Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $148.3200 (0.98%) ($146.8800 - $149.7600) on Tue. Aug. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $148.3200(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    EEM(14%)    VWO(14%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $145.02(-2.22%)
Resistance Level   $150.41
5 Day Moving Average   $148.03(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.08(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.41(-1.39%)
To recent high   -23.7%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $49.393b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.03%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2012	159.82	150.41	149.08	148.03	147.88	148.5	148.32(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	30	3	-25	0.01	69%	-0.44	-54	3.77%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
2	Aug_20_2012	160.52	150.35	149.75	148.03	147.34	148.71	146.88(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	14	60	23	-13	0.01	69%	-0.5	-64.9	3.77%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
3	Aug_17_2012	161.32	150.59	150.47	148.03	146.89	147.27	151.2(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	0	17	-13	0.01	58%	-0.4	-60	3.79%	0	0.2	50	NAN
4	Aug_16_2012	161.96	150.87	150.58	147.74	146.88	145.97	146.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-22	-60	-20	-27	0.01	58%	-0.45	-46	4.1%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
5	Aug_15_2012	162.7	151.46	151.06	148.9	148.14	146.51	146.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-32	-90	-33	-28	0.01	58%	-0.46	-29	4.1%	0	-1.3	35	NAN

6	Aug_14_2012	163.45	151.96	151.54	150.34	149.94	147.78	146.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-38	-110	-44	-21	0.01	54%	-0.51	-9.7	4.14%	0	-1.5	54	NAN
7	Aug_13_2012	164.29	152.22	151.91	152.06	151.92	149.76	146.88(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-100	-44	-9	0.01	54%	-0.48	10.3	4.22%	0	-1.6	55	NAN
8	Aug_10_2012	165.09	152.47	152.41	153.5	153.63	152.1	151.2(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-70	-29	5	0.01	54%	-0.44	31.5	4.2%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
9	Aug_9_2012	165.82	152.47	152.41	153.79	154.26	154.08	152.64(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	0	-9	11	0	54%	-0.62	38.6	4.2%	0	0	41	NAN
10	Aug_8_2012	166.85	152.51	152.56	153.5	153.9	155.16	154.08(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	70	20	15	0	54%	-0.6	35.8	4.2%	0	0.5	40	NAN

11	Aug_7_2012	167.85	152.3	151.87	152.93	152.55	154.44	155.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	80	33	9	0.01	54%	-0.58	23	4.23%	0	1	46	NAN
12	Aug_6_2012	168.83	151.88	150.99	151.78	151.38	152.64	154.08(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	50	26	-4	0	54%	-0.66	10	4.23%	0	0.7	55	NAN
13	Aug_3_2012	169.96	151.53	150.66	151.78	151.38	150.66	152.64(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-20	6	-15	0	54%	-0.72	8.2	4.25%	0	0.3	53	NAN
14	Aug_2_2012	171.2	151.36	151.07	151.2	151.2	150.12	151.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-50	-25	-23	0.01	54%	-0.62	25.1	4.26%	0	-0	50	NAN
15	Aug_1_2012	172.27	151.43	151.78	151.49	151.92	151.74	151.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	0	-10	-10	0	54%	-0.54	40	4.28%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

16	Jul_31_2012	173.2	151.56	152.31	150.62	152.82	152.28	149.76(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	14	1	0	54%	-0.48	42.5	4.31%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
17	Jul_30_2012	174.03	151.54	152.5	150.62	151.38	152.1	151.2(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	60	-8	-8	0	54%	-0.38	37.4	4.31%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
18	Jul_27_2012	174.69	151.26	152.53	149.99	150.37	153.36	152.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	22	150	26	9	0	54%	-0.3	16.8	4.32%	0	0.4	61	NAN
19	Jul_26_2012	175.21	150.53	152.47	151	150.64	150.66	152.64(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10	32	19	0.01	54%	-0.29	4.9	4.32%	0	0.4	56	NAN
20	Jul_25_2012	175.72	150.07	152.46	152.29	150.96	147.38	146.88(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-190	-67	-13	0.01	54%	-0.32	5.9	4.29%	0	-0.6	43	NAN

21	Jul_24_2012	176.28	150.11	152.85	154.31	154.2	150.62	146.59(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-160	-59	-3	0.01	54%	-0.36	14.4	4.3%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
22	Jul_23_2012	176.92	150.25	153.01	154.31	155.75	154.53	151.2(-4.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-23	-40	-34	11	0	54%	-0.26	19.3	4.28%	0	0.2	55	NAN
23	Jul_20_2012	177.39	150.63	152.66	155.23	155.21	157.77	157.68(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	120	21	35	0	56%	-0.31	26.3	4.26%	0	1.3	70	NAN
24	Jul_19_2012	177.94	150.29	151.76	154.08	154.08	156.96	159.12(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	64	130	66	58	0.01	56%	-0.31	28.3	4.31%	0	1.7	79	NAN
25	Jul_18_2012	178.5	149.77	151.01	152.78	152.33	152.64	156.96(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	28	45	0.01	56%		26.3	4.33%	0	1.5	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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