Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $142.5500 (-2.95%) ($141.2800 - $154.0800) on Tue. May. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $142.5500(-2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    EEM(14%)    VWO(14%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $162.67
5 Day Moving Average   $146.02(-2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.11(-5.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.67(-12.37%)
To recent high   -47.9%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $47.472b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.1% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.31%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2012	182.07	162.67	151.11	146.02	146.76	147.71	142.55(-2.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-24	60	1	-99	0.01	47%	-0.22	-64.5	4.4%	0	-1.4	26	0
2	May_21_2012	182.47	164.83	152.86	148.9	149.55	145.19	146.88(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-190	-17	-96	0.01	51%	0.12	-58.9	4.88%	0	-1.2	32	0
3	May_18_2012	182.25	166.91	154.82	149.47	151.03	145.82	144(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	-210	-107	-134	0.01	51%	0.1	-54.9	5.04%	0	-1.5	28	0
4	May_17_2012	182.06	169.37	157.27	152.64	154.17	153.9	138.25(-12.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-65	20	-50	-109	0.02	51%	0.07	-50.8	5.04%	0	-2.2	20	0
5	May_16_2012	181.94	171.75	160.94	152.64	156.87	156.24	158.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-30	16	-78	0.01	56%	0.15	-53.1	4.79%	0	-1.1	26	0

6	May_15_2012	181.67	172.81	162.95	156.96	157.32	154.44	156.96(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	-120	-42	-103	0.01	56%	-0.14	-56	4.83%	0	-1.3	27	0
7	May_14_2012	181.93	174.02	164.78	157.54	158.67	157.5	149.76(-6.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-66	-30	-50	-112	0.01	56%	0.1	-56.4	4.8%	0	-2.1	16	0
8	May_11_2012	181.75	175.62	167.72	160.99	160.74	160.2	159.84(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-30	-8	-90	0.01	59%	0.13	-59.7	4.73%	0	-1.6	18	0
9	May_10_2012	181.51	176.96	169.98	162.72	161.82	159.84	159.84(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-100	-39	-102	0	59%	0.17	-56.7	4.76%	0	-1.7	16	0
10	May_9_2012	181.21	178.57	172.55	165.6	164.43	161.28	158.4(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-77	-160	-68	-102	0.01	59%	0.15	-51.9	4.77%	0	-2.2	30	0

11	May_8_2012	180.94	179.8	175.14	169.92	169.38	163.8	159.84(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-75	-240	-71	-85	0.01	61%	0.19	-57.1	4.79%	0	-2.5	37	0
12	May_7_2012	180.59	180.73	177.82	173.09	173.25	167.58	167.04(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-97	-230	-102	-83	0.01	63%	0.21	-81.2	4.84%	0	-2	41	0
13	May_4_2012	180.22	181.91	180.01	175.39	176.58	174.96	168.48(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-40	-60	-52	0.01	63%	0.19	-105.4	4.95%	0	-2.2	43	0
14	May_3_2012	179.88	182.77	182.48	178.27	178.74	178.92	174.24(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	10	-6	-16	0.01	63%	0.23	-133.1	4.97%	0	-1.6	41	0
15	May_2_2012	179.47	183.38	183.51	180.58	180.09	178.2	180(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-80	-14	-15	0.01	63%	0.27	-162.4	4.95%	0	-0.7	40	0

16	May_1_2012	178.98	184.39	183.47	181.3	181.52	178.56	175.68(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-110	-53	-30	0.01	63%	0.11	-138	4.95%	0	-1.4	48	0
17	Apr_30_2012	178.78	186.36	184.03	183.31	183.82	181.98	178.56(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-60	-43	-16	0.01	63%	0.24	-93.3	4.92%	0	-0.9	55	0
18	Apr_27_2012	178.35	188.54	184.21	185.33	185.98	184.48	182.88(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-25	-8	0.01	63%	0.31	-66.2	4.94%	0	-0.5	46	0
19	Apr_26_2012	177.79	189.96	184.5	187.34	187.51	185.65	185.76(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-20	-70	-27	0	0.01	63%	0.32	-61.3	4.94%	0	-0.3	52	0
20	Apr_25_2012	177.23	191.56	184.99	186.91	189	187.47	183.6(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-20	-7	10	0.01	63%	0.29	-65.8	4.94%	0	-0.5	50	0

21	Apr_24_2012	176.71	193.3	184.76	185.9	187.38	189.36	185.76(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	100	6	-1	0.01	63%	0.27	-71.7	4.94%	0	-0.5	41	0
22	Apr_23_2012	176.23	195.32	183.83	184.75	184.86	190.53	188.64(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	52	220	70	-3	0.01	63%	0.33	-72.7	4.95%	0	-0.4	36	0
23	Apr_20_2012	175.65	197.02	183.85	182.88	182.52	185.4	192.96(5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	51	100	77	-27	0.01	63%	0.37	-80.6	4.94%	0	-0.2	34	0
24	Apr_19_2012	175	198.42	182.87	181.44	180.72	179.19	183.6(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-70	-20	-88	0.01	62%	0.3	-90	4.92%	0	-0.8	37	0
25	Apr_18_2012	174.48	201.73	183.05	183.02	182.66	179.64	178.56(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-120	-42	-112	0.01	62%		-77.7	4.91%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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