Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $157.6800 (-0.9%) ($151.2000 - $158.4000) on Fri. Jul. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $157.6800(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    EEM(14%)    REMX(14%)    VWO(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.23(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.66(3.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.63(4.68%)
To recent high   -18.9%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $52.51b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(40%) Average negative next day return: -6.67%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.22%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -10.08%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.64%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2012	177.39	150.63	152.66	155.23	155.21	157.77	157.68(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	120	21	35	0	56%	-0.31	26.3	4.26%	0	1.3	70	NAN
2	Jul_19_2012	177.94	150.29	151.76	154.08	154.08	156.96	159.12(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	64	130	66	58	0.01	56%	-0.31	28.3	4.31%	0	1.7	79	NAN
3	Jul_18_2012	178.5	149.77	151.01	152.78	152.33	152.64	156.96(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	28	45	0.01	56%	-0.28	26.3	4.33%	0	1.5	66	NAN
4	Jul_17_2012	179	149.37	150.62	151.34	151.25	151.2	151.2(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-0	-1	33	0	56%	-0.36	20.7	4.3%	0	0.4	55	NAN
5	Jul_16_2012	179.65	149.28	150.42	150.48	150.44	152.01	151.2(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	70	19	37	0	56%	-0.45	14.9	4.3%	0	0.4	52	NAN

6	Jul_13_2012	180.46	149.2	149.81	149.62	149.36	151.29	151.92(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	90	37	27	0	56%	-0.46	12.6	4.32%	0	0.6	42	NAN
7	Jul_12_2012	181.29	148.81	148.4	149.62	148.32	148.86	152.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	10	16	3	0.01	59%	-0.52	6.1	4.33%	0	0.8	51	NAN
8	Jul_11_2012	182.24	148.51	147.43	149.04	148.37	147.42	149.76(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-60	-13	-14	0.01	59%	-0.34	0.7	4.39%	0	0.3	51	NAN
9	Jul_10_2012	182.87	148.44	147.12	149.9	149.36	147.78	146.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-25	-80	-27	-18	0.01	55%	-0.21	-23.9	4.4%	0	-0.3	49	NAN
10	Jul_9_2012	183.25	148.61	147.31	150.34	150.53	149.31	146.88(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-50	-16	-12	0.01	55%	-0.26	-51.5	4.5%	0	-0.4	49	NAN

11	Jul_6_2012	183.72	148.63	148.49	149.9	150.39	150.93	149.04(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	30	10	4	0	55%	-0.26	-91.1	4.52%	0	0.1	50	NAN
12	Jul_5_2012	184.19	148.53	148.74	147.46	148.59	151.74	152.64(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	170	44	12	0.01	55%	-0.17	-149.3	4.54%	0	0.9	59	NAN
13	Jul_3_2012	184.5	148.49	148.39	145.51	145.98	149.85	154.08(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	200	65	13	0.01	48%	-0.15	-105.7	4.61%	0	0.7	57	NAN
14	Jul_2_2012	184.78	149.52	147.88	145.51	144.03	145.44	149.04(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	26	70	36	-4	0.01	48%	-0.14	-77.4	4.66%	0	-0	51	NAN
15	Jun_29_2012	185.03	150.98	147.92	144.07	143.98	142.11	144.72(5.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-90	-30	-31	0.01	50%	-0.19	-52.6	4.69%	0	-0.5	46	NAN

16	Jun_28_2012	185.38	152.89	148.45	147.1	146.5	142.62	136.8(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-200	-65	-29	0.03	48%	-0.2	-27.8	4.63%	0	-1.1	42	NAN
17	Jun_27_2012	185.75	155.65	149.36	150.12	149.83	145.86	142.92(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-190	-65	-17	0.01	48%	-0.1	-6.5	4.61%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
18	Jun_26_2012	185.93	157.2	149.86	151.49	151.74	150.39	146.88(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-60	-43	-6	0.01	48%	0	5.5	4.62%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
19	Jun_25_2012	185.93	157.9	150.05	152.06	152.46	153.81	149.04(-6.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	8	70	12	-4	0.01	48%	0.02	10.6	4.63%	0	-0.6	28	NAN
20	Jun_22_2012	185.9	157.91	150.2	152.21	151.7	153.09	159.84(5.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	23	50	36	-18	0.04	46%	0.1	11.9	4.56%	0	0.1	31	NAN

21	Jun_21_2012	185.72	157.25	148.82	150.19	150.35	151.11	151.92(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	40	20	-61	0.01	44%	0.04	10.2	4.73%	0	-0.3	21	NAN
22	Jun_20_2012	185.65	156.63	148.3	148.61	149.22	150.3	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	60	16	-102	0.01	44%	0.04	1	4.72%	0	-0.4	16	NAN
23	Jun_19_2012	185.57	156.39	148.52	148.03	148.14	149.58	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	70	19	-119	0.01	42%	0.06	-4	4.72%	0	-0.4	37	NAN
24	Jun_18_2012	185.46	156.33	151.09	147.74	147.69	148.14	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	20	18	-109	0.01	42%	0.02	-5.2	4.75%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
25	Jun_15_2012	185.42	156.15	153.98	147.89	147.24	146.7	149.76(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-40	-11	-99	0.01	45%		-9.2	4.76%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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