Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $201.6000 (-3.45%) ($195.8400 - $205.9200) on Tue. Mar. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.9% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $201.6000(-3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(15%)    EEM(14%)    FXI(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLU(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.45% (StdDev 4.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $206.78(-2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $215.62(-6.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $200.85(0.37%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   60.9%
Market Cap   $67.136b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.75% (three month std-dev: 4.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2012	151.24	200.85	215.62	206.78	206.24	203.4	201.6(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-100	-22	21	0.01	68%	0.43	73.4	4.9%	0	0	61	NAN
2	Mar_5_2012	150.59	198.38	216.85	207.65	208.4	204.12	208.8(5.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-46	-130	-69	22	0.01	70%	0.43	68.3	4.91%	0	0.4	64	NAN
3	Mar_2_2012	149.95	195.42	215.62	208.8	211.1	209.07	197.28(-6.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-50	-30	-78	35	0.02	68%	0.38	64.8	4.91%	0	0.1	64	NAN
4	Mar_1_2012	149.38	192.92	215.77	215.42	215.87	212.67	211.68(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-15	-100	-48	84	0.01	73%	0.43	68.5	4.81%	0	0.6	67	NAN
5	Feb_29_2012	148.74	189.73	213.52	219.74	221.58	213.12	214.56(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-60	-240	-109	89	0.02	73%	0.5	72	4.8%	0	0.8	70	NAN

6	Feb_28_2012	148	186.15	210.5	226.08	227.23	219.06	205.92(-4.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-85	-240	-152	118	0.02	74%	0.45	78.2	4.79%	0	0.6	72	NAN
7	Feb_27_2012	147.34	182.95	208.37	227.23	232.81	230.04	214.56(-6.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	38	-10	-18	207	0.02	74%	0.58	77.6	4.81%	0	1	80	NAN
8	Feb_24_2012	146.49	179.48	204.58	222.91	228.13	235.4	230.4(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	125	290	79	263	0.01	79%	0.65	74.4	4.7%	0	1.6	87	NAN
9	Feb_23_2012	145.55	174.91	199.31	215.71	217.69	235.58	233.28(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	264	600	241	333	0.04	79%	0.75	71.4	4.73%	0	1.9	89	NAN
10	Feb_22_2012	144.47	170.18	193.08	206.21	207.36	220.86	246.24(16.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	344	470	337	363	0.06	84%	0.84	68.2	4.68%	0	2.7	91	NAN

11	Feb_21_2012	143.27	164.55	184.23	193.25	194.4	199.8	211.68(9.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	160	210	125	265	0.04	75%	0.81	68.4	4.26%	0	2.1	90	NAN
12	Feb_17_2012	142.12	160.92	177.78	187.2	188.73	193.86	192.96(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	135	210	99	244	0.01	72%	0.51	69.2	4.17%	0	1.6	88	NAN
13	Feb_16_2012	141.4	158.34	173.14	183.46	184.46	189	194.4(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	140	190	108	237	0.01	72%	0.46	67.4	4.17%	0	1.9	81	NAN
14	Feb_15_2012	140.75	155.42	167.96	180.29	179.69	183.6	185.76(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	105	140	68	215	0.02	65%	0.29	66.9	4.15%	0	1.8	80	NAN
15	Feb_14_2012	140.35	152.95	163.92	177.7	177.44	179.91	181.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	113	90	79	213	0.01	65%	0.27	66.7	4.22%	0	1.8	77	NAN

16	Feb_13_2012	139.97	150.57	159.88	173.66	174.74	175.77	181.44(4.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	101	60	70	195	0.01	65%	0.27	63.1	4.22%	0	2.1	78	NAN
17	Feb_10_2012	139.6	148.41	155.62	166.75	169.02	174.96	174.24(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	101	290	80	162	0.01	65%	0.24	58.7	4.2%	0	2.1	72	NAN
18	Feb_9_2012	139.26	146.76	152.6	160.99	162.36	173.7	178.56(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	199	510	204	185	0.02	65%	0.17	56.8	4.18%	0	2.9	75	NAN
19	Feb_8_2012	139.03	144.92	148.64	153.75	154.79	163.08	172.8(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	191	400	205	149	0.03	65%	0.1	59.4	4.22%	0	3.4	76	NAN
20	Feb_7_2012	138.89	143.19	145.37	148.28	148.48	151.02	161.28(9.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	88	120	91	79	0.02	61%	-0.04	74.6	4.13%	0	3.6	71	NAN

21	Feb_6_2012	138.95	141.96	143.07	144.24	145.38	146.5	146.88(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	22	34	0	55%	-0.22	109.6	3.94%	0	1.7	66	NAN
22	Feb_3_2012	139.25	141.36	142.6	144.24	144.05	145.94	145.44(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	120	30	30	0.01	55%	-0.29	105.9	3.94%	0	1.3	55	NAN
23	Feb_2_2012	139.65	140.74	142.35	142.8	142.91	144.26	142.34(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	70	31	31	0.02	55%	-0.3	103.2	3.95%	0	0.5	48	NAN
24	Feb_1_2012	140.07	140.21	141.98	142.56	142.47	142.17	145.44(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-20	12	15	0.01	49%	-0.23	86.6	3.94%	0	1.3	49	NAN
25	Jan_31_2012	140.39	139.51	141.27	141.98	142.18	141.57	141.12(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-30	-13	-1	0.01	49%		77	4.01%	0	0.4	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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