Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $145.4400 (3.06%) ($139.6800 - $145.4400) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.94% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $145.4400(3.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(15%)    EEM(14%)    FXI(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.97% (StdDev 3.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $142.56(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.98(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.21(3.73%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $48.434b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 3.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.49%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.51%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.08%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.1%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2012	140.07	140.21	141.98	142.56	142.47	142.17	145.44(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-20	12	15	0.01	49%	-0.23	86.6	3.94%	0	1.3	49	0
2	Jan_31_2012	140.39	139.51	141.27	141.98	142.18	141.57	141.12(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-30	-13	-1	0.01	49%	-0.23	77	4.01%	0	0.4	51	0
3	Jan_30_2012	140.71	138.79	140.76	141.7	142.08	142.78	139.68(-3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	40	1	0	0.01	49%	-0.24	63.1	4.02%	0	0.2	53	0
4	Jan_27_2012	141.05	138.13	140.9	142.27	141.64	142.79	145.44(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	40	22	18	0.01	49%	-0.25	50.6	4.01%	0	1.4	64	0
5	Jan_26_2012	141.41	137.21	140.67	141.87	141.28	141.37	141.12(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10	15	24	0.01	49%	-0.32	40.4	4.06%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Jan_25_2012	141.87	136.78	141.04	141.29	141.01	140.49	142.56(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-30	-2	28	0	49%	-0.04	39.9	4.09%	0	0.9	67	0
7	Jan_24_2012	141.92	136.27	140.88	140.47	140.57	141.18	139.68(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	4	35	0	49%	-0.02	37.7	4.15%	0	0.6	64	0
8	Jan_23_2012	141.95	136.06	140.78	139.61	139.78	141.53	142.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	90	31	54	0	49%	-0.05	33.9	4.15%	0	1	74	0
9	Jan_20_2012	142.02	135.47	140.03	139.29	138.25	139.96	143.41(3.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	60	23	59	0.01	49%	-0.11	30.4	4.17%	0	1.3	76	0
10	Jan_19_2012	142.18	134.89	138.97	139.41	138.23	138.03	138.24(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-40	3	60	0	49%	-0.23	32.9	4.15%	0	0.6	69	0

11	Jan_18_2012	142.51	134.34	138.34	140.85	139.69	136.53	138.47(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-180	-35	54	0.01	49%	-0.25	16.5	4.16%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Jan_17_2012	142.87	133.99	137.66	141.38	141.08	138.43	135.36(-3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-36	-140	-63	46	0.01	49%	-0.46	15.5	4.16%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Jan_13_2012	143.53	133.98	136.83	141.96	142.23	142.84	140.99(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	40	-1	66	0	49%	-0.18	23	4.15%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Jan_12_2012	143.79	133.65	135.31	140.7	141.5	143.73	144(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	130	54	76	0.01	49%	-0.2	20.6	4.18%	0	1.9	66	0
15	Jan_11_2012	144.08	133.01	133.55	138.4	138.66	141.61	145.44(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	150	58	58	0.01	49%	-0.1	8.8	4.21%	0	2.5	65	0

16	Jan_10_2012	144.22	133.39	132.12	135.52	135.79	139.27	141.12(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	62	190	66	50	0.01	55%	-0.09	10.2	4.2%	0	1.9	68	0
17	Jan_9_2012	144.35	133.11	131.15	133.5	133.51	135.71	138.27(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	120	65	39	0.01	55%	-0.13	0.8	4.29%	0	0.8	57	0
18	Jan_6_2012	144.54	132.66	130.79	130.96	131.21	132.31	134.68(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	31	11	0.01	59%	-0.15	-11.3	4.33%	0	0.3	48	0
19	Jan_5_2012	144.76	132.5	130.38	129.08	129.33	131.31	132.48(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	110	25	-7	0	59%	-0.25	-20.4	4.41%	0	-0	46	0
20	Jan_4_2012	145.13	132.57	130.33	127.93	128.32	130.11	131.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	24	110	35	-10	0	62%	-0.26	-21.6	4.41%	0	-0.2	49	0

21	Jan_3_2012	145.51	132.98	129.93	128.22	127.68	127.35	131.04(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-30	2	-48	0.01	62%	-0.42	-14.1	4.51%	0	-0.3	31	0
22	Dec_30_2011	146.13	133.07	129.98	128.53	128.54	126.54	125.57(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-110	-39	-68	0.01	62%	-0.25	-5.1	4.48%	0	-1.1	46	0
23	Dec_29_2011	146.49	133.4	130.96	130.63	130.88	128.02	125.28(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-150	-42	-53	0	58%	-0.16	11.1	4.48%	0	-1.3	51	0
24	Dec_28_2011	146.73	133.87	132	131.79	132.41	130.53	126.71(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-90	-44	-45	0.01	52%	-0.22	24.6	4.55%	0	-1.2	50	0
25	Dec_27_2011	147.05	134.02	132.63	132.94	133.1	133.74	132.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	40	-2	-23	0	52%		34.4	4.71%	0	-0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.