Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $131.8600 (4.53%) ($125.2800 - $136.4400) on Wed. Oct. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $131.8600(4.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    EEM(14%)    REMX(14%)    VWO(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.1(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.08(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.1(2.14%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $43.912b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.14% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2012	146.24	129.1	128.08	128.1	127.54	127.81	131.86(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	0	57	5	0.01	48%	-0.17	-67.8	2.56%	0	0.7	51	NAN
2	Oct_2_2012	146.49	129.62	127.63	126.48	126.66	125.95	126.14(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-24	-52	0	41%	-0.17	-57.6	2.54%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
3	Oct_1_2012	146.74	130.45	127.95	126.54	126.46	127.27	125.38(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	40	-9	-49	0	41%	-0.24	-56	2.56%	0	-1	44	NAN
4	Sep_28_2012	147.09	131.28	128.39	127.38	126.62	127.36	126.72(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	20	16	-28	0	50%	-0.22	-49.2	2.67%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
5	Sep_27_2012	147.42	131.67	129.07	128.56	127.43	125.65	130.39(5.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-120	-15	-26	0.01	53%	-0.2	-51.9	2.7%	0	-0.2	49	NAN

6	Sep_26_2012	147.71	131.91	129.06	128.11	128.64	125.88	123.77(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-140	-76	-51	0	46%	-0.25	-61.1	2.63%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
7	Sep_25_2012	148.08	132.59	129.96	128.93	129.31	129.2	126.43(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	0	-49	-51	0.01	38%	-0.28	-70.3	2.62%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
8	Sep_24_2012	148.49	133.37	130.46	129.49	129.67	131.4	129.59(-2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	25	100	42	-27	0	38%	-0.27	-69.6	2.73%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
9	Sep_21_2012	148.89	134.06	130.41	129.5	129.13	129.43	132.62(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	10	25	-53	0.01	45%	-0.28	-71.2	2.8%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
10	Sep_20_2012	149.31	134.57	130.41	129.76	129.14	127.93	128.16(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-80	-33	-81	0	41%	-0.35	-69.1	2.77%	0	-1.1	46	NAN

11	Sep_19_2012	149.84	135.36	130.23	130.23	130.41	128.83	127.83(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-80	-41	-92	0	41%	-0.33	-68.6	2.77%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
12	Sep_18_2012	150.33	136.36	131.74	131.16	131.21	130.35	129.27(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-40	-40	-74	0	41%	-0.33	-61.4	2.77%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
13	Sep_17_2012	150.83	137.23	133.12	131.51	132.03	131.99	129.63(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	10	1	-53	0.01	41%	-0.36	-59.4	2.77%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
14	Sep_14_2012	151.38	138.28	134.37	131.36	131.87	132.08	133.89(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	7	-54	0.01	44%	-0.35	-57.5	2.79%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
15	Sep_13_2012	151.91	138.92	134.42	130.8	131.57	132.06	130.55(-1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	40	13	-71	0.01	44%	-0.35	-62.6	2.78%	0	-1.2	37	NAN

16	Sep_12_2012	152.45	139.74	134.94	130.22	131.33	131.67	132.48(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	40	8	-90	0	44%	-0.35	-70.7	2.78%	0	-1	38	NAN
17	Sep_11_2012	152.99	140.47	135.39	132.53	130.4	131.07	131.01(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-10	-51	-112	0.01	44%	-0.38	-69	2.78%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
18	Sep_10_2012	153.58	141.29	136.5	135.13	134.04	130.98	128.88(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-180	-22	-86	0.01	44%	-0.42	-66.9	2.79%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
19	Sep_7_2012	154.23	142.43	138.04	137.86	136.87	129.73	131.08(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-151	-390	-158	-129	0.01	44%	-0.35	-60.9	2.78%	0	-1.8	30	NAN
20	Sep_6_2012	154.77	143.52	139.34	138.5	138.89	137.11	127.67(-11.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-143	-80	-149	-125	0.03	32%	-0.33	-60.3	2.79%	0	-2.6	33	NAN

21	Sep_5_2012	155.29	144.88	141.07	140.04	140.51	144	144(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	60	180	86	-18	0.01	41%	-0.24	-60.7	3.01%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
22	Sep_4_2012	155.66	145.41	141.39	138.6	138.14	140.67	144(1.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	41	120	67	-36	0.01	41%	-0.42	-58.9	3.01%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
23	Aug_31_2012	156.32	145.88	141.6	138.25	137.69	137.01	142.56(6.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-50	9	-62	0.01	53%	-0.31	-56.3	3.04%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
24	Aug_30_2012	156.81	146.37	142.36	138.54	138.98	135.62	134.28(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-76	-160	-71	-89	0.01	56%	-0.3	-55.3	3.28%	0	-2	22	NAN
25	Aug_29_2012	157.28	147.27	143.68	140.43	141.28	138.38	135.36(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-83	-130	-83	-84	0.01	62%		-54.6	3.48%	0	-2.3	21	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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