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     Thu. Jul. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)

FCEL latest price $210.2400 (2.1%) ($204.4800 - $211.6800) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.5% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $210.2400(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  FCEL advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  FCEL declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(23%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    REMX(19%)  
Factors Impacting FCEL price  FCEL will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   2.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $197.86(6.26%)
10 Day Moving Average  $197.4(6.5%)
20 Day Moving Average  $198.25(6.05%)
To recent high  -23.2%
To recent low  15.9%
Market Cap  $70.014b
 
 
 
FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firm’s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Company’s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: -1.99%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.66%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(100%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110821

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1Jul_21_2011239.71198.25197.4197.86 198.99 207210.24(2.1%)UTOpenLong751.4   66   300   79   28   0.01    48%-0.16-25.45.5%01.364NAN
2Jul_20_2011240.09198.12197.12193.82 193.95 202.14205.92(0.7%)UTOpenLong751.3   102   300   120   47   0.01    48%-0.13-34.45.49%00.966NAN
3Jul_19_2011240.41198.17196.67191.81 191.25 190.98204.48(12.7%)UTOpenLong751.4   43   -20   52   17   0.03    48%-0.2-40.95.49%00.755NAN
4Jul_18_2011240.9198.16196.25190.37 190.89 185.76181.44(-3.08%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -70   -180   -80   -40   0.01    40%-0.29-44.55.25%0-1.840NAN
5Jul_15_2011241.6199.64197.62193.25 194.31 191.52187.2(-1.52%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -56   -80   -63   -33   0.02    40%-0.19-33.85.27%0-1.437NAN
 
6Jul_14_2011242.07200.56197.98196.7 196.74 196.02190.08(-2.94%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -30   -30   -33   -21   0.01    40%-0.19-29.35.26%0-1.340NAN
7Jul_13_2011242.53201.25197.38200.74 199.35 197.1195.84(-0.73%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -21   -100   -22   -18   0.01    40%-0.21-21.75.25%0-0.741NAN
8Jul_12_2011243.03201.96197.41202.18 202.14 197.46197.28(0.74%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -44   -160   -48   -31   0.02    39%-0.19-28.65.25%0-0.643NAN
9Jul_11_2011243.5202.34197.66203.04 203.4 201.6195.84(-4.23%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -47   -60   -52   -33   0.03    39%-0.27-55.25.27%0-0.845NAN
10Jul_8_2011244.15202.6199202.46 204.03 206.82204.48(-2.74%)UDOpenLong750.3   32   120   42   2   0.01    39%-0.25-87.15.26%00.246NAN
 
11Jul_7_2011244.76202.97199.26199.3 200.34 205.2210.24(3.55%)UTOpenLong751.4   63   190   80   10   0.02    37%-0.22-121.35.25%00.954NAN
12Jul_6_2011245.3202.96199.02193.54 194.94 201.24203.04(0.71%)N/AN/A01.2   55   250   75   -7   0.01    36%-0.24-160.45.26%0051NAN
13Jul_5_2011245.89204.25199.46192.1 191.88 195.48201.6(4.48%)N/AN/A00.9   49   130   70   -15   0.01    36%-0.36-1485.27%0-0.344NAN
14Jul_1_2011246.79206.73199.81191.81 191.07 188.64192.96(2.29%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -31   -100   -23   -53   0.01    35%-0.33-77.25.2%0-0.844NAN
15Jun_30_2011247.61209.54201.53195.26 194.49 188.28188.64(3.97%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -83   -240   -89   -65   0.02    34%-0.37-54.15.16%0-145NAN
 
16Jun_29_2011248.52213.19203.25199.3 199.8 193.5181.44(-7.35%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -97   -210   -108   -65   0.05    37%-0.44-35.75.16%0-1.532NAN
17Jun_28_2011249.61216.84205.68205.06 204.48 200.7195.84(-2.16%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -67   -140   -76   -39   0.02    39%-0.34-16.15.14%0-0.939NAN
18Jun_27_2011250.46220.56207.2207.65 207.72 206.1200.16(-4.79%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -28   -50   -29   -23   0.01    39%-0.26-2.55.14%0-0.931NAN
19Jun_24_2011251.12221.25207.74207.65 208.67 208.26210.24(0.69%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -17   -20   -10   -37   0.02    39%-0.21-4.85.11%0-0.526NAN
20Jun_23_2011251.65221.39206.78208.8 208.58 209.34208.8(-0.68%)DPOpenShort-650   -13   20   2   -58   0.01    39%-0.23-9.25.12%0-0.528NAN
 
21Jun_22_2011252.23221.28207.12207.94 208.94 209.08210.24(0.69%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -4   20   21   -77   0    39%-0.19-16.15.12%0-0.525NAN
22Jun_21_2011252.71220.7207.18206.5 207.95 207.82208.8(1.4%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -34   20   -8   -113   0.01    39%-0.17-23.85.12%0-0.531NAN
23Jun_20_2011253.15221.16209.22206.78 207.54 208.8205.92(-2.05%)DPOpenShort-65-0   -29   50   3   -126   0.01    39%-0.24-26.75.12%0-0.625NAN
24Jun_17_2011253.77222.36213.84206.5 208.34 208.08210.24(2.82%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -2   20   30   -98   0.01    39%-0.27-28.15.13%0-0.555NAN
25Jun_16_2011254.46223.53217.7204.48 206.9 206.28204.48(0.71%)DPOpenShort-750   -47   10   -26   -109   0.01    39%-29.95.13%0-0.854NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
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BBVRSIVIXCD
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