Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $146.8800 (3.03%) ($145.4400 - $152.6400) on Mon. Apr. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $146.8800(3.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(13%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $132.65(10.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.01(12.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.49(10.86%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $48.914b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.45%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.55%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.29%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.37%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2013	145.68	132.49	131.01	132.65	134.91	143.28	146.88(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	223	490	260	113	0.02	71%	0.17	-33.5	2.77%	0	2.4	62	NAN
2	Apr_19_2013	145.44	131.98	129.38	127.91	128.9	133.98	142.56(9.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	144	300	180	35	0.02	69%	0.12	-65.7	2.77%	0	2	56	NAN
3	Apr_18_2013	145.27	131.77	128.05	125.39	125.98	126.55	129.61(6.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	50	55	-55	0.01	62%	0.03	-80.4	2.46%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
4	Apr_17_2013	145.23	132.42	128.41	125.35	126.03	123.82	121.62(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-81	-110	-70	-113	0.01	56%	0	-72.3	2.33%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
5	Apr_16_2013	145.23	133.48	129.41	127.52	127.72	125.41	122.56(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-96	-120	-91	-109	0.01	56%	-0.03	-64.2	2.36%	0	-2	28	NAN

6	Apr_15_2013	145.28	134.56	130.47	128.93	129.46	128.24	123.21(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-50	-66	-97	0.01	56%	-0.04	-65.1	2.37%	0	-2.2	26	NAN
7	Apr_12_2013	145.34	135.62	131.64	130.83	130.72	130.03	129.93(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-30	-71	0	55%	-0.12	-65.5	2.39%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
8	Apr_11_2013	145.51	136.08	132.22	131.05	131.9	130.69	129.43(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-25	-74	0.01	55%	0.02	-81	2.41%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
9	Apr_10_2013	145.48	136.66	132.82	131.95	132.26	131.42	132.48(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-40	-37	-84	0	60%	0.04	-93.7	2.44%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
10	Apr_9_2013	145.42	137.1	133.22	131.66	132.61	133.11	129.59(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	50	-6	-83	0.01	64%	-0.01	-103.6	2.49%	0	-1.7	25	NAN

11	Apr_8_2013	145.43	138.08	134.2	132.27	132.85	133.1	132.73(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	30	20	-72	0	67%	0.06	-89.6	2.56%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
12	Apr_5_2013	145.34	138.91	134.81	132.6	132.66	132.11	131.04(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-43	-30	-26	-94	0	67%	0.05	-82	2.62%	0	-1.5	21	NAN
13	Apr_4_2013	145.27	140.03	135.74	133.58	133.67	132.6	133.92(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-50	-27	-84	0	67%	0.06	-69.6	2.63%	0	-1	42	NAN
14	Apr_3_2013	145.19	141.07	136.64	133.87	134.92	133.2	131.03(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-70	-44	-86	0.01	71%	-0.01	-54.7	2.62%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
15	Apr_2_2013	145.2	141.96	137.82	135.02	135.62	134.73	132.62(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-30	-53	-74	0	71%	0.01	-48.2	2.83%	0	-1.5	34	NAN

16	Apr_1_2013	145.19	142.64	138.96	136.41	136.77	136.63	134.41(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	0	-13	-55	0.01	71%	0.12	-40	2.85%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
17	Mar_28_2013	145.01	143.42	139.93	137.36	137.79	136.51	135.91(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-60	-18	-57	0.01	66%	-0.03	-33.9	2.84%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
18	Mar_27_2013	145.05	144.25	140.26	138.25	138.4	136.91	135.36(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-64	-70	-57	-85	0	66%	-0.07	-28.4	2.9%	0	-1.6	21	NAN
19	Mar_26_2013	145.15	144.74	140.86	139.87	139.51	139.07	136.79(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	-30	-33	-83	0.01	66%	-0.08	-28.1	2.9%	0	-1.5	21	NAN
20	Mar_25_2013	145.27	144.74	141.35	141.03	140.79	139.89	139.58(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-50	-18	-78	0	66%	0.06	-33.7	2.89%	0	-1.1	40	NAN

21	Mar_22_2013	145.18	145.03	142.3	141.92	141.96	139.95	139.15(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-100	-43	-77	0	66%	0.04	-44.8	2.9%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
22	Mar_21_2013	145.12	145.44	143.33	142.89	142.76	141.69	140.37(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-60	-42	-70	0	66%	0.04	-50.3	2.92%	0	-1	40	NAN
23	Mar_20_2013	145.06	145.86	144.63	142.53	143.18	143.97	143.44(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	16	-48	0	66%	-0.01	-61.8	2.93%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
24	Mar_19_2013	145.07	146.23	145.75	142	142.07	143.83	142.62(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	90	34	-31	0.01	66%	-0.02	-69.9	2.94%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
25	Mar_18_2013	145.1	146.79	146.34	141.7	141.28	142.38	144(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	50	30	-27	0	66%		-77.3	2.94%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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