Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $169.9200 (-5.6%) ($167.0400 - $184.3100) on Mon. Jan. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $169.9200(-5.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(14%)    EEM(13%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.21(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $157.73(7.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.78(13.45%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   39.5%
Market Cap   $56.586b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.27% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.79%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2013	135.13	149.78	157.73	170.21	173.43	178.38	169.92(-5.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	114	260	76	226	0.02	66%	0.2	85.9	3.71%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Jan_11_2013	134.86	147.61	154.01	166.75	168.12	176.76	180(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	208	380	196	245	0.03	69%	0.28	83.8	3.67%	0	2.4	73	0
3	Jan_10_2013	134.48	144.92	149.64	160.7	160.47	168.48	174.24(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	183	350	181	187	0.02	69%	0.24	81.4	3.82%	0	2.5	67	0
4	Jan_9_2013	134.16	142.65	145.85	155.23	154.8	159.48	167.04(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	154	200	160	136	0.01	69%	0.15	81	3.79%	0	2.4	62	0
5	Jan_8_2013	133.96	140.63	142.77	148.96	149.14	152.46	159.84(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	81	160	88	58	0.02	66%	0.1	75.2	3.77%	0	2.1	59	0

6	Jan_7_2013	133.83	138.74	140.71	143.4	144.55	150.12	152.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	94	290	112	38	0.01	64%	0.01	61.5	3.76%	0	1.7	66	0
7	Jan_4_2013	133.81	137.2	139.79	139.22	139.74	145.82	149.76(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	108	320	131	38	0.01	63%	0.02	43.8	3.77%	0	1.5	71	0
8	Jan_3_2013	133.78	135.85	139.44	136.89	135.87	138.98	146.88(8.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	70	140	85	25	0.01	65%	0	33.9	3.8%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Jan_2_2013	133.78	134.72	139.54	135.19	134.77	133.66	135.66(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-70	6	2	0.01	62%	-0.19	29.4	3.7%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Dec_31_2012	134.04	134.21	140.78	135.71	135.22	132.76	132.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-140	-63	-1	0.01	62%	-0.15	29.1	3.68%	0	-0.2	58	0

11	Dec_28_2012	134.24	133.86	141.33	137.54	136.82	135.88	131.76(-4.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-30	-60	-50	32	0.01	61%	-0.16	31.5	3.69%	0	-0.2	63	0
12	Dec_27_2012	134.45	133.62	141.08	140.28	138.65	137.68	138.08(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-80	-21	70	0	65%	-0.13	39.7	3.66%	0	0.5	70	0
13	Dec_26_2012	134.62	132.99	140.24	142.32	140.1	137.75	138.4(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-24	-160	-58	78	0	65%	-0.28	44.8	3.71%	0	0.6	69	0
14	Dec_24_2012	135	132.21	139.6	144.6	143.07	139.62	138.24(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-27	-200	-70	101	0	65%	-0.11	49	3.71%	0	0.6	66	0
15	Dec_21_2012	135.15	131.62	138.71	146.61	146.11	142.45	141.22(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-190	-58	130	0.02	66%	-0.07	57.9	3.71%	0	1	69	0

16	Dec_20_2012	135.25	130.99	136.94	145.57	146.97	146.52	145.44(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	10	-17	142	0.01	66%	-0.04	57.9	3.71%	0	1.6	75	0
17	Dec_19_2012	135.31	129.99	134.61	141.79	145.4	149.76	148.32(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	109	290	93	157	0.01	66%	-0.01	50.1	3.7%	0	2.1	74	0
18	Dec_18_2012	135.32	128.85	131.99	137.75	139.79	147.43	149.76(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	145	430	144	148	0.01	66%	-0.01	39.7	3.7%	0	2.8	76	0
19	Dec_17_2012	135.34	127.71	129.31	133.96	134.57	141.05	148.32(9.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	160	350	168	135	0.02	64%	-0.03	31.6	3.7%	0	3.5	78	0
20	Dec_14_2012	135.38	126.41	126.74	129.92	130.68	132.16	136.01(7.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	88	100	92	75	0.02	61%	-0.13	10.9	3.55%	0	2.8	61	0

21	Dec_13_2012	135.55	125.8	125.43	127.18	128.04	128.09	126.55(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	20	-1	11	0.01	59%	-0.15	-25.6	3.44%	0	0.3	44	0
22	Dec_12_2012	135.76	125.77	125.35	126.22	126.85	129.21	128.09(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	150	37	18	0.01	59%	-0.14	-59.9	3.44%	0	0.9	52	0
23	Dec_11_2012	135.95	125.92	125.04	125.16	125.25	127.98	130.81(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	56	150	68	19	0.01	59%	-0.15	-84.5	3.44%	0	1.7	54	0
24	Dec_10_2012	136.16	125.9	124.15	123.9	123.9	124.49	128.16(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	23	30	35	-13	0.01	59%	-0.23	-119.9	3.43%	0	0.8	46	0
25	Dec_7_2012	136.47	126.04	123.93	123.16	123.62	122.51	122.27(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-19	-38	0	57%		-116.7	3.38%	0	-1.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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