Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $177.1200 (3.36%) ($169.9200 - $178.5600) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.69% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $177.1200(3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(21%)    XOP(19%)    VWO(18%)    EEM(17%)    REMX(17%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    XLU(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.845% (StdDev 5.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $177.44(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.91(4.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.7(6.25%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   25.7%
Market Cap   $58.984b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.08% (three month std-dev: 5.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2011	200.25	166.7	168.91	177.44	176.59	172.08	177.12(3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-190	-6	32	0.01	56%	-0.33	43.9	5.69%	0	1	60	NAN
2	Sep_12_2011	200.92	166.39	168.73	171.68	177.31	173.7	171.36(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-21	-40	-33	14	0.01	56%	-0.15	43.3	5.68%	0	0.5	61	NAN
3	Sep_9_2011	201.23	166.01	168.15	167.36	172.99	181.1	172.8(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	430	38	33	0.01	54%	-0.36	30	5.72%	0	0.7	59	NAN
4	Sep_8_2011	201.96	165.42	167.39	164.48	167.23	180.92	180.14(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	149	620	171	82	0.03	51%	-0.32	19.4	5.7%	0	1.5	63	NAN
5	Sep_7_2011	202.6	163.83	166.45	162.43	162.36	164.88	185.76(25.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	97	110	111	53	0.06	48%	-0.3	-2.2	5.79%	0	2.2	57	NAN

6	Sep_6_2011	203.21	162.37	163.57	159.84	161.01	153.54	148.32(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-94	-300	-108	-50	0.02	38%	-0.82	-24.2	4.95%	0	-1.7	40	NAN
7	Sep_2_2011	204.9	162.19	164.43	165.6	165.96	159.84	149.76(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-103	-250	-122	-44	0.01	38%	-0.57	-30.8	4.95%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
8	Sep_1_2011	206.07	163.1	165.4	168.77	170.37	168.48	158.4(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-50	-38	-2	0.01	37%	-0.53	-35	4.95%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
9	Aug_31_2011	207.16	163.54	165.29	170.21	170.1	172.08	169.92(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	80	0	15	0.01	51%	-0.47	-41	4.95%	0	0.7	57	NAN
10	Aug_30_2011	208.13	164.04	165.05	170.78	169.56	172.26	172.8(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	90	48	45	0.01	51%	-0.5	-39	6.23%	0	0.8	66	NAN

11	Aug_29_2011	209.17	164.46	164.48	167.9	167.67	168.12	177.12(6.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	10	38	37	0.01	51%	-0.44	-45.3	6.27%	0	1.1	60	NAN
12	Aug_26_2011	210.1	165.03	163.81	163.3	163.62	166.86	165.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	140	8	27	0.01	50%	-0.52	-54.8	6.21%	0	0	65	NAN
13	Aug_25_2011	211.19	166.19	163.64	161.57	162.18	167.22	165.6(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	230	73	46	0.01	51%	-0.57	-58.4	6.22%	0	-0	51	NAN
14	Aug_24_2011	212.41	167.55	163.21	159.55	159.26	160.38	172.8(9.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	40	36	22	0.01	48%	-0.58	-63.7	6.23%	0	0.4	53	NAN
15	Aug_23_2011	213.65	168.21	160.8	158.69	157.55	157.14	158.4(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-40	-28	-25	0.01	44%	-0.66	-65.3	6.24%	0	-0.6	42	NAN

16	Aug_22_2011	215.08	170.06	160.85	160.7	160.97	158.13	154.08(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-120	-18	-28	0.01	44%	-0.73	-60.3	6.27%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
17	Aug_19_2011	216.67	172.44	159.82	164.45	163.58	157.95	156.96(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-260	-62	-61	0.01	44%	-0.71	-47.3	6.27%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
18	Aug_18_2011	218.21	175.01	160.78	165.89	166.31	163.8	155.52(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-100	-53	-65	0.01	44%	-0.76	-38.8	6.26%	0	-1	38	NAN
19	Aug_17_2011	219.88	177.68	161.93	167.04	167.93	169.2	168.48(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	70	25	-46	0.01	46%	-0.65	-33.1	6.2%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
20	Aug_16_2011	221.32	179.47	163.08	163.01	165.14	168.81	168.48(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	190	41	-55	0.01	46%	-0.58	-35.8	6.2%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

21	Aug_15_2011	222.6	181.21	164.39	160.99	161	166.65	172.8(5.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	40	250	72	-55	0.01	46%	-0.56	-37.5	6.2%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
22	Aug_12_2011	223.85	181.71	166.03	154.62	157.6	161.46	164.16(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	230	67	-80	0.01	46%	-0.61	-49.1	6.16%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
23	Aug_11_2011	225.23	182.94	168.55	155.2	153.86	155.34	161.28(8.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	40	-4	-115	0.02	46%	-0.59	-53.5	6.16%	0	-1.1	33	NAN
24	Aug_10_2011	226.57	184.48	171.84	156.35	156.87	153.74	148.32(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-130	-31	-131	0.01	43%	-0.63	-58.3	6.05%	0	-1.9	25	NAN
25	Aug_9_2011	228.01	187.02	176.02	163.26	162.5	152.38	158.4(12.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-120	-450	-109	-152	0.02	46%		-56.8	6.01%	0	-1.7	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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