Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $158.4000 (2.8%) ($152.6400 - $159.8400) on Tue. May. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $158.4000(2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(16%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(13%)    OIH(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $154.08(2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.4(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.41(6.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $52.75b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.73% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.39%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.58%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -11.41%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.69%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.27%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2013	148.63	148.41	152.4	154.08	153.63	154.62	158.4(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	40	36	38	0.02	61%	0.14	67.5	2.98%	0	1	59	NAN
2	May_13_2013	148.42	146.69	151.62	154.08	152.82	153.18	154.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	10	5	30	0	61%	0.09	57.5	2.96%	0	0.7	63	NAN
3	May_10_2013	148.28	145.22	151.56	153.22	153.18	152.64	154.08(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	3	39	0	61%	0.06	52.6	2.92%	0	0.8	57	NAN
4	May_9_2013	148.19	144.04	150.86	152.64	153.44	152.46	152.64(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	-30	-17	33	0	61%	0.03	50.4	2.94%	0	0.8	60	NAN
5	May_8_2013	148.15	142.9	150.81	151.78	153.35	153.72	151.2(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	50	11	67	0	61%	0.01	46.8	2.96%	0	0.7	69	NAN

6	May_7_2013	148.13	141.96	150.67	150.34	151.73	154.42	154.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	59	150	43	107	0.01	61%	0.04	43.9	2.96%	0	1.1	75	NAN
7	May_6_2013	148.07	140.72	149.56	150.34	150.11	152.98	154.08(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	140	71	143	0.01	61%	0.13	42.6	2.97%	0	1.2	74	NAN
8	May_3_2013	147.88	139.61	148.81	149.76	149.67	149.04	151.2(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	-30	33	160	0.01	64%	0.17	43.7	3.04%	0	1.1	72	NAN
9	May_2_2013	147.63	138.58	147.98	148.9	149.76	147.24	148.32(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-100	-62	137	0.01	64%	0.14	40.9	3.05%	0	0.9	64	NAN
10	May_1_2013	147.42	137.82	146.28	149.76	150.57	150.3	144(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	0	-45	157	0.01	64%	0.1	43.8	3.05%	0	0.6	62	NAN

11	Apr_30_2013	147.28	137.17	144.31	150.91	151.38	152.28	151.2(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	85	50	47	200	0.01	68%	0.16	45.4	2.98%	0	1.4	64	NAN
12	Apr_29_2013	147.04	136.17	141.57	149.19	149.85	150.84	154.08(4.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	60	31	175	0.01	68%	0.22	39.6	2.98%	0	1.9	68	NAN
13	Apr_26_2013	146.71	135.09	138.5	147.75	147.98	150.48	146.88(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	66	120	35	160	0.01	66%	0.18	36.1	2.89%	0	1.3	61	NAN
14	Apr_25_2013	146.45	134.47	136.77	146.88	147.71	148.86	152.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	134	70	116	188	0.01	70%	0.21	32.8	2.88%	0	2.2	67	NAN
15	Apr_24_2013	146.14	133.49	134.32	142.28	144.38	145.49	149.76(5.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	100	53	117	0.01	70%	0.19	14.9	2.87%	0	2.2	62	NAN

16	Apr_23_2013	145.87	132.73	132.41	136.65	140.27	146.57	142.57(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	130	390	138	105	0.01	67%	0.13	-11.8	2.79%	0	1.6	60	NAN
17	Apr_22_2013	145.68	132.49	131.01	132.65	134.91	143.28	146.88(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	223	490	260	113	0.02	71%	0.17	-33.5	2.77%	0	2.4	62	NAN
18	Apr_19_2013	145.44	131.98	129.38	127.91	128.9	133.98	142.56(9.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	144	300	180	35	0.02	69%	0.12	-65.7	2.77%	0	2	56	NAN
19	Apr_18_2013	145.27	131.77	128.05	125.39	125.98	126.55	129.61(6.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	50	55	-55	0.01	62%	0.03	-80.4	2.46%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
20	Apr_17_2013	145.23	132.42	128.41	125.35	126.03	123.82	121.62(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-81	-110	-70	-113	0.01	56%	0	-72.3	2.33%	0	-1.9	29	NAN

21	Apr_16_2013	145.23	133.48	129.41	127.52	127.72	125.41	122.56(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-96	-120	-91	-109	0.01	56%	-0.03	-64.2	2.36%	0	-2	28	NAN
22	Apr_15_2013	145.28	134.56	130.47	128.93	129.46	128.24	123.21(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-50	-66	-97	0.01	56%	-0.04	-65.1	2.37%	0	-2.2	26	NAN
23	Apr_12_2013	145.34	135.62	131.64	130.83	130.72	130.03	129.93(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-30	-71	0	55%	-0.12	-65.5	2.39%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
24	Apr_11_2013	145.51	136.08	132.22	131.05	131.9	130.69	129.43(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-25	-74	0.01	55%	0.02	-81	2.41%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
25	Apr_10_2013	145.48	136.66	132.82	131.95	132.26	131.42	132.48(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-40	-37	-84	0	60%		-93.7	2.44%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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