May_24_2013	150.99	159.6	167.24	175.39	172.62	179.82	218.88(28.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	216	240	226	187	0.11	70%	0.49	51.6	4.67%	0	4	85	NAN

16	May_23_2013	150.26	155.72	160.25	163.3	163.67	167.04	169.92(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	150	62	94	0.01	59%	0.23	70	3.07%	0	2.3	72	NAN
17	May_22_2013	149.91	154.79	158.48	160.13	161.33	165.42	165.6(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	107	200	110	97	0.02	59%	0.11	84.6	3.08%	0	2	72	NAN
18	May_21_2013	149.75	153.95	157.02	159.55	158.81	160.29	164.16(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	50	59	83	0.03	59%	0.22	109.4	3.08%	0	1.9	75	NAN
19	May_20_2013	149.42	152.87	155.95	158.4	158.36	157.23	158.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-50	8	59	0	57%	0.19	133.7	3.06%	0	1.1	58	NAN
20	May_17_2013	149.14	152.29	155.5	157.54	157.77	157.32	158.4(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-20	-25	41	0.01	57%	0.14	146.7	3.05%	0	1.2	54	NAN

21	May_16_2013	148.93	151.51	154.79	156.67	157.05	159.48	154.08(-5.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	43	120	35	65	0.01	57%	0.11	118	3.05%	0	0.4	59	NAN
22	May_15_2013	148.77	150.39	154.28	156.38	155.7	158.22	162.72(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	100	91	82	0.01	61%	0.09	87.9	3%	0	1.4	59	NAN
23	May_14_2013	148.63	148.41	152.4	154.08	153.63	154.62	158.4(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	40	36	38	0.02	61%	0.14	67.5	2.98%	0	1	59	NAN
24	May_13_2013	148.42	146.69	151.62	154.08	152.82	153.18	154.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	10	5	30	0	61%	0.09	57.5	2.96%	0	0.7	63	NAN
25	May_10_2013	148.28	145.22	151.56	153.22	153.18	152.64	154.08(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	3	39	0	61%		52.6	2.92%	0	0.8	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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