Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $154.0800 (-1.83%) ($152.6400 - $164.1600) on Mon. Aug. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.27% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $154.0800(-1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(21%)    XOP(19%)    VWO(18%)    EEM(17%)    REMX(17%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.135% (StdDev 6.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $147.12(-4.52%)
Resistance Level   $170.06
5 Day Moving Average   $160.7(-4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.85(-4.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.06(-9.4%)
To recent high   -43.7%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $51.311b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.2% (three month std-dev: 6.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.47%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.82%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2011	215.08	170.06	160.85	160.7	160.97	158.13	154.08(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-120	-18	-28	0.01	44%	-0.73	-60.3	6.27%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
2	Aug_19_2011	216.67	172.44	159.82	164.45	163.58	157.95	156.96(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-260	-62	-61	0.01	44%	-0.71	-47.3	6.27%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
3	Aug_18_2011	218.21	175.01	160.78	165.89	166.31	163.8	155.52(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-100	-53	-65	0.01	44%	-0.76	-38.8	6.26%	0	-1	38	NAN
4	Aug_17_2011	219.88	177.68	161.93	167.04	167.93	169.2	168.48(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	70	25	-46	0.01	46%	-0.65	-33.1	6.2%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
5	Aug_16_2011	221.32	179.47	163.08	163.01	165.14	168.81	168.48(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	190	41	-55	0.01	46%	-0.58	-35.8	6.2%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

6	Aug_15_2011	222.6	181.21	164.39	160.99	161	166.65	172.8(5.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	40	250	72	-55	0.01	46%	-0.56	-37.5	6.2%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
7	Aug_12_2011	223.85	181.71	166.03	154.62	157.6	161.46	164.16(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	230	67	-80	0.01	46%	-0.61	-49.1	6.16%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
8	Aug_11_2011	225.23	182.94	168.55	155.2	153.86	155.34	161.28(8.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	40	-4	-115	0.02	46%	-0.59	-53.5	6.16%	0	-1.1	33	NAN
9	Aug_10_2011	226.57	184.48	171.84	156.35	156.87	153.74	148.32(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-130	-31	-131	0.01	43%	-0.63	-58.3	6.05%	0	-1.9	25	NAN
10	Aug_9_2011	228.01	187.02	176.02	163.26	162.5	152.38	158.4(12.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-120	-450	-109	-152	0.02	46%	-0.58	-56.8	6.01%	0	-1.7	30	NAN

11	Aug_8_2011	229.33	189.08	179.93	168.45	169.51	160.01	140.96(-15.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-177	-370	-178	-173	0.02	41%	-0.63	-55	5.81%	0	-3	17	NAN
12	Aug_5_2011	230.79	192.08	186.4	178.85	179.1	172.62	167.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-106	-250	-105	-110	0.01	43%	-0.56	-51.2	5.49%	0	-2.1	47	NAN
13	Aug_4_2011	232.08	194.03	190.73	183.74	185.9	179.01	167.04(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-88	-220	-91	-79	0.02	43%	-0.53	-38.1	5.57%	0	-2.5	43	NAN
14	Aug_3_2011	233.32	196.27	195.16	189.5	189.82	185.58	182.88(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-150	-81	-48	0.02	47%	-0.51	-15.3	5.49%	0	-1.5	49	NAN
15	Aug_2_2011	234.51	197.32	197.52	190.66	192.16	192.78	184.32(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	50	-22	-16	0.02	47%	-0.42	-8.7	5.49%	0	-1.6	46	NAN

16	Aug_1_2011	235.51	198.24	199.63	193.25	193.15	194.06	192.96(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	30	14	9	0.01	47%	-0.38	0.7	5.46%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
17	Jul_29_2011	236.4	198.3	198.75	195.26	194.05	191.54	191.52(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-110	-34	-11	0.01	47%	-0.33	-2	5.51%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
18	Jul_28_2011	237.18	198.25	198.52	199.01	197.82	192.24	195.84(3.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-220	-69	-21	0.01	47%	-0.26	0	5.5%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
19	Jul_27_2011	237.81	197.63	198.06	201.89	202.32	196.56	188.64(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-190	-91	-31	0.01	47%	-0.28	-5.5	5.48%	0	-1	38	NAN
20	Jul_26_2011	238.47	198.05	198.91	205.34	206.37	203.4	197.28(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-90	-52	-8	0.01	48%	-0.19	-1.4	5.46%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

21	Jul_25_2011	238.93	198.18	198.94	206.78	207.54	208.08	203.04(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	30	6	17	0.01	48%	-0.18	0.2	5.47%	0	0.6	52	NAN
22	Jul_22_2011	239.35	198.45	198.19	202.46	205.74	209.34	210.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	58	170	67	30	0.01	48%	-0.15	-13.1	5.45%	0	1.3	62	NAN
23	Jul_21_2011	239.71	198.25	197.4	197.86	198.99	207	210.24(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	300	79	28	0.01	48%	-0.16	-25.4	5.5%	0	1.3	64	NAN
24	Jul_20_2011	240.09	198.12	197.12	193.82	193.95	202.14	205.92(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	102	300	120	47	0.01	48%	-0.13	-34.4	5.49%	0	0.9	66	NAN
25	Jul_19_2011	240.41	198.17	196.67	191.81	191.25	190.98	204.48(12.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	-20	52	17	0.03	48%		-40.9	5.49%	0	0.7	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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