Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $161.2800 (0.9%) ($156.9600 - $161.2800) on Mon. Feb. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $161.2800(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(13%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.515% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

Resistance Level   $162.73
5 Day Moving Average   $162.14(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.45(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.73(-0.89%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   32.4%
Market Cap   $53.709b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 3.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2013	140.87	162.73	160.45	162.14	161.28	160.02	161.28(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-9	-23	0	78%	0.21	-30.8	3.03%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Feb_8_2013	140.57	163.59	160.69	160.99	161.46	160.74	159.84(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-20	-16	-34	0	72%	0.24	-2.2	3.03%	0	-0.7	45	0
3	Feb_7_2013	140.24	164.27	161.23	160.7	160.2	162.54	159.84(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	9	90	17	-16	0.01	68%	0.24	18.4	3.16%	0	-0.8	52	0
4	Feb_6_2013	139.9	164.65	161.78	160.13	159.3	162.18	164.16(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	110	87	8	0	68%	0.27	41.7	3.18%	0	-0.1	48	0
5	Feb_5_2013	139.53	164.46	161.86	159.26	157.68	157.86	165.6(6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	-20	22	-23	0.01	73%	0.27	60.1	3.19%	0	0.2	52	0

6	Feb_4_2013	139.15	163.87	162.04	158.69	157.95	156.42	155.52(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-80	-37	-49	0	71%	0.16	68.3	3.5%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	Feb_1_2013	138.93	163.71	162.96	160.42	159.75	157.5	158.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-110	-48	-58	0	71%	0.22	79.8	3.5%	0	-0.8	26	0
8	Jan_31_2013	138.63	163.25	163.2	161.86	161.46	159.48	156.96(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-90	-58	-68	0.01	72%	0.18	82.8	3.5%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Jan_30_2013	138.38	162.37	164.12	163.58	163.35	162	159.84(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-60	-31	-49	0	72%	0.22	70.2	3.5%	0	-0.3	45	0
10	Jan_29_2013	138.07	161.15	164.6	164.74	164.07	163.44	162.72(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-40	-32	-40	0.01	72%	0.25	68.4	3.52%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Jan_28_2013	137.72	159.74	165.29	164.74	165.24	163.44	164.16(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-30	-4	-7	0.01	72%	0.25	54.6	3.55%	0	0.4	62	0
12	Jan_25_2013	137.37	158.52	166.74	165.89	165.69	164.7	165.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-50	-4	21	0.01	69%	0.29	45.1	3.55%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Jan_24_2013	136.97	157.22	167.55	165.89	164.79	165.78	165.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	40	-10	38	0.01	69%	0.17	37.2	3.59%	0	0.6	67	0
14	Jan_23_2013	136.74	155.89	167.73	164.74	164.43	166.68	165.6(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	90	50	93	0.01	69%	0.17	33.2	3.6%	0	0.7	73	0
15	Jan_22_2013	136.51	154.68	167.26	164.45	163.35	163.8	168.48(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-0	30	112	0.01	69%	0.2	34.1	3.61%	0	0.9	77	0

16	Jan_18_2013	136.24	153.49	165.81	164.74	162.27	162.18	164.16(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-50	-50	107	0.01	66%	0.23	41.2	3.61%	0	0.7	76	0
17	Jan_17_2013	135.93	152.66	164.54	167.9	165.78	162.9	159.84(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-160	-40	149	0.01	68%	0.19	55.4	3.62%	0	0.5	67	0
18	Jan_16_2013	135.67	152.12	163.47	170.78	170.37	162.36	165.6(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-41	-340	-106	156	0.01	65%	0.23	69.1	3.65%	0	0.9	71	0
19	Jan_15_2013	135.36	151.19	160.72	171.07	172.71	168.66	164.16(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-63	-140	-134	150	0.02	66%	0.17	79.5	3.71%	0	0.9	71	0
20	Jan_14_2013	135.13	149.78	157.73	170.21	173.43	178.38	169.92(-5.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	114	260	76	226	0.02	66%	0.2	85.9	3.71%	0	1.4	71	0

21	Jan_11_2013	134.86	147.61	154.01	166.75	168.12	176.76	180(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	208	380	196	245	0.03	69%	0.28	83.8	3.67%	0	2.4	73	0
22	Jan_10_2013	134.48	144.92	149.64	160.7	160.47	168.48	174.24(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	183	350	181	187	0.02	69%	0.24	81.4	3.82%	0	2.5	67	0
23	Jan_9_2013	134.16	142.65	145.85	155.23	154.8	159.48	167.04(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	154	200	160	136	0.01	69%	0.15	81	3.79%	0	2.4	62	0
24	Jan_8_2013	133.96	140.63	142.77	148.96	149.14	152.46	159.84(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	81	160	88	58	0.02	66%	0.1	75.2	3.77%	0	2.1	59	0
25	Jan_7_2013	133.83	138.74	140.71	143.4	144.55	150.12	152.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	94	290	112	38	0.01	64%		61.5	3.76%	0	1.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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