Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $132.4800 (1.1%) ($129.6000 - $132.4800) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $132.4800(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(15%)    EEM(14%)    FXI(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $121.66(-8.17%)
Resistance Level   $132.5
5 Day Moving Average   $129.08(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.38(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.5(-0.02%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $44.118b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2012	144.76	132.5	130.38	129.08	129.33	131.31	132.48(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	110	25	-7	0	59%	-0.25	-20.4	4.41%	0	-0	46	NAN
2	Jan_4_2012	145.13	132.57	130.33	127.93	128.32	130.11	131.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	24	110	35	-10	0	62%	-0.26	-21.6	4.41%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
3	Jan_3_2012	145.51	132.98	129.93	128.22	127.68	127.35	131.04(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-30	2	-48	0.01	62%	-0.42	-14.1	4.51%	0	-0.3	31	NAN
4	Dec_30_2011	146.13	133.07	129.98	128.53	128.54	126.54	125.57(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-110	-39	-68	0.01	62%	-0.25	-5.1	4.48%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
5	Dec_29_2011	146.49	133.4	130.96	130.63	130.88	128.02	125.28(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-150	-42	-53	0	58%	-0.16	11.1	4.48%	0	-1.3	51	NAN

6	Dec_28_2011	146.73	133.87	132	131.79	132.41	130.53	126.71(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-90	-44	-45	0.01	52%	-0.22	24.6	4.55%	0	-1.2	50	NAN
7	Dec_27_2011	147.05	134.02	132.63	132.94	132.41	133.74	132.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	40	-2	-23	0	52%	-0.2	34.4	4.71%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
8	Dec_23_2011	147.34	133.91	134.84	131.79	133.1	134.3	132.62(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	90	28	-3	0	52%	-0.24	25.8	4.68%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
9	Dec_22_2011	147.69	133.4	135.27	131.63	131.79	132.47	136.08(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	4	-10	0	48%	-0.32	15.9	4.68%	0	0.4	54	NAN
10	Dec_21_2011	148.16	132.69	134.65	131.49	132.13	131.91	131.04(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	0	-3	-15	0	48%	-0.36	5.5	4.79%	0	-0.2	53	NAN

11	Dec_20_2011	148.7	132.39	134.8	131.49	133.49	131.11	132.48(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-100	-12	-16	0.01	48%	-0.41	0.9	4.8%	0	0	52	NAN
12	Dec_19_2011	149.31	131.99	134.98	132.35	133.36	132.35	126.72(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-66	-30	-75	-37	0	48%	-0.43	-11.9	4.79%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
13	Dec_16_2011	149.96	132.23	136.33	138.4	136.55	135.86	131.82(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-80	-11	29	0.01	48%	-0.43	0.7	4.81%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
14	Dec_15_2011	150.61	132.34	136.49	139.4	140.35	134.38	135.39(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-280	-20	42	0	48%	-0.36	-2.3	4.83%	0	0.4	62	NAN
15	Dec_14_2011	151.15	132.29	136.13	138.18	139.4	137.23	135.36(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-63	-80	-90	17	0.01	48%	-0.41	-12	4.83%	0	0.4	62	NAN

16	Dec_13_2011	151.77	132.32	136.01	137.46	139.13	146.32	132.48(-15.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	70	400	65	86	0.02	48%	-0.47	-23.1	4.84%	0	0	58	NAN
17	Dec_12_2011	152.49	132.9	135.69	137.74	136.49	141.56	156.96(14.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	139	230	142	129	0.03	55%	-0.35	-22.5	4.46%	0	3	74	NAN
18	Dec_9_2011	153.03	132.18	132.75	134.29	133.18	131.94	136.8(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-90	3	59	0.01	48%	-0.48	-41.5	4.06%	0	0.7	55	NAN
19	Dec_8_2011	153.77	132.52	131.24	133.43	134.13	131.41	129.28(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-28	-130	-45	23	0.01	44%	-0.5	-44.6	4.01%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
20	Dec_7_2011	154.54	133.21	130.53	133.79	134.96	134.41	131.76(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-19	-0	-31	16	0	57%	-0.48	-42.8	4.02%	0	-0.2	47	NAN

21	Dec_6_2011	155.28	134.1	129.78	134.22	134.8	136.85	133.91(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	120	24	24	0	57%	-0.31	-33.9	5.13%	0	-0	46	NAN
22	Dec_5_2011	155.76	134.75	128.75	133.07	133.52	135.51	139.68(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	110	43	8	0.01	57%	-0.31	-38.3	5.1%	0	0.5	42	NAN
23	Dec_2_2011	156.24	135.09	127.73	131.05	131.76	132.75	132.54(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	70	28	-21	0	52%	-0.37	-47.2	5.1%	0	-0.3	34	NAN
24	Dec_1_2011	156.82	135.89	127.77	128.74	130.24	131.53	131.04(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	100	28	-41	0	49%	-0.41	-53.3	5.14%	0	-0.5	34	NAN
25	Nov_30_2011	157.47	136.6	128.06	126.72	127.83	130.77	133.92(4.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	190	35	-55	0.01	49%		-58.5	5.16%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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